Chefs Picks
722 posts

Chefs Picks
@ChefsPickMenu
@chefspicksmenu FOLLOW ‘26 NBA POTD’s: 44-21 ‘26 MLB POTDs: 12-4 JOIN THE FREE DISCORD NOW ⬇️ https://t.co/eRH7o2dUte
Lock City Katılım Temmuz 2025
116 Takip Edilen226 Takipçiler

WE ARE BACK ON X AGAIN 🧑🍳🧑🍳
Chef’s MLB Play #1 (12-4 Record) 🔥
Alec Bohm O 4.5 Fantasy Score 🔔
Bohm is on a ridiculous run right now and hitting everything and gets a great matchup vs abbott. Bohm has been crushing Lefties lately and has great history vs Abbott. 👀
Also, DISCORD IS ON A 21-3 MLB RUN these last couple days since updating our algorithm. Join at link in bio ✅✅
Dropping 2 more plays soon 👀❤️

English

NBA Playoff Fade of the Day 🏀
Chet Holmgren U 10.5 Rebounds + Assists 📉
Ill drop POTD #3 once we hit 40 ❤️ 's
This is a difficult matchup for Chet’s RA production. The Spurs allowed the 4th fewest rebounds to PFs this season and the 6th fewest rebounds to centers over their final 30 regular season games, making rebounding upside limited in this spot.
San Antonio also takes away the main areas where Chet creates assists. They allowed the 2nd fewest assists from the above-the-break area where 70% of his assists originate, along with the 4th fewest assists from the mid-range zone where another 20% of his assists come from.
Chet already went under this line in Game 1 with only 8 RA despite the game going to double overtime. He’s also gone under in 6/7 matchups against San Antonio while averaging just 8.3 RA. The recent playoff volume has not been strong either, with only 2.3 potential assists and 15.3 rebound chances per game. With Jalen Williams back in the lineup, Chet’s opportunities could decrease even further. He’s gone under in all 3 playoff games with Williams active while averaging 7.7 RA.

English

@PropKitchen @betsbybray @waltpicks @propsdotcash Schwarber being out should help you a ton here, Good luck My man
English

FADE OF THE DAY 📉
⚾️ PK Dish #3 (5/20)
🍽️ 𝐀𝐧𝐝𝐫𝐞𝐰 𝐀𝐛𝐛𝐨𝐭𝐭 𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 𝟒.𝟓 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐤𝐞𝐨𝐮𝐭𝐬
Cooked w/ @betsbybray 🤝 @waltpicks
LIKE IF TAILING ❤️
• Abbott has been struggling this season, and this matchup screams another tough spot with how hot the Phillies have been.
• We are playing Abbott due to him being under this line in 7/10 games this season, averaging just 3.5 Ks per game while ranking among some of the worst strikeout pitchers in the league.
• Across the last three seasons, he has faced the Phillies in 4 separate games and has cleared this line in only 1 of them while averaging 3.8 Ks per game. He’s also struggled against this current lineup that the Phillies have built.
• Abbott’s advanced metrics show the strikeout concerns clearly⬇️
💥 10.2 BB% — 32nd Percentile
💥 .269 BA — 30th Percentile
💥 25.7 Chase% — 18th Percentile
💥 20.5 Whiff% — 22nd Percentile
💥 15.6 K% — 16th Percentile
💥 79.5 Contact% — 22nd Percentile
💥 9.1 SwStr% — 17th Percentile
💥 .266 xBA — 29th Percentile
💥 .329 xwOBA — 45th Percentile
• This matchup is ROUGH for Abbott as the Phillies are batting .334 against him across 59 total plate appearances. That is a major concern for a pitcher who already isn’t striking out enough bats and is allowing plenty of contact.
• Overall, Abbott’s strikeout profile is ugly, the Phillies have seen him well, and this lineup has more than enough contact to keep the ball in play. We like the under.
Best Odds: -120 HR / -125 DK
📣 Turn notifications on for the BEST Props served by the BEST Chefs on X!
📊 All Data is powered by @propsdotcash ~ Use Code PK25 for 25% off your first month of subscription!
#MLB #MLBPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX

English

@thejoeholkashow I like it Joe, good luck today and maybe we can collab sometime!
English

