Bitcoin Daily

⏰ I just published my first official academic research paper on Bitcoin, live on SSRN. Completely free to read. Titled "Bitcoin Runs on a Clock". A deep dive on the Bitcoin 4 year cycle. Is it real, or have we just been fooling ourselves for 15 years?

@bobbyraines6 Thank you man! Greatly appreciated!

@BitcoinxDaily Best video I’ve seen in a while. Great content!

They lied to you about Altcoins and Altseason... Here is the truth that the data shows.

$64,358 is the line. Reclaim it, $65,561 opens. Lose $62,965, bears own the week. Yesterday: neutral. BTC +1.5%. Hit. Today's call: RANGE (low conviction). $62,860-$65,289. Grades at tomorrow's close. Screenshot it. Chop wins. Prove me wrong. Long or short? 👇

Not calling an exact entry. Here are the levels and the two scenarios. BULL: Reclaim $64,358 (prior-day high) on a 4H close. Opens $65,561. BEAR: Lose $62,965 (week open) on a daily close. $62,500 next, then $62,432.

$BTC Daily Analysis Report 🧵 ETF inflows are back. IBIT +$136.5M yesterday. Four straight sessions. BlackRock loading while retail fears. Bottom in, or just smarter buyers stepping up? $64,170. 👇

@RoaringRagnar I mean you can stand behind a wrong opinion if you want. I stand behind the data, not an opinion.

@BitcoinxDaily I stand by my opinion, whether you like it or not.

It’s increasingly clear that Bitcoin has been in a bear market since late 2021. That‘s almost 5 years. This becomes especially clear when adjusted for purchasing power. It‘s been brutal, not gonna lie. But once the real bull starts, it will be glorious. Patience.

Here is the paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…

The paper is free and always will be. Comment CLOCK and I will DM you the direct link plus the live tracker. ⏰

📅 The last three cycle tops in a row landed inside a narrow window around 18 months after the halving. The bottoms cluster on the calendar too. The swings shrink every cycle. The timing barely moves.

❓ So the cycle is dead, right? This is where it got weird. I stripped price out completely and asked a different question. Forget how big the moves are. When do the turns happen? Not how high. Not how low. Just the calendar. Just the clock.

🔍 Pi Cycle Top. MVRV. The Mayer Multiple. The tools all over your feed every week. I tested whether their signals actually hold up across cycles, instead of just looking clever in hindsight. First question. Do the famous indicators still work?

🔻 They decay. Thresholds that nailed 2013 and 2017 have gone quiet or fired wrong since, because every cycle's swings shrink. Run the strict statistics and none of them pass. Not some. None.