




MyIas McNutIy
39 posts

@CalebCook498298
Former micro-cap equity analyst, former micro-cap-focussed investment manager. Now managing my own book, predominantly trading UK micro-caps.






#NEO @NeoEnergyMetals - a high risk, but potentially ultra-high reward, uranium-gold brownfield play in South Africa.




Using Shore Cap's modelling below: if we up their forecast gold price of $3,200/oz, to the current $4,800/oz, then #NEO's Beisa Mine will be generating EBITDA of circa $207m pa by 2030, jumping to $226m in 2031 once uranium production also hits nameplate capacity. Compare that to the $194m in total capex (both development and sustaining) required over the next three years to achieve that. Moreover, note that material revenue and profitability will be achieved in 2027, well before a big chunk of that $194m is required. Shore estimates that less than $100m will be required to get Beisa into positive cashflows, from this point. All this is based on U staying at $85/lb. There are many who think it could be in for a >50% move north over the coming 12 months.












