Sabitlenmiş Tweet
Spurred by the Queensland Greens announcing candidates in a long list of target seats I've made a quick post on my election blog.
3partypreferred.net/3partypreferre…
English
Ben Messenger
14.8K posts
Ben Messenger
@BenMessenger8
Sometimes does 3PP graphs of Australian elections QLDer, musician, Green
Katılım Haziran 2019
287 Takip Edilen383 Takipçiler
@AllsparkCthulu @roodave @hillfolkAU A subset of the public. I want that subset to grow so that it gets over the threshold to being a more salient issue to politics than petrol prices and cars centric infrastructure.
PT and cars are essentially in direct competition when it comes to political priorities.
English
English
In most Australian cities, the problem with public transport is not the face value of a fare for a trip on a bus, train etc.
It is the “generalised cost”, waiting time, unreliability, discomfort, slowness.
Cutting fares does not fix these costs to the user (it makes it worse)
English
@kevinbonham If only ON nation were actually that weak on prefs. I'd have a much improved peace of mind.
English
#FoxHedgehog ALP 30 L-NP 23 ON 23 Grn 13 Ind/other 11
ALP 51-49 (=) vs L-NP, 56-44 (+3) vs ON (respondent prefs)
(my previous election flow estimates for these primaries 53.4 (+1.4) and 54.3 (+1.7) respectively)
foxhedgehog.com.au/news-den/the-d…
English
@roodave @hillfolkAU Free fares are a chance to break that cycle. Let's get maximum utilisation of the existing network and then try to spin that into the political will to improve services.
What's your alternative plan to improve PT, and how does it build the political capital and momentum?
English
@roodave @hillfolkAU I'm not saying frequency and reliability aren't concerns, I'm noting that it's particularly high fare.
Public transit is in a catch-22. To get true improvements we need the public to demand it, but to get that we need more people to identify as PT riders ahead of car commuters.
English
@asauce @TheOmniLiberal You can't argue the "vote blue no matter who" trolley problem framework *before* the primary has even begun.
English
No, it would be "Team Collapsing Every Single Electoral Issue Across the Entire Country and in Every Office to my Absolutist Position on Israel/Palestine"
Mehdi Hasan@mehdirhasan
@TheOmniLiberal Would that be ‘Team Starving Palestinian Children To Death’?
English
@mumbletwits I think fear is a temporary condition when it comes to the ballot box.
Eventually One Nation may be normalised and enough centre- right and centrist voters may go "how bad could it be"?
Look at the steady advance of the far-right in France for example.
English
Labor should lose VIC in November, but the fear of a Coalition-One Nation govt could save the day.
CorangamiteSurvivor@NotTurnbull
Looking at these results, the Vic election will be a trainwreck
English
@_colourmeamused Where is a far-right majority government more likely, in a majoritarian system (like single member electorates) or a proportional system?
The majoritarian system of course.
It is not a far step from the SA result or current Australian federal polling to diabolical UK polling...
English
The fans of PR are awfully quiet these days 👀 tbf the strident ones used to say the Greens deserve more seats and so do PHON
Really miss having those ‘progressives’ yell at me 🥰
Quokka 🏳️🌈@Q2Quokka
south australian one nation might get 0 seats with 20% of the vote
English
@_colourmeamused There is no cordon sanitaire in Australia.
The Coalition views itself in a battle against Labor and wants One Nation to win ahead of Labor when possible, and will negotiate with ON. That's a different dynamic than is emergent in PR systems for centre-right parties.
English
@_colourmeamused I can't recall the exact argument being made by me here because it was nearly a year ago, but I suspect you've misunderstood it.
In the Australian the Coalition pass bills with One Nation in upper houses. In similar nations with PR systems usually the centre-right party doesn't.
English
@strom_m @TomCBallard @LaborAgainstWar Being part of the external electoral threat where a victorious left wing MP has a increased platform, a hung parliament could force concessions, or the Labor party men themselves might shift left strategically to defend a seat from the threat?
English
@strom_m @TomCBallard @LaborAgainstWar The real question is where is the most leverage.
Inside the Labor party, where the parliamentary party and consultancy dickhead class always seem to ignore any national conference motion at their whim, or...
English
I was very happy to sit down and chat with @TomCBallard about @LaborAgainstWar and why we aren't patsies and stooges - and what the heck a Marxist is doing in the ALP.
Thanks for having me on the show Tom.
youtube.com/watch?v=tH5qfB…
YouTube
English
@Leo_Puglisi6 4 regional leagues making up tier 2:
VFL (including Tasmania)
SANFL
WAFL
NEAFL (NSW, QLD, ACT, NT)
One team out of each is promoted to the AFL each year.
Bottom 4 AFL teams are relegated each year (to whichever region they belong to).
English
Relegation for the AFL you're hearing it more and more
Daany Saeed@daanysaeed
@Leo_Puglisi6 what if they just folded Essendon and let Preston back into the comp?
English
@SWDWilliam @kevinbonham It's politics. It doesn't matter how well you explain it, some people will be wilfully ignorant or be confused by malicious actors talking shite (in the hope of squeezing strategic advantage from that shite).
English
@kevinbonham I just can’t wrap my head around why we don’t have better, persistent comms for educating the public on how these things work. One would think that is rather critical for a robust democracy?
You put in more effort into tackling this problem than any official body.
English
Good example of how optional preferences are a potential disaster zone for those on the conservative side foolish enough to be advocating them at the moment, under compulsory prefs this would be about 56.5 to ALP. #nswpol
AusPoll@AusPoll6
🚨 NEW: NSW (state) voting intention 🟥 ALP: 34% (-3) 🟦 L/NP: 23% (-7) 🟧 ONP: 21% (NEW) 🟩 GRN: 15% (+2) ⬛️ OTH: 7% (-13) Two-party-preferred 🟥 ALP: 61% (+2) 🟦 L/NP: 39% (-2) DemosAU/PremierNational | 24 Feb-4 Mar | n=1032 | +/- 17-22 Oct
English
@Trev__Says Don't take foreign personnel who don't want to be involved into a war zone, yeah.
English
