⚽ Saturday Soccer Pick Of The Day
🏟️ Newport vs Salford
⚽️ Salford Moneyline
🏴 England League Two
⏱️ Start - 10:00am ET
🧪 Reasoning below.
- Newport are a team that have lost six games in a row and have nothing to play for, going through the motions until the season ends. Outside of an outlying result, they have scored just one goal or less in six of their last seven home games.
- Defensively, they are even worse; just 18% of the time have they kept a clean sheet at home. Their underlying numbers are an absolute mess.
- Salford's recent form looks bad on paper, but they have been unlucky in quite a few games. They've had a greater xG (Expected Goals) than their opposition in three of their last four games, and their xG away from home is in the top third of all League Two teams.
- Salford's players look much more likely to play to their full strength, given that their recently appointed manager will be looking at which players to retain for next season.
- Newport are one of nine teams that have conceded 70+ goals this season, and I see them shipping a few more today.
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