Billy Bob

121 posts

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Billy Bob

Billy Bob

@BillyBobInvests

Spot & options swing trader

North Kansas City, MO Katılım Ocak 2025
139 Takip Edilen44 Takipçiler
David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
@BillyBobInvests It will likely be somewhat more upside (45%-50%) in less time, maybe 3 or 4 months. That's why I still think we could top this summer.
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian Hello sir I’ve watched all your interviews the past 1.5 years A consistent theme is that the last leg will be the steepest For the S&P, last year was about 40% in 6-6.5 months I would guess whenever the next leg starts (seems soon) - it will dwarf that
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian @Rob030544019578 @meta_slayer @SJones67581 @jessebday Thanks for your input I do not try to have knee jerk reactions I’m looking at the body of the past several months - which has been flat/red for indices Also I understand things take time Even though the idea of a blow off top is exciting for anyone long in various assets
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David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
Here's my most recent interview recorded 2/18/26 with @jessebday.Discussed the melt-up into the top,the bust & 80% bear to follow & the commodity supercycle that will follow the bust.Discussed the Fed,the big money pump & the inflation cycle to follow. youtube.com/watch?v=2KD94d…
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian @Rob030544019578 @meta_slayer @SJones67581 @jessebday Hello sir Even though some of us have questions regarding semantics - most of us agree that you will be right I guess at this point it’s a when not if sort of question Ik you say watch & learn but feels like this bull can keep extending for many more months (into EOY at least)
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@BGatesIsaPyscho There are real adults out there who will watch that cgi goyslop & say “yes this is real” FFS bugs life looks more realistic than whatever tf that was
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Concerned Citizen
Concerned Citizen@BGatesIsaPyscho·
🚨 “Japanese astronaut has shared spectacular footage of a dazzling Aurora filmed from the International space station” Anyone else see the problem here?
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian @DouglasCam10123 Fair enough I guess you think I have no idea because perhaps I’m (vastly) underestimating how fast various markets can run to the top This is no disrespect or slight to you - I appreciate all of your work & insights I agree just on an elongated timeframe is all Cheers
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian @DouglasCam10123 Hello sir Exciting to hear this coming from you So right now it’s fair to say you expect a top in Q3 - albeit that different markets won’t top simultaneously Seems almost unfathomable for a top by mid year though Type inflows for $SPX to do 40% in 4.5M is fever dream-esque
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David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
@DouglasCam10123 As I've said over & over the 10yr is headed for 3% and probably below by this summer. The rate consolidation is likely over. The next several months should be fun as the stock, bond & metals markets all rally big-time. Even BTC might finally reverse course and see a nice rally.
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian I think I get it DXY, inflation & rates trend lower into the equity top, as longer duration yields go below 3% around then From there - near 0% long rates bottom of the bust I’m just asking in regards to any loose timeframe for all this - 10YR going sub 3% by Q4 seems likely
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David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
@BillyBobInvests I don't think you understand my forecast. I have a much more bullish forecast than PTJ & I've said many times that lower rates will be part of the driving force.
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian hello sir Despite a sharp pullback in metals & lengthy consolidation in equities - do you still believe its highly likely the mentioned sectors top in the 1st half? Truly would be a historic run if achieved
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian True that What do you think about his view that all if not most of the cuts this yr will be bullish? Ofc your call of a global busts suggests cutting will eventually be amidst a big downturn - but that’s far away - logical that cuts serve as a tailwind for 6-12M in the interim?
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David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
@BillyBobInvests He finally caught up to my view. He was wrongly skeptical of this market for a couple of years.
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian TY for your perspective Paul Tudor Jones recently spoke of a blow off top similar to 1999 - but even more explosive 1 of his major reasons is the projections of the FED cutting into EOY By his view sounds like he’s looking at the totality/bulk of cuts not just next few in 1H
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David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
@BillyBobInvests It will top out when it does but yes that's quite possible. I've never said highly likely to any timing of the top. Quite possible is very different from highly likely. Just let it play out.
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David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
Metals are in big bull markets that have much more to go.The steep sell-off sets them up for another even steeper leg up.I am raising my gold target to $6800 from $5500 & silver to $180 from $125.Also raising my miner targets to the following:GDX $180,GDXJ $250,SIL $220,SILJ $90.
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian @JasonBr38474283 @competentmanpod Hello sir Decent move up in equities these next few months & blow off top 2H of the year ? Hard seeing S&P moving 40% by end of 1H though Especially when it’s doing literally nothing & has 0 momentum whatsoever
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David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
Here's my interview with Tom Bodrovics @competentmanpod recorded 1/28/26.Lots of discussion about the metals, the equity markets & the bond market as well as a good amount about the global bust that will follow the melt-up & what we likely see after that. youtube.com/watch?v=jck6sk…
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David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
@MacroRambo @xchgffgh @m111ark @Phoenix18217110 @Tej_Sandhu @Nick193527 Sentiment isn't really connected to any price level.The fact that sentiment hasn't even approached extremes yet & that the wall of worry has been rebuilt on small pullbacks has allowed the bull mkt to extend.Once sentiment reaches extreme,mkt will top but not really tied to price
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Nick
Nick@Nick193527·
@DaveHcontrarian so dave what your saying is that xlf has almost double the amount of upside then smh from here according to your targets ?
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
Futes:
Heisenberg tweet media
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian @AirDude11 @dwal111 @TradeGateHub Hello sir Gold’s been doing great Silver is literally parabolic Meanwhile the S&P is basically at the same price level as 3 months ago - with a potential pullback looming as you mentioned Not sure how stagnant price action in equities suddenly morphs into 40% in a few months
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David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
For those who have not seen it yet,here is my 1/7/26 interview with DalePinkert @TradeGateHub where we discussed my bullish outlook for the equity markets,the bond market & the metals & bearish view of the dollar. Always enjoy looking at the charts w/Dale. youtube.com/watch?v=UIVqg_…
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian Merry Christmas sir Sure looks like the metals are a premonition for what’s to come with equity indices Next 3-4 months should be exciting
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Billy Bob
Billy Bob@BillyBobInvests·
@DaveHcontrarian hello sir The market has been in a bull run since late 2022 - 3+ yrs at this point What’s the main reason why you think the markets end in parabolic fashion instead of a steady float upward? Especially when each new rally seems to be met with skepticism & fear
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David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
My wife and I were traveling if that's okay with you. I'm gone five days and some of you go crazy.
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