Branchpoint

spot price is the probability-weighted expectation value of all future prices

as of this week i am officially working on @BranchpointXYZ full time! we’re building a composable platform and early markets for multiverse finance, beginning with the hyperliquid hyperEVM. we think this is the best place to find sophisticated traders willing to test new financial primitives in the wild, and are bullish on the growth of the hyperEVM. the idea is simple: financial markets should not only price the odds of future events, they should let assets, lending markets, derivatives, and entirely new instruments exist inside each possible outcome. you should be able to trade BTC inside the universe where the clarity act passes, and compare it with the universe where it doesn't. you should be able to trade oil in the universe where the strait of hormuz is open next week, and where it is not. you should be able to trade taiwanese semiconductor equities and compute futures in the universe where china does not invade taiwan until 2030. many scenarios for which it was impossible to hedge, where the spot price was a smeared out average over these possible futures, will become unlocked and visible. you'll finally know whether or not something has already been priced in. with branchpoint, defi protocols will be able to plug into a smart contract suite that makes them multiverse-aware: conditional assets, borrowing and lending within a given universe, impact markets, conditional smart contracts, and financial primitives we have not yet begun to imagine. you'll be able to position your financial assets contingent on future events before they happen, without making a directional bet on whether it happens. if that sounds like something you want to build, trade, fund, or help bring into existence, reach out. we aim to make the future more legible, complete the markets, improve collective sensemaking, and help discover the impact of events before they happen.