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FDA TRADER
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FDA TRADER
@Biotechmaster12
Bio-Tech investor. Not a financial advisor. Founder of FDATRADING
Katılım Eylül 2021
56 Takip Edilen1.3K Takipçiler

@BiotechAutist Ps: I do have a counter, but don’t feel like posting. I was slightly curious as to what your thoughts were. GL👍🏻
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Appreciate the effort, but this is a deeply unserious read of the file.
1/ A Type C meeting is not approval.
It means FDA was willing to review the package on that theory. RGNX already showed that can still blow up at action.
2/ “Different from RGNX” does not solve the core problem.
DNLI still filed an open-label, nonrandomized, no-control-arm phase 1/2 with safety as the primary objective.
3/ The Takeda trial absolutely matters.
It is the only randomized controlled trial in neuronopathic MPS II we have results of, and it gave FDA a concrete reason to doubt that lowering CSF substrate reliably translates into cognitive benefit.
4/ BBB penetration is mechanism, not evidence.
A better mechanistic story is not the same thing as substantial evidence.
5/ The clinical signals are supportive.
They are not a substitute for control.
6/ Process chatter is not evidence.
No AdCom, labeling, PDUFA extension, launch prep, Royalty, Jefferies, none of that answers approvability.
7/ COMPASS being enrolled helps confirmatory posture.
It does not make the filed package is enough.
Regardless, this is still an uncontrolled biomarker package, and the approval case is basically “maybe FDA stretches.” That can happen. But dressing that up as some obvious base-case approval call is just cope.
Ps: Stop having grok write your messages, it's embarrassing.
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@Investorclimber @plainyogurt21 Grabbed on a dip at 3.64 third time buying was today at 4.35 ⚡️ let’s keep running
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@Biotechmaster12 @plainyogurt21 Started a position in $GRCE two days ago at 4.5$ 👍
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@Investorclimber @plainyogurt21 $GRCE will spike decently on approval
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@plainyogurt21 I am short $ALDX and long $RCKT, I also think $GRCE will be approved but not expecting a significant rise in the price, so not playing it yet...considering it though!
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@mariomastrom Those are odds that scream CRL, and there it is. Under $2
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@Biotechmaster12 The poa is 65% … odds have that as favorable for approval
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@mariomastrom Doesn’t mean I don’t hope for approval, but the odds are not in their favor. I don’t need luck. I sold already.
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