Carl31

I know there is a lot of news around but can someone at the Beeb explain to me how a man they keep telling us might be the next PM getting an undisclosed donation of FIVE MILLION POUNDS from a Thai based crypto dealer (with a BS explanation about it being for lifelong security) is not even a news story when the man he wants to replace led the news for days over some glasses and Arsenal tickets?

@NoJusticeMTG Isn't it just a symptom of an ageing population

This is where a decade of "don't have kids if you can't afford them" and endless hand-wringing over child benefit has gotten us

Stats on the 2m5f hcp chase are mixed but what's a common factor is a relatively recent run 9 of last 9 winners have ran 38 or fewer days ago

@MichaelTK1973 Usually winners had at worst a 4th place in best of last 3, 9 of last 10 yrs. The top weight is fav but off 122 it's OR too high. Biggest price last 10yr - 33s 2015 but apart from that 25s. I reckon nos 6 7 8 12 20 22 make a shortlist Matching to you .. Long branch Straight john

2:30 Punchestown Too many horses meet the current trends 🟢 OR 107-121 9/9 🟢 Weight (minus claim) 10-8 to 11-10 9/9 🟢 3+ season runs 9/9 🔴 7yo 0/43 🔴 9yo 0/17 🔴 10yo 0/10 So looking at the first 3 of those that meet these and are nearest the top of the adjusted RPR’s, you’re left with Long Branch @ 16/1 Straight John @ 8/1 Claude @ 40/1

@ChrisGartner2 @ayrracecourse The grounds came for Tutti Quanti ...buy it can dry very quickly

5mins 38 seconds that last race @ayrracecourse slowest time for that race in 27 years. 12 seconds slower than officially soft ground two years ago. Just get the goings right!

@AntepostValue @ChrisGartner2 It's near seaside and dep on direction the wind can make a big difference up home straight

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scottish National Is going to take some serious getting tomorrow! Multiple race times (setting slowly run records for over 2 to 3 decades) have been flagged by @ChrisGartner2 Jamie Snowden has a dour stayer who loves testing conditions 👀

@Sean__Dunne1 Is there any guess of how many lengths IAM saved round the inside

Watching back the Grand National, that’s a ride Ben Jones will want back on Jordans! He’s made a real name for himself this season, but that looked like a rush of blood on the big stage. Travelling alongside I Am Maximus at Valentine’s, he then goes wide, kicks on far too early, and effectively tries to win it from over a mile out. To still finish 3rd after forcing it like that is some effort. But with a bit more patience, you can’t help but feel he’d have won. x.com/RacingTV/statu…

Moe Skinner or Seymour Sislak

Why does the top half of Principal Skinner's head and the bottom half of Moe Sislak's head, when spliced together, look like Nigel Farage?

> My heart tells me he wins. My head tells me something beats him. .. Could be they're looking at this as a stepping stone to RA in June ..and that would be amazing and I'd love to see it .. but usually that's for improving 4yos not 9yos At 5s in places I will have a bit on :)

> So dep on how much more CH could give, he could maybe run to I guess around 120, but I think it could be he runs to nearer 110ish ... But he's fit from Jumps and has high cruising speed and 1m5f should be easily in his scope where others might not be fit nor stay trip >

I really want Constitution Hill to win Saturday and go on to be a flat hero. But, there are a few opponents rated mid one-teens and on evidence of 2 aw runs CH will have a bit to do >

> 2 runs ago he beat the 2nd 9.5 lengths not hard pushed getting 5lb That horse prev beat a OR93 one 3+ lengths giving 5lb A calc leads to CH possibly beating a 100OR performance by 9.5 length nicely getting 5lb ..but possibly that one underperformed >

@MichaelTK1973 Why not Guard the moon

@MichaelTK1973 Ask brewsters only had 3 runs this season

@BenRead37577737 @wtwfan12195 @MichaelTK1973 Looked back as far as 2009 The only winning fav was Capt Conan 2013 The only top rated was it top on 155 in 2011 .. Whilst I think Lulamba will win it's not a betting race now such a poor record of favs and best OR

@BenRead37577737 @wtwfan12195 @MichaelTK1973 Bouvreil too None of the 5yos were top rated in the field let alone off 162 and 12lb above next best OR Having had quick look back this OR162 looks about the highest there's been since 2015 ... But like it says above - a stats just a stat

The MANIFESTO trends for those that don’t like the trends and want Lulamba to win by half the track. 🟢 OR 147+ 9/9 🟢 Age 6-8 9/9………Oh shit KOKTAIL DIVIN Of course Lulamba will probably win. They’re just trends.

@Moray_Smith Imperial Saint must have a decent chance if he gets in

Spillanes Tower has been declared for the Grand National as expected this morning. They will run tomorrow in the Bowl if the ground is deemed to have enough give in it, otherwise they'll wait to see if it's any better on the National course on Saturday. It looks touch and go for Imperial Saint to squeeze in.

@ChrisGartner2 The Skelton one that was plot last time out probably beats it

Be interested to see if the same voices who've called out the Skelton's will do the same if Sans Bruit wins for a third time in the Red Rum?

@MichaelTK1973 Recency favours single figure aged ones (similar to GN prob course changes related)

The FOXHUNTERS 🟢 Age 7-12 9/9 🟢 No headgear 8/9 🟢 OR 129+ 8/9 🔴 10yo 0/53 - 5 placed 🔴 Cheekpieces 0/63 - 4 placed Unfortunately brings back all the current top 3 in the market plus Let’s Go Champ.