@bookiewatchdog @TAB_touch Not surprising from your average scumbag bookie but this is coming from the WA State Government and the public servants that work for RWWA
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Beau Lair
848 posts
Beau Lair
@BeauLair1
Zeljko's assistant in charge of Odds & Evens betting
BrisVegas Katılım Kasım 2020
784 Takip Edilen158 Takipçiler
Still speechless over this outcome. Are @TAB_touch ok? You think you've seen it all, but everyday the industry gets lower and lower.
Josh Fewkes@fewkes_josh
FINAL OUTCOME Officially not allowed to step foot or place a wager through any RWWA or WA TAB terminal due risk appetite. An admission of hiding behind AML/CTF regulations to stop winners. @bookiewatchdog
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@fewkes_josh @bookiewatchdog Write to your State MP; WA TAB and RWWA are run by the State Gov. You're being threatened with legal action for stepping into a pub, casino or racetrack just because they suspect you might win. No State MP would think that passes the pub test
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FINAL OUTCOME
Officially not allowed to step foot or place a wager through any RWWA or WA TAB terminal due risk appetite.
An admission of hiding behind AML/CTF regulations to stop winners. @bookiewatchdog
Josh Fewkes@fewkes_josh
How’s the form of @tabtouch. Suspending and refusing to payout cash tickets placed in their retail outlets. Hiding behind AML / CTF regulations even after all information requested being handed over as well as detailed betting records dating back at least 12 months.
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@politicsbetclub Unfortunately for the Greens they're unlikely to find another 600 odd Hannah Spencers
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@BeauLair1 Populist left party that can say almost anything and push further than anyone right now. Their social/economic policies are mad, and many still don’t realise who they really are—this isn’t fluffy eco. Majority of the country isn’t where they are.
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I actually believe the rise of the Greens will improve the right’s chances at the next general election. A wide space will open up in the centre, and the left will be split—depending on whether a future soft-left Labour leader pursues some sort of anti-Reform deal.
Politics Betting Club@politicsbetclub
I also think the prospect of the Green Party overtaking Labour as the dominant vote on the left will focus minds on the right. There’s no way they would risk not coming together—whether through an electoral pact, coalition, or some informal arrangement.
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@politicsbetclub Agreed. Greens have 3 years of character assassinations to look forward to by various well funded interest groups. Farage is likely going to be able to make the case at the next election that your choices are me or a chaotic traffic light coalition lead by Polanski
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@politicsbetclub I wouldn't have minded if Restore were contesting because you'd kill off any interest quicker. Way easier path for Reform to win the most seats than anyone else. G&D also potentially shows better tactical voting from Tory voters than expected
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@BeauLair1 100%. You can make the case that they should already be at that price. The big factor is that RB are not contesting anything in May.
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Think about what price Reform will be after May — we expect it to shorten significantly if everything goes according to plan.
Politics Betting Club@politicsbetclub
From a high of 4.2 when first posted, the Greens fell below 4.0 on the morning of the by-election result. Meanwhile, Reform is now clear favourite at 2.9.
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@DesonOllie @mcmungawar Actually 3 legs, Team A +2.5, Team B to win and a $1.01 shot. Pull out on whichever side is losing
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@DesonOllie @mcmungawar Have you got a better way of rorting it than something that settles well before HT and then 2 $1.01 shots?
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@Steptoesyard If Labour were right that they were manipulating the price then they might have come around after a nice payout
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@Steptoesyard Itchy trigger finger seems to have been punished. Still can't believe this is considered a bad night for Reform. Tory and Advance vote was non existent, if there was dissatisfaction with Farage you would have seen it on either flank there
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@BeauLair1 Perhaps but im not having Greens winning 150+ seats despite tonight
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@TempletonPeckJr If you’re a lifelong Labour voter who can’t stand Starmer you’re not exactly going to give the poor girl out canvassing for Labour a spray. Reform winning the seat and Labour beating the Greens by 1 vote should be wet dream territory for Starmer
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Polling will be borderline a waste of time, much of the info will be from the canvassing and they've spoken with >1/3 of constituents and the 'community leaders'. I doubt the likes of Miliband spending his Saturday there if they're in third place and 10% behind the Greens. Is a guessing game so seems punchy to push Labour out to 11+
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You'd think so and it's been my theory for a while now following visits by the likes of Miliband, Rayner, Burnham, Powell. Burnham has been sending out fliers to undecided voters begging them to vote Labour. But the (bonkers) market strongly disagrees they've got much of a chance
Steven Swinford@Steven_Swinford
Keir Starmer has visited Gorton and Denton The fact he has visited is interesting in and of itself - there is mounting optimism in Labour that they can win the by-election, that undecided voters will peel off and back them over the Greens During his recent trip to China Starmer repeatedly refused to say whether he would visit There were concerns that his unpopularity meant he would do more harm than good in a tight contest. He has now decided that he wants to be directly associated with the outcome He insists that the by-election is a 'straight fight' between Labour and Reform - of course it isn't, it's a straight fight between Reform, Labour and the Greens, but that's the narrative Labour wants to frame for voters
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@TempletonPeckJr They also probably haven't read the rules because Starmer could announce he was resigning straight after Gorton and you'd still need the leadership contest resolved within a month
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@BeauLair1 Hmm, I did check that and hadn’t moved but obv has now. That certainly indicates someone is confident Greens have big lead over Labour
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Greens plunged into 1.42 to win Gorton and Denton. I haven't seen any public info so looks like someone may have some noteworthy data? Labour have thrown everything at this, cabinet members, Rayner, Burnham, Powell all been campaigning hard. You'd think they'd only be doing this if they thought they were in with a decent chance of winning so if the market's correct then Starmer in deep, deep trouble if they're losing heavily to the Greens here.
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@TempletonPeckJr Someone also backed January-March in the month Starmer replaced from $20 into $3.60
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Whilst the action certainly doesn’t look like it, it’s possible it’s the Greens manipulating the market for tactical voting purposes
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thinking as all the Epstein files get leaked,,
and prosecutions start happening around the world by many countries
Bitcoin will be gone
If you made money form it,,
well done to you
but a lot of people are going to lose a lot
#EpsteinFiles
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@mcmungawar You're welcome to have my JuicyBet, VolcanoBet and ReacharoundBet accounts free of charge (*large stat dec signing fee applies)
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Anyone else? Will reply to other DMs soon.
Munawar the XVI@mcmungawar
Anyone want to bet sport for me? Shoot me a DM, youll need accounts but youll print
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@AnalyseDis Thanks, feels like there aren't too many seats that fit that criteria. Blair, Bullwinkel, Dobell, Macquarie best I could find
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@BeauLair1 We may run an MRP soon. I’d say outer/regional seats where the Liberals were competitive with Labor on a 2PP basis and where there is a solid PHON base.
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#auspol My team’s latest Sky News Pulse poll shows that, on these numbers, One Nation would win at least two dozen seats, largely picked off the Coalition — though some Labor seats, like Hunter, is likely to be among them. Lab/ Coal 55/45, Lab/PHON* 57/43
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