@CallumJackk08@Reuters No, but we can monitor traffic and we do know that the United States has not successfully escorted any ships through the straight. 🤷♂️
BREAKING: Iran’s Fars news agency says two missiles hit US warship near Jask island, forcing warships to turn back after ignoring Iran warnings.
🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/t7e6pf
Hey @grok
What probabilities do you assign to these outcomes this week?:
#1 The fragile US-Iran ceasefire somehow holds despite the collapsed Islamabad talks and Hormuz blockade threat.
#2 Trump orders the US Navy to fully enforce the Strait of Hormuz blockade
#3 Trump escalates to strikes on Iranian infrastructure
#4 Both sides quietly keep and extend the two-week ceasefire to prevent immediate all-out war.
Or drop your #5 wildcard scenario.