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Capital Valor
8.5K posts
Capital Valor
@CapitalValor
Institutional investor (single name moves mentioned are in my private book). Value focus.
Katılım Nisan 2020
861 Takip Edilen10.7K Takipçiler
Crazy chart. EM getting flushed.
Solid reversal trade ahead of us if we get a deal.
Eric Wallerstein@ericwallerstein
stole this from Oxford Economics. EM is getting shellacked when you remove TSMC, Samsung and SK Hynix.
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@T3_RM Aussie government out with some of the most aggressive tax policies/rugpull.
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Lots of tweets from Aussie friends.
Getting a taste of socialism.
See you all offshore 😉
GIF
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@gr8t4ver Dont want to be too cute here. I think this CVR has decent chance of paying out, at least in part.
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$PESO now a 2.5x since ny first tweet just 5 months ago.
Capital Valor@CapitalValor
$PESO Narrator: it was real… Stock +33% today 👀 and +100% since the below.
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Good time to buy WTI calls as hedges in case we get no deal again.
Works well against a portfolio that enjoys low energy prices.
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Not really looking to buy anything else, currently, but bombed out solar stocks with good balance sheets are somewhat compelling ngl.
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GCP and AWS and Azure earnings are only going to be limited by access to power and compute for the next 3 years btw
Advertising is going to be the first and most direct sector beneficiary of ML btw
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SK Hynix, and Samsung, and Micron, and Sandisk are no longer cyclical companies btw
memory prices are going to double again btw
we're going to 1,000x available inference compute by 2030 btw
we're going to double the entire US electric grid in less than 10 years btw
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Interesting CVRs
$kzr quick payout. Distributes cash above 50 m at closing. Below $7.35 it makes sense
$cnta 3 payouts. First FDA approval in any indication before 1/1/2030 should be relatively easy to achieve
$xoma gamble into trial with $jnj
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Taking off. I’m massive in the name. $BCAR
Capital Valor@CapitalValor
Here we go - we’re moving $BCAR I’m large here AI winner, risk-free
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First convoy of 5 tankers reported to have cleared Strait of Hormuz late Monday. Long way to go for anything close to normal but this should amplify pressure on IRGC as their leverage in negotiations is eroding.
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Today is the first time I am seeing light at the end of the tunnel in the war. Maybe, if US plays all the cards right, this could end in an open strait for navigation. Still lots of obstacles though, main one being IRGC is still there and still has missiles
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone
MAERSK SAYS STRAIT OF HORMUZ TRANSIT WAS COMPLETED WITHOUT INCIDENT, ALL CREW ARE SAFE AND UNHARMED
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@CuchulainKE QSR breaking out to highs so not a GLP1 story you’d think
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Effects of the Ozempic trade haven't made it to LATAM yet
Capital Valor@CapitalValor
@orrdavid Very interesting observation. Have been watching the pair and couldn’t explain the moves. Baffling to see MCD underperform its Latam franchisee ARCO by 25% YTD as well.
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@orrdavid Very interesting observation. Have been watching the pair and couldn’t explain the moves. Baffling to see MCD underperform its Latam franchisee ARCO by 25% YTD as well.
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Same pair peaked May 2022 as well, a key turning point for months in speculative stocks.
David Orr@orrdavid
$MCD McDonalds peaked Feb 27th. right when I peaked this year. $QSR Burger King, Tim Hortons and Popeyes began is run on Feb 27th, basically the same exact time. This is just long/short pair traders blowing out, right?
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Everyone now bullish SK Square but are missing a key critical variable in their math
True SK Square connoisseurs know what I’m talking about
Asymmetric Bets@UncleAlpha007
$000660 $402340 SK Square trades at 2x earnings and owns 20% of SK Hynix Available on Interactive Brokers now — much cheaper than $MU (SK Hynix has similar market cap to MU but 2x profit) … and they tell me I’m a “pump account”
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Tap the button. This time as owner of $GOOG and $AMZN 😅
Capital Valor@CapitalValor
Why do I bother with small caps, industrial shitcos etc, when I could just own big tech, developing some of the world's most exciting technologies?
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