average_canary

@Jeffely For example you say, “these facts together”….I’m sorry but did I miss something here, because unless I have I cannot see how these ‘facts’ tell me anything. I’m not arguing against your ultimate conclusion (and I suspect you’re right) but against your example that I don’t follow

PS: None of this is proof that Delta is nothing to be worried about. I am certainly worried about it. Its early days. But sometimes statistics can look more scary than they really are.

The base-rate fallacy is about to become a daily nuisance when it comes to processing outbreak data in highly vaccinated societies. Here's a cautionary tale.

@Jeffely I’m sorry but I read the thread and maybe I’m being thick but I don’t follow the sequence of certain prior premises in sequence in your tweets. It seems like you leave out info and then retro apply a prior assumption/fact such as a number.

They didn't want me to finish this speech. About why friendlyjordies' producer, Kristo Langker, was arrested by the NSW fixated persons, counter-terrorism unit. #auspol PART 1

@NSWHealth Do I neee to wear a mask in my office if I’m sitting nowhere near anyone else and further if im sitting in my own office? Seems rather silly of theres 4 walls surrounding me and 10 meters between me and the next person. Your health website says no but your announcement said yes.

NSW recorded 18 locally acquired cases of COVID-19 in the 24 hours to 8pm last night, 13 of which were already announced yesterday morning. NSW Health has also been notified of six new locally acquired cases overnight. These cases will be included in tomorrow's numbers.

BREAKING. Most of Kristo’s gag orders lifted. Grateful for that. The work on beating the charges lies ahead.

@Oeildetriton @BradHazzard If that the case then it’s really going to undermine the public’s faith in the testing system. I mean we accept false positives can happen, but the health minister of NSW….really?!?

@CanaryAverage @BradHazzard Yes heard that too

Following concerns of a Positive Covid case at NSW Parliament House I woke to Health advice & followed the advice. Isolated. Got tested. Was interviewed. Just been advised I have had a NEGATIVE test result. Further I have been determined as a casual contact & out of isolation!

@Rannonj @NSWHealth Change your breathing?!?! Are you for real?!!? I’m not changing the way I breath - that’s stupid.

@CanaryAverage @NSWHealth I had 5 three layer masks which I hand washed & air dried weekly. Walking outside took sometime to get used too but it is possible you just change your breathing. My friends mum was on oxygen & still wore hers when needed but unfortunately passed from her condition.

⚠️NEW COVID-19 RESTRICTIONS FOR GREATER SYDNEY (including the Central Coast, Blue Mountains, Wollongong and Shellharbour)⚠️ For details, read the full media release: nsw.gov.au/media-releases….

@dragonsgirl7 @NSWHealth Stupid comment. Why stop there. It’s arbitrary. You could just as well argue to shut down all social gatherings entirely, but that’s not happening is it.

@CanaryAverage @NSWHealth Wearing a mask is soooo much worse than contracting a disease, suffering through it and passing it onto your loved ones and others. God help us 🤦🏼‍♀️.

So NSW Police can't arrest violent misogynistic men abusing and stalking their partners and ex-partners, or alleged rapists like Christian Porter, but when they get the call from Super Mario Bruz they're all over there like a hot rash. Disgusting, corrupt, to be expected

@payvision are you experiencing technical issues?

@paul_osah @Mark97248105 @bully_zw @KhaledBeydoun So Musk is more African than Kumaru then?

The UFC has 3 African Champs: — Israel Adesanya 🇳🇬 — Francis Ngannou 🇨🇲 — Kamaru Usman 🇳🇬 #UFC261

@FullyGraced @ultrazephyr @dorysean @ufc No he should look at how GSP, Francis, Whittaker and others conduct themselves. GSP got smack talked all the time but remained a class act. Kumaru is brash, which he’s entitled to be but he mustn’t expect adulation from many.

@CanaryAverage @ultrazephyr @dorysean @ufc Really? So he should bow his head and thank them for disrespecting him? You all just sounds the same. If you can’t get respect you take it and then you will hear them say you earned it but it’s false cause you took it. Sleep on that

"All the props to him in the world." 🤝 #UFC261

@CoachQuinton @ShaunBang @arielhelwani @GeorgesStPierre I like GSP far more but he gets murdered by Usman. The sport has moved on, save your nostalgia.

@CanaryAverage @ShaunBang @arielhelwani @GeorgesStPierre You honestly think Usman beats a prime GSP right now? It would be an incredible match up but I still thinks GSP finds a way to win.

Some thoughts on Kamaru Usman’s place in the sport and how far he’s come from the “30%” days: espn.com/mma/story/_/id…

@Ollieslost @espnmma @USMAN84kg Thanks mate

Your worst nightmare 😰 #UFC261

@MollyWop9 @Tbruck_1 @jbilla76 @KhaledBeydoun I think it undermines the real meaning of a nationality if someone whose hardly lived in that country calls themselves it. When a born and raised Nigerian wins a UFC title I’ll consider them the first Nigerian champion. But do as you please.

@ShaunBang @arielhelwani @GeorgesStPierre Usman is already much better than GSP ever was. That said, he’ll never be as liked. He just rubs people the wrong way.

@arielhelwani For sure one of the best at the moment but it still rubs me the wrong way the disrespect @GeorgesStPierre gets by being overlooked by saying Usman is the greatest 170lber. Usman is on the way to being one of the GOATs if he keeps this up but GSP is still the best welterweight

@MollyWop9 @Tbruck_1 @jbilla76 @KhaledBeydoun He can claim he’s from Siberia if he wants, but the fact is he was raised in America, learnt his craft in America, grew up on American culture. He owes his MMA success largely to his luck of having grown up in America. He harks for some sorta Nigerian fantasy.