Matt

Great end to another awesome BestBall season taking down 15th on The BigBoard!

@BBDataMuse Difference between 1.01 and 1.04 very minimal. Difference between 2.08 and 2.12 sometimes huge

Getting the first pick in best ball may be cursed. Take a look at BBM advance rate by draft slot for the last 5 years. A lot of bad injury luck baked into this, but still shocking to see how bad the #1 spot has been over such a long stretch (9.9%!)

@HypaHypa_ Intrigued for sure. More nervous about overall offense there and how much they use the other TEs or if they bring back Ertz.

@BestballMatt How are you feeling about Chig in Washington?

If these ADPs hold I am going to have such a ridiculous amount of Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely! There has never been so much value in the mid TE tier

@DukemanWilliam I prefer TD variation for bestball. That volatility is often what makes players steals based on ADP as most folks overvalue “safe” players avoiding big upside

@BestballMatt Age is a rule, it always matters. Age decline always happens but some players can push those years back longer than others. In the redzone yes they will get looks, but that will be their main driver of fantasy points. TD variation is not good to rely on.

@Datphillykyd @DukemanWilliam People claim the man who had a 35 yard rushing TD on a fake tushpush has no athleticism

@DukemanWilliam @BestballMatt Dust? I can't tell you how to draft but Mark Andrews is just hitting 30...Gronk Kittle ...Jason Witten..all had 1k seasons after 30...Dallas Goedart had 11 tds season at 31...gluck in these streets tho 👊🏼

@ClutchFantasy And Tua is his quarterback…

@BestballMatt Kyle Pitts dropped a 40 bomb in the playoffs, has no competition for targets behind London and has a +100 ADP

@VisionsDb Kelce outscored him by >4pts per game last yr in a broken Chiefs offense. You think that’ll change in Chigs favor on a new offense?

@BestballMatt Kelce at 122 doesn’t scream value to me. Chig outscores him straight up and goes 30 picks later

@DukemanWilliam Biggest driver of success for any TE is utilization, overall offensive production and then athletic ability. Both guys will be a the number 2 target in the offensive scheme, a primary read in the redzone and are on elite offenses. Ertz proved age doesn’t matter the last few yrs

@BestballMatt Kelce and Andrews are dust. I don’t mind Likely at his ADP.

@GaudreauJordan Haha which one don’t you like

@BestballMatt I love 66% of that list

@Cheeseboogler JJ & Lamb! Well done sir

Feels like a unique BBM start…

@WyattB_FF You are rookie happy my friend

I’m a slow drafter, so I’m just now having a bunch of drafts finish up. Top exposures:

@bsp2727 Maybe idk if I believe in the upside but at the beginning of the yr it definitely isn’t there as long as he is spilling reps with Dobbins

@BestballMatt I mostly agree and am not highly versed in elim strat.. Harvey however represents an upside profile, and at his 9th rnd price imo is appealing despite the lukewarm rookie szn.

⚠️ ELIMINATOR Do Not Draft List ⚠️ QB: Patrick Mahomes, Danny Dimes, Fernando Mendoza RB: Bucky Irving, Cam Skattebo, RJ Harvey, Zach Charbonnet WR: Malik Nabers, Rashee Rice, Travis Hunter, Tyreek Hill TE: George Kittle, Keyon Sadiq Who am I missing??

@dbs_burner 💯

@BestballMatt VALID! In that range he falls in, I personally think theres a world he finishes top 5-8 PPR.

@FF_Litigator Feels like free money

@BestballMatt Pick 40 on Nabers! Well done!

The NFC East WR crew 🔥

@BYOB1982 Yes sir!!

@BestballMatt Terry at pick 57 👀 Holy smokes Batman the value there is HUGE

Best ball game theory: just take good players in good offenses Pit Bull- 4th time clicking the CMC button in 160+ drafts for me and i like how its shaping out a lot

@JoshBoa17902629 🤣

@BestballMatt The only player we don’t draft is Sky Moore. The rest of these guys I’ll take as soon as it’s a vaule

@DbScooper6 @hypotheseyes Agree earlier byes when 2/3 advance are preferred but that’s a pretty late tie breaking between all the things to consider

@hypotheseyes @BestballMatt I'm not quite sure why people think the later byes are an advantage? To get to where any real money is won, you have to get through the players' byes no matter if it's week 5 or 12. My opinion is what matters is no overlapping byes for your high draft capital players.

@dbs_burner Hear yeah just slow start/PUP candidate. Love the pick just not for eliminator

@BestballMatt i like but i think everyones wrong on Skat..