@rachbarnhart Remarkable so far - Penfield, Pittsford, Perinton, Mendon (!), Rush (!!), complete flips of town boards, with Webster up as well. Had been trending this way, but pretty staggering to see
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Chaz Rorick
6.7K posts
Chaz Rorick
@ChazRor
Imagery Analyst | Map Nerd University of Vermont '19, University of Aberdeen '23. #NASASocial alum.
Rochester, NY Katılım Kasım 2011
586 Takip Edilen589 Takipçiler
Looking at turnout data in some of these races, it's pretty clear blanks banked left and voted D. By a lot.
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@Matt_Bove A way too early gut reaction, but Joe Brady's seat is at least getting a *little* hotter watching this first half. Remarkably undisciplined out of a bye week.
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What a terrible sequence for the Bills. Not only can the WRs not get open, they don’t know where the line up.
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@danfetes If it's possible to get one of your signature interception calls on amy/all future Saints drives it'd be much appreciated 🙏
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@Taniel When the Genesee Brewery spouts white smoke, Rochester has elected a new mayor
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Polls are now closed in the elections everyone is waiting for, the Rochester and Syracuse mayoral primaries.
Taniel@Taniel
the 10 main elections I'm watching tonight... ... that are NOT the New York City mayoral race.
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@lxeagle17 A flip here could present some national tea leaves too: lots of farms/ag groups depend on federal projects that are currently frozen, St. Lawrence ports and infrastructure projects are in limbo, etc. Lots of typically non-Dem groups getting pissed could get... interesting
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The blowback that Trump and the GOP are seeing in public opinion and media is nowhere near what is necessary to curb their actions and if anyone wants a message sent, flipping this Trump +21 seat and cutting the GOP majority down further would be a really good way to do it.
Blue Dog Bark@BlueDogBark
dairy farmer @BlakeGendebien will be the Democratic nominee in this spring's special election to represent NY-21 (the North Country) in Congress
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@Blake_Allen13 They are trying their absolute hardest to make the NY21 special interesting
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Trump is taxing you over $800 dollars more this year. Trump - and the Republican Party - are taking that money out of your pockets
Ryan Petersen@typesfast
It’s official, the 25% tariffs on all Canadian good. Goes live at midnight tonight.
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@lxeagle17 The permitting nightmare strikes everywhere, working in water quality is no different. Big, useful projects for flood mitigation, streambank stabilization, etc. get caught the regulatory whirlpool for way too long.
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There is no group in America that does more harm to their own cause than the environmental justice movement, and any sane approach to tackling climate change and its consequences has got to begin with figuring out how to get around them quickly.
Tahra Hoops@TahraHoops
Yup. When the Forest Service identifies high-risk forests needing prescribed burns, it takes an average of 4.7 YEARS just to get through environmental reviews. For complex projects, it's 7.2 years - longer than many fire cycles.
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@lxeagle17 It'd be a heavy lift, even for Jones (who's an awesome dude). Sarah Compo Pierce comes to mind as an overperformer, Mayor of Watertown, worked for a Rep St. Senator, but it's a nonpartisan role and she likely wouldn't run as a Dem.
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Democratic odds of winning this were always low, because Trump won it by 21%. Jones won a Zeldin +12 seat by 25, though, and he could have made it interesting.
Without him, the seat is very safely Republican. You need ”exceptional” to win this as a Democrat.
Ian Pickus 🥎@IanPickus
Assemblyman D. Billy Jones of the 115th district, likely Democrats' most prominent potential candidate, will not run in the #NY21 special election when Rep. Stefanik heads to the UN
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Chaz Rorick retweetledi
Good morningggg #BillsMafia !!
In honor of Victory Monday, a generous anonymous donor is giving away a pair of Club Seats to this weekends game 💙❤️
To enter - RT, but you need to follow me as well so that I can message you if you win (delete me later if you think I’m annoying 🙃)
Please make sure you are absolutely able to go to this game if you enter!
Winner will be pulled Thursday (12/26) at 6pm so you plenty of time to plan.
GO BILLS!
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Chaz Rorick retweetledi
@KrangTNelson Waiting to hear back from the weather service but I'm a little worried he's *not an actual radar of Rochester... looking into this
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@nikicaga I mean this is one of (though by no means only) the reasons the Lt. Governor office flipped in Vermont - highly educated voters don't like weird public health stances, and this certainly won't play well in primary ads.
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I think the Democratic primary electorate can tolerate a lot, but this is probably one of the worst things for it?
The type of highly engaged lib who votes in primaries finds this disqualifying, and this is BEFORE we start hearing about deaths due to RFK Jr.
Jacob Rubashkin@JacobRubashkin
Gonna start a series called “Tweets that will come up in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary”
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@Thorongil16 One of my favorite plans doing some purposeful upzoming is Colorado Springs, the county re-did it's master plan after realizing they'd outgrow Denver in the next decade elpaso-hlplanning.hub.arcgis.com
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@BruneElections He might be busy gearing up for racing season - the Governor's Cup is early this year, late June!
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What's up with Vermont politicians taking so long to declare? Phil Scott and Bernie Sanders have yet to decide if they are running for reelection.
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@BenJ_Rosenblatt Their parcel viewer here looks updated as of January, checks out with their published map (unless I'm also looking at the wrong leg map, entirely possible) chqgov.com/information-se…
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@ChazRor The version on Chautauqua's ArcGIS Rest API service is definitely out-of-date, I know that for sure
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Making an appeal for any election/gov data folks: I'm looking for shapefiles/GIS files for County Legislature Districts for the following NY counties: Chautauqua, Chemung, Erie, Franklin, Herkimer, Lewis, Montgomery, Rensselaer, and Schuyler.
Please LMK if you have 'em!
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@BenJ_Rosenblatt No worries, it's a pain to keep track of. I'm checking on Chautauqua's now, it's available on their parcel viewer at least and looks up to date
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@ChazRor ...and this moment is when I remembered that Chemung county literally *names* their Election Districts with their Legislative Districts, and I already had the EDs. Welp.
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@BenJ_Rosenblatt Sent! I'll do some digging on the others, though it's certainly hit or miss whether the counties/regional planning boards have them
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@ChazRor Amazing!! If it's up-to-date, please send it to me at ben@benjrosenblatt.com -- thank you!
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@BenJ_Rosenblatt I believe I have Chemung! Double checking it's not an old version now but I believe it's up to date
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Another update: I have Erie! Just looking now for NY County Legislative District shapefiles for Chautauqua, Chemung, Franklin, Montgomery, Rensselaer, and Schuyler counties
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@BenJ_Rosenblatt @DrewSav True, and there was worry on the ground that things would be close - turns out more town board seats flipped last year than any year in recent memory. Political roller coasters at every level!
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In 2014, longtime Rochester area Rep. Louise Slaughter shockingly came close to losing reelection even though Obama carried her district by 19% just two years earlier. Slaughter was not helped by Cuomo's dismal performance at the top of the ticket.
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