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Beep Boop
1.7K posts
Beep Boop
@BeepBoopSupreme
Stock & Crypto value investor and reflexive trader. Former Financial Advisor. Diversification is for the ignorant. Welcome to Value Town - Not Financial Advice
Washington D.C. Katılım Kasım 2020
60 Takip Edilen575 Takipçiler
When $SOL was over $200, all of CT was calling for $400. Now that $SOL is at 83 with a wick low at 67, the few people who are still here are screaming lower. Psychologically it makes sense, you get so burned that the only reality you can accept is lower. Markets love to punish.
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My thesis that the pinnacle of pain was the genocide countdown is getting stronger. $BTC and $ETH have reached the critical battle ground. A very sharp rejection here could spell trouble. If 73-76k remains a battle ground, bulls will win, and the next stop is a new range. Higher.
Beep Boop@BeepBoopSupreme
1) My cost basis on $BTC is 67.5k, for #ETH it is - 2000, for #SOL it is 80.6. I am putting this out there so my record is public because I believe in my thesis so much that I will publicly die on this hill if the 1% chance I am wrong happens. heavy leverage. Razor thin margin.
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Watching critical supports on $btc, $eth, and $sol absorb anything and everything bad at this stage. Talks in Pakistan broke down, I knew they would. My assumption has not been a clean resolution, it’s been stalemate. Stalemate is better than genocide. The tape continues to ease.
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@TheCryptoDaddi I’ve shifted tech stock to crypto through this range because I know when I’m looking at a reflexive boom. Tech held up well… almost too well. Crypto priced in the war and went to hell. But that is exactly what drives the boom when the tape shifts hell->bad->less bad->okay
Beep Boop@BeepBoopSupreme
1) My cost basis on $BTC is 67.5k, for #ETH it is - 2000, for #SOL it is 80.6. I am putting this out there so my record is public because I believe in my thesis so much that I will publicly die on this hill if the 1% chance I am wrong happens. heavy leverage. Razor thin margin.
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I should’ve known crypto would be cooked for a few years as an entire industry when dudes in their thirties that couldn’t hardly wipe their own ass were making 6 figures as community leads.
I hope you guys know we allowed this shit to happen. It’s pretty crazy to reflect on.
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4)The tape is bad, but just by virtue of not being as bad as doomsday, it is causing the price to rise and build strength anyways. I have never pushed a thesis harder than this. I have all the reasons to believe the prices will rise quickly. Very little disconcerting evidence.
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3) The tape reached peak hell on the day Trump was threatening genocide. It was absorbed. I pushed my positions hard the night before and the morning of that day. War = tail risk. Sell the rumor, buy the news. The news was on doomsday. The tape will ease, the boom will begin.
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@cowboy_oh_gee be objective my friend. the macro flow has shifted against you. Eth looks even better.... I like random interactions with traders who are against me. its just the lingering advisor in me
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@cowboy_oh_gee oh yes it is. priced in. Im rarely wrong and if i was wrong a lot then id still be an advisor. the market has already front run you. time is behind you.
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I have seen and done it all. The markets have sped up but they have not changed. The human cycle of fear and greed has not changed and it never will. Break the cycle and you will win. Zoom out, be objective, draw conclusions, push it hard. This is the only way to win. NFA
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So I closed my practice, funneled my clients to other advisors with high integrity, and went out on my own. Aggressively trading my own assets, working 18 hours a day for myself, looking at charts, looking at patterns, drawing conclusions, and looking for disconcerting evidence.
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1) In my financial advising days, I was able to build significant assets under management, but my hands were tied by the efficient market theory. EMT has saturated everything traditional finance and it makes sense but preaching average was terrible for me. I grew to dislike it.
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@cowboy_oh_gee the tape reading is already shifting from hell to just bad, and that is just one of the many signals. Technically speaking, losing this level obliterates 5 years of price action. historically low odds. People fumble in at the median, go up at the top, and die on the reversion
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@cowboy_oh_gee the black swan was chicken count down with genocide and it was absorbed. War is tail risk. sell the rumor buy the news, and the news was on doomsday. this is the pattern of war.
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