#1 – Jalen Williams: Over 21.5 PTS+AST
PLAY OF THE DAY
Hit ❤️ if you're on the Play of the Day
Jalen Williams has been on a different level recently, hitting this at 83% over his last 20 games and clearing it in every playoff game this season across 3 appearances while averaging 26.7 PTS+AST.
And game 1 confirmed the ceiling, delivering 29 PTS+AST and showing the volume is real.
But the per-minute playoff pace makes the case even stronger, projecting Williams to 26.6 PTS+AST based on 3 playoff games, sitting 4.6 above this line.
So elite volume, a number he's hitting in every playoff game, and no reason to think tonight is different.
Best Line: Hard Rock -115

Joe Holka@thejoeholkashow
#1 Jalen Williams: O 21.5 Pts+Ast👇
English

Chef’s MLB Play #2 🧑🍳⚾️👀
Jack Leiter O 5.5 Ks 🤠
This ones as simple as ever, Leiter dominated rockies last time out, Rockies K rate top 3 in the league.
❤️ if your tailing

English

0.80u | Shohei Ohtani o6.5 Strikeouts
-132 @ KS, -135 @ BMGM
playable up to -150
SDP is rolling out its typical RHH-heavy lineup: Tatis, Andujar, Manny, Bogaerts, Castellanos, Laureano, and Fermin, with the two LHH being Sheets and Merrill.
Shohei is heavy on his 4S & Sweeper combo against RHH, which is the main reason he owns a +11.6 K% against RHH.
Against 97-101 MPH 4S, SDP has a 32.6 K% and a 30.1 Whiff%. The struggles continue against Sweepers, where they carry a 34.8 K% and a 36.8 Whiff%.
The main reason I’m taking this line is the Sweeper, which SDP has struggled against all season. Ohtani is generating a 37.5 K% and a 42.1 Whiff% with that pitch.
SDP lineup vs 97-101 MPH 4S:
Fernando Tatis 50.0 K% | 42.3 Whiff%
Miguel Andujar 30.0 K% | 9.5 Whiff%
Gavin Sheets 20.0 K% | 15.2 Whiff%
Manny Machado 43.8 K% | 37.1 Whiff%
Xander Bogaerts 20.0 K% | 30.4 Whiff%
Jackson Merrill 43.8 K% | 45.7 Whiff%
Nick Castellanos 30.0 K% | 25.0 Whiff%
Ramon Laureano 53.3 K% | 36.4 Whiff%
Freddy Fermin 33.3 K% | 44.4 Whiff%
SDP RHH vs Sweepers:
Fernando Tatis 33.3 K% | 37.0 Whiff%
Miguel Andujar 33.3 K% | 34.5 Whiff%
Manny Machado 44.4 K% | 44.7 Whiff%
Xander Bogaerts 20.0 K% | 21.9 Whiff%
Nick Castellanos 11.1 K% | 31.8 Whiff%
Ramon Laureano 77.8 K% | 53.8 Whiff%
Freddy Fermin 37.5 K% | 43.8 Whiff%
#MLBPicks #FreePicks #BettingTwitter #SportsBetting

English

@AlexCaruso Lu will have a bounce back game today, this should be a great value here with just 2 3s needing to go though
English

Play of the Day.
Lu Dort Over 5.5 Points
50❤️ and I’ll drop NBA Play #3
Dort is Over in 6 STRAIGHT GAMES after an under and is over in 20/27 with Jalen Williams
Going over in 6/7 with J-Dub/Hartenstein and over in 6/6 of those games when he shoots 34% or better
Taking 6 shots in game 1 and he’s over in 35/44 with 6+ shots and is over in 30/30 of those games when he shoots 35% or better
So we have to take him as the volume is there and he’s great at bouncing back just needs to be passable shooting today
Best Line: -125 Fanduel

English

@KashyLocks @waltpicks The Yankees cannot hit the splitter, this is a great matchup for Yesavege. Great read here
English

MLB Play Of The Day🚨☢️⚾️
Trey Yesavege “O” 5.5 Strikeouts
#Bluejays50
Collab W/@waltpicks 🤝📲
Really good matchup against the Yankees for Yesavage tonight. The strikeout upside has already been on display and this number feels a little short considering what we’ve seen from him.
Yankees rank 6th in K% vs RHP and post a 23.3% K rate. Yesavage