Chris Bellm

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Chris Bellm

Chris Bellm

@BellmChris

Proud member of Regular Guys and VSIN’s #FollowTheMoney Army

Katılım Ocak 2021
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
My expected wins for each team in May along with the latest odds from Circa and Caesars. I’ll have a couple plays on this later today.
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
@TheSiz1 100% agree on Mets price. H2H matchups would be a great market. Most losses as well would be fun.
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TheSiz
TheSiz@TheSiz1·
@BellmChris I don't care what their schedules are, the Mets being half the price of the Brewers is nuts. The next evolution of this market aside from more books offering it should be head to head.
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
My expected wins for each team in May along with the latest odds from Circa and Caesars. I’ll have a couple plays on this later today.
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
Great to see the Final Four featuring 2 games with 1.5 point spreads today
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
Circa odds are now out for MLB Most Wins: April Only. Projections for each team below along with odds from a few books I’ve seen post.
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
MLB Season is finally back. Fun market that picked up the past few years is monthly win totals. Worked on a model to project expected wins for each team based on expected Win %. CZRs and DK currently offering odds on this market. DK appears to be April Only. CZRs is Mar+Apr.
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
@1TimMurray @ddkuester @mattyoumans247 Fairness and common sense usually not part of NCAA mindset. They get to spend less on travel and likely now sell more tickets. It was going to be SLU or Mizzou getting the “home game” somehow. I hate it but clearly intentional.
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Tim Murray
Tim Murray@1TimMurray·
@ddkuester @mattyoumans247 Please do. I understand the use of charters is lower... A 10-seed should not have a geographic advantage over the 7...
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Dan Kuester
Dan Kuester@ddkuester·
Catching up with VSIN - Do I need to explain to @1TimMurray how the Committee followed their seeding rules when they sent MU to STL? MIZ!!! @mattyoumans247 Also they are explicitly trying to minimize the use of charters
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
@LukeDiV They just played 2 weeks ago with a total that closed 149.5. That is a crazy adjustment down to 135.5
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Luke DiVasta
Luke DiVasta@LukeDiV·
March 5th College Basketball Total Drake vs. Southern Illinois Over 135.5 I am well aware of the under trends at the MVC tournament, the other two games today did not meet criteria for a play but this one does. I am not sure how much the three angle sources take into account neutral site but we will see. Last 6 Over/Under Posted Plays: 5-1
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
@RealGadge Let’s go! 2026 another year of Boston sports 🤷🏻‍♂️
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Chris Macero 🇺🇸
Chris Macero 🇺🇸@RealGadge·
Always searching for value. Can they actually win the East? I’m not sure. Can they win a series or two, I think they can. Will they make the playoffs, absolutely! @BellmChris Let’s go Bruins
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Mitch Moss
Mitch Moss@MitchMossRadio·
Quite the path carved out for the Patriots in the AFC.
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Tim Murray
Tim Murray@1TimMurray·
Current Week Zero schedule... Saturday August 29 Memphis at UNLV NC State vs UVA (Rio de Janeiro, Brazil) UNC vs TCU (Dublin, Ireland) New Mexico St at Florida St Hawaii at Stanford
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
@WesReynolds1 Legit for sure, but a program that loves to dominate any month not named March
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Wes Reynolds
Wes Reynolds@WesReynolds1·
Arizona is legit. Won a track meet against Florida and a grinder against UCLA and at UConn.
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
@1TimMurray Head to Head is all that matters. I personally still have Florida St ahead of Alabama.
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Tim Murray
Tim Murray@1TimMurray·
Joel makes a fair point on the ND/Miami debate... Games have to matter I must've missed Joel's other video defending Louisville... who is 5 spots behind Miami despite winning at Miami What happens if Lville finishes 10-2? Closing out with wins over Clemson, at SMU, & Kentucky?
The Joel Klatt Show: A College Football on FOX Pod@JoelKlattShow

"I do not care what they've looked like – you have to honor a direct head-to-head matchup, or else, what are we doing?" @joelklatt says if it comes down to a debate between Miami and Notre Dame, Miami should go to the playoff. Do you agree?

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LastMenStanding
LastMenStanding@LastMenPod·
@beatingthebook I love hearing Fezzik talk about being the villain in Survivor. There is a little talked about rivalry in the Circa Survivor community between "numbers guys" and "ball knowledge" guys, especially with the large influx of pro poker players joining the contest. It drives "ball knowledge" guys crazy when "numbers guys" say the only thing that matters is the win probability etc. and it drives numbers guys crazy when ball knowledge guys talk about emotional angles like "revenge games"
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
@realm33 @GneissDude Definitely would’ve hit those 2. Not sure how many there have been this month. Always felt like the sweet spot was more mid-season Dec thru Feb
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Realm
Realm@realm33·
@BellmChris @GneissDude guessing you would be up so far this year. Utah today and Pittsburgh at Florida last week off the top of my head.
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Chris Bellm
Chris Bellm@BellmChris·
We are back for another year of NHL Malinsky Specials and the full season is now mapped out. Tracking will be through the below link. This year, I'm separating them into tabs of 4 game road trips and 5+ game trips #MalinskySpecial 🏒 #gid=0" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
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