Bruce Yang
106 posts

Bruce Yang
@BruceYang465320
BTC, Nasdaq ,S&P, AI. Welcome to exchange ideas together.
Katılım Ağustos 2024
20 Takip Edilen11 Takipçiler

谢谢Toni的看懂。
以前币圈大家喜欢追meme、追新叙事,但这一轮下来,很多图表最后都长成了左图这同一个样子。
不是说 crypto 绝对没机会了,而是我越来越觉得,真正的 alpha 可能不再来自“下一个热词”,而是来自更耐心的资产配置。
所以我们建立了UEX,为大家提供全球优质资产的交易机会。另外现在我的个人仓位和观察列表也更多放在美股、贵金属、pre-IPO stocks,也留了一些在做earning的稳定币,等一次值博率高的大回调。



0xToni@0xtonixie
中文

$NBIS EARNINGS PREDICTION! 🚀🚀
$NBIS reports on May 13 and I don't think the market knows what's about to hit.
Let me explain why
Q4 2025 was already wild. Revenue up 547% year on year. First ever positive group EBITDA. Sold out of capacity in Q3, Q4 and already sold out into 2026 before the quarter even started.
When you're sold out before the quarter begins, every single GPU you connect goes straight to revenue. There's no demand problem here. The only variable is how fast they can physically plug things in.
$4.3 billion in convertible notes raised in March. 310MW AI factory announced in Finland. Eigen AI acquired last week to supercharge their inference layer. Nine new data center sites.
This isn't a company conserving cash. This is a company sprinting.
Here's what I'm watching on May 13:
Revenue: consensus is $374M. I think $390–420M is more realistic given the sold-out demand and Meta contract fully live.
But revenue isn't even the number that matters most.
ARR is.
They ended 2025 at $1.2B ARR. Their target is $7–9B by end of 2026. That means roughly $600M+ of new ARR every single month for the rest of the year.
If the Q1 exit ARR comes in at $1.7–2.0B, the trajectory is on track and this stock has a lot further to run.
The EPS will be ugly. -$0.73 expected. Doesn't matter. They're spending $16–20 billion building infrastructure this year. Judging NBIS on EPS is like judging Amazon in 2005 on quarterly profit.
Watch the ARR. Watch the connected capacity. Watch whether Microsoft tranche delivery is ahead of schedule.
One good number on any of those and this re-rates fast.
$46 billion in contracted revenue from Meta and Microsoft sitting on the books before a single new customer.
Not financial advice. Know your risk tolerance.

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