Cage Theory MMA

#UFC329 Official Card Results: +1.7u ✅ Can't help but be a little upset about the Kavanagh loss given it would have turned this into a +14u night, but that makes it five winning events in a row. We'll continue to pick our spots. A good slate is cooking for #UFCOklahoma

@eazy1504 Same. He’s massive. I don’t think he needs the size though. Just needs to keep distance and use footwork and he should coast

@CageTheoryMMA Liking CLD more after seeing the face offs, should’ve added him to my parlays but I’ll live with it. Didn’t know he would be that big compared to Jared

#UFCOKC OFFICIAL Card ✅☑️ DDP... don't make me look foolish. Light card this week, a lot of bouts that can go either way. I did end up biting on McMillen via KO. Montes will struggle with the pressure, but a banger fight regardless. Lets go for our 6th winning event in a row. No need to throw the bankroll on this one in my opinion. Calculated winnings. If you remember earlier posts, I was able to get in on DDP at -163 on Polymarket. ALWAYS leave open orders, sometimes they get filled at ridiculous odds. #Gambling𝕏 #UFC #Sports

@VeneziMMA JPL by KO is more likely imo. Seok has fantastic top pressure so don't need a sub from the bottom. Can really only see a club and sub

This weeks longshot method bet for #UFCOKC Who sells me here? It is +15000 for a reason, but I think some of the numbers for props are wrong. Let me know what you think ⬇️#UFC #MMA #FIGHTS

* not officially taking him. But for the love of the game he’s on my personal bet slip

#UFCOKC #Gambling𝕏 I’m not in the business of giving out picks I’m 50/50 or 60/40, but damnit I’m taking McMillan. Confidence and aura is half of the game in this business and that dude believes he is going to win

@finz_the @VeneziMMA Unit sizing when you’re at the event goes out the window. Those are the rules! Enjoy the event

@VeneziMMA I'm feeling dangerous

🚨OFFICIAL WAGERS for #UFCOKC🚨 [2.00u] +118 Alberto Montes [2.00u] -120 Jose Delgado [2.00u] +114 RJ Harris [2.00u] +120 Ezra Elliott [2.00u] +190 Kamaru Usman [2.00u] +105 Dione Barbosa SUB [2.00u] +155 CLD ITD [2.00u] +120 Seok Hyun KO DEC. [2.00u] +108 Hooper/Ramirez U1.5 RDs [2.00u] +110 Fatime Kline -5.5 Spread

As a young up and coming prospect, it doesn’t get much better than getting call for the easiest top five matchup of anyone in your division. Great opportunity for Stirling, regardless of the outcome #UFC #Kiwi #Gambling𝕏

@MMA_RAX Hey Pulyaev survived with Ateba too! I’m trying not to overthink this one though

Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Jared Cannonier Prediction Pick: ⛔️ STAY AWAY! ⛔️ Been down this road fading Cannonier too many times. He headlined six consecutive UFC events prior to his loss to MVP last year. If Andrey Pulyaev survived CLD to a decision... UFC OKC Stats Comp:

@VeneziMMA I think if you take Cannonier you have to be doing it for the pure value. I believe it’s a horrible matchup for him

Bets I’m considering making for #UFCOKC Delgado ML -105 Hooper RD1/2 -105 Jared Cannonier +305 DDP ML -250 Coria KO +145 Thoughts and opinions? What lines are y’all looking at this weekend ? #UFC #MMA #FIGHTS #PFL #UFC329 #UFC330

@eazy1504 I think he made enough money and it’s hard to find that hunger to step in the cage 2-3 times a year after Usman’s career. I don’t blame him

@CageTheoryMMA Time off definitely helps DDP more. Has Usman been hurt between the time he took between the Khamzat and Buckley fight? If not can’t believe he really wasted away 3 years of his career

Something extra exciting about a high level fight when one (or both) have taken significant time off. DDP looks massive, and I’m going into this fight believing he’s bettered parts of his weaker wrestling defense. Excited for this one #UFCOKC

@BloodSweatBetz In other words, I’d cap Usman by Dec around +300 to +325 so +425 is a good line (to me)

@BloodSweatBetz Yup. From an implied odds standpoint, I rate Usman wins by decision 80% of the time. Those odds imply a 61% chance that if Usman wins he wins by decision which I think is low. Hammer away!

🩸BloodSweatBet🩸 💰Usman ML (+220) .25u 💰Usman DEC (+420) .25u Sprinkling a on the dog this week. DDP is a beast, but I think this line is wider than it should be. Taking a shot on Usman ML and DEC #ufc #mma #ufcokc #ufcfightnight

@TheRealDWill__ Wow didn’t expect CLD -3.5 to be -145. I like that a lot. I got burned by that against Dolidze but feels safer here

Most Confident Picks for #UFCOKC • CLD -3.5 point spread (-145) • Fatima Kline Round 3/Decision (-195) • Dione Barbosa -5.5 point spread (don’t have odds yet) • Jose Delgado ML (-115) #GamblingX

@blackqwueen Hasn’t been a shortcoming this year that’s for sure. The vets are crafty!

@CageTheoryMMA Yeah I just haven’t seen enough from CLD that would make me think he is ready for cannonier who has been a tough out for many. I do lean heavy on vets though it’s a shortcoming of mine I guess. We will see

#UFCOKC Official Plays so far (units risked): DDP + CLD parlay (-115) 2.9u CLD via KO (+225) 1u Looking more into the Franco, Delgado, and McMillan fights as well. Nothing else is calling out to me yet Should a lighter week

@4ozSniper Honestly feel the opposite. Big lanky patient striker with grappling upside. Could see a crafty 29-28 Dec for Ruziboev

Should be MVP all day but I’m sensing an upset

@KJsSports1 When this line dropped, I was all over Montes, but that’s why rewatching fights is important because I walked away siding with McMillan here

Yall are gassing Montes up to be some type of killer and i hope he delivers. If McMillen doesn’t get caught in that anaconda/darce choke Montes does, I can see him brawling his way to a W. Watch the first round of Calderon v Montes. Calderon took him down twice and was tagging him on the feet. #UFCOklahoma

@blackqwueen Cannonier vs Borralho will look very similar to CLD vs Cannonier. However, I understand you’re getting a good price on a veteran of the division, so I don’t fault you for taking a shot on Cannonier, I just don’t agree

Looking at cannonier record, throw out the page fight because he makes every fight boring. Fight of the night win against robocop Fight of the night loss to borralho Loss to top contender imavov Win vettori Win Strickland Loss adesayna for the belt CLD lost to robocop. Dolidze is his big win? Yeah I’d put my money with cannonier. I just haven’t seen anything from CLD that makes me think he will beat cannonier unless cannonier has dropped off tremendously.