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BIMA
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BIMA
@BimaBTC
Borrow against your Bitcoin. Earn yield on USBD. Backed by @portalventures and more.
🪃 Katılım Mayıs 2024
113 Takip Edilen137.8K Takipçiler

Everybody is sharing the same Bitcoin chart right now...
"200-week moving average broke. Here comes another June 2022."
But I think that comparison is missing something important.
Why are we not also talking about the bullish divergence on the weekly RSI that happened in December 2022 (not June)?
Or the fact that altcoins actually bottomed before Bitcoin in 2022?
Every cycle looks different. Cherry-picking one fractal from one cycle doesn't tell the whole story.
I continue to think no one knows for sure, but one thing seems clear; we are in opportunity zone. And I think most agree with that.
Intro 00:00
Is every cycle the same? 2:00
Bullish divergence 3:00
Monthly chart clues 4:50
Total market cap 6:45
Altcoin bottom 11:20
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The overwhelming consensus today is that Bitcoin is headed much lower.
Maybe it is. The trend is still down on the higher time frames, macro uncertainty remains elevated, and there are legitimate reasons to be cautious.
But markets have a funny habit of making the majority feel smartest right before they make them the most uncomfortable.
So let's suspend our biases for a moment and ask a different question.
If Bitcoin were actually in the process of putting in a major bottom, what evidence would we expect to see?
A month ago, I laid out the historical case. At the time, I argued that Bitcoin was beginning to enter the same conditions that had accompanied every previous major cycle low. It wasn't a prediction. It was simply an observation that several independent indicators were beginning to align.
Since then, that case has become stronger.
The weekly bullish RSI divergencewith oversold conditions I discussed has now been confirmed. The daily chart is showing the same thing. Momentum is improving even as price remains near its lows, exactly the type of behavior technicians look for when trends begin exhausting themselves.
Bitcoin also continues to find support around its 50-month moving average, a level that has historically marked major long-term buying opportunities. It is also trading around the 200 Weekly MA, a level that has marked every bottom.
On-chain metrics continue to show underwater supply at levels typically associated with broad capitulation, suggesting a significant amount of forced selling has already taken place.
At the same time, whale accumulation has exploded. Large holders are accumulating Bitcoin at the fastest pace ever recorded. These were the same wallets that sold the top. That's worth paying attention to. Historically, the biggest players don't wait for perfect headlines or obvious trend reversals. They accumulate while uncertainty is highest and conviction is lowest.
Then there's sentiment.
Fear and greed is in the gutter.
Also, every major Bitcoin bottom eventually becomes associated with a narrative that feels impossible to overcome while you're living through it. In previous cycles it was Mt. Gox, China's mining ban, COVID, Luna, Celsius, and FTX. At the time, each felt like an existential threat. Looking back, they were signs of peak fear and capitulation.
Today that narrative has become Strategy.
The conversation has shifted away from Bitcoin itself and toward whether Strategy can continue financing its accumulation. The prevailing belief is that dilution is inevitable, capital markets are closing, and Bitcoin can't sustainably recover until Strategy fails first.
But nearly every one of those arguments depends on the same assumption: Bitcoin continues falling.
If Bitcoin stabilizes, trades sideways, or begins recovering over the coming months, much of the bearish case against Strategy begins to unwind naturally. Financing improves. Market confidence returns. Access to capital opens back up. The feedback loop everyone is worried about today begins working in the opposite direction.
In other words, perhaps the market has cause and effect backwards. Strategy doesn't necessarily need to survive in order for Bitcoin to recover. If Bitcoin is already entering a bottoming process, many of the concerns surrounding Strategy may simply resolve themselves.
This brings me to what I think is the most important point.
Major bottoms don't form when everyone suddenly becomes bullish. They form when the market quietly stops going down despite nearly everyone expecting it to.
That's exactly what bullish momentum divergences represent. Price continues testing lows, sentiment remains terrible, headlines stay negative - but underneath the surface, selling pressure begins fading. Momentum improves before price does. Strong hands quietly absorb coins from weak hands. By the time the news turns positive, much of the move has already happened.
None of this guarantees we've seen the final low. Markets don't provide certainty, and major bottoms are rarely clean. They tend to frustrate both bulls and bears before a new trend emerges.
But when I step back and look objectively at the evidence, I see a market where weekly and daily bullish divergences have now been confirmed, long-term support continues to hold, whale accumulation has reached unprecedented levels, on-chain capitulation resembles previous cycle lows, and sentiment has become overwhelmingly one-sided.
Could Bitcoin still make another lower low? Absolutely.
Could this process take longer than anyone expects? Of course.
But if you're intellectually honest enough to consider both sides, I think the bullish case today is far stronger than most people are willing to admit. And historically, that's often what major turning points have looked like.
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I WARNED YOU ABOUT THIS DUMP AT $83K.
Now it’s at $58K.
And the path is still unchanged:
$83K → $65K → $55K → $45K → $65K → $130K → $200K
The bear market is only 50% complete.
Do you honestly think the market will let everyone calmly buy the bottom before the next historic run?
It won’t.
When Bitcoin loses $55K, billions of dollars in leveraged positions will be liquidated.
Stops will trigger.
Forced selling will accelerate.
And once the cascade begins, it will be unstoppable.
At $45K, your portfolio will be bleeding.
Your timeline will declare the bull market over.
The same influencers calling for new highs today will suddenly tell you Bitcoin is heading below $30K.
Most traders will believe them.
They will sell at the exact moment they should be preparing to buy.
And here is the part almost nobody understands:
That final collapse will not destroy the opportunity.
It will create it.
That will be the moment to buy.
Exactly when buying feels the most painful, dangerous, and completely irrational.
When leverage is destroyed, weak hands surrender, and everyone becomes convinced Bitcoin is going lower, that is when the final bear-market bottom will form.
This is how major market bottoms form.
The crowd will see the end.
The traders who remain patient will see the final accumulation window before $200K.
I expect the bear-market bottom to arrive in October.
Then the move nobody believes is possible begins:
$45K → $65K → $130K → $200K
When Bitcoin reaches the bottom, fear will be everywhere, and it will feel like the entire cycle is over.
That is exactly when the next call will matter most.
Because surviving the decline is only half the trade.
The other half is having the conviction to buy when everyone around you is convinced you are making a catastrophic mistake.
Follow me and turn on notifications so you don’t miss that call.
Nonzee@0xNonceSense
$BTC IS SETTING UP THE FINAL DUMP BEFORE $200K The bear market is 50% done. The path I warned about, playing out exactly: $83K → $65K → $55K → $45K → $65K → $200K Bear bottom lands in October. Then the move that nobody believes starts. If you've been following me, you already caught my $16K BTC bottom call and $126K top. The next call is even more important. Follow me and turn notifications on.
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In Crypto right now you can buy $1,250,000 for only $58,000.
You can also buy $2,500 for only $72.
It's insane how many opportunities we have right now.
Instead of being excited and buying more, most people are selling and quitting.
You can literally become a multi millionaire if you become a buyer and never quit.
Crypto is an IQ test hidden in plain sight.
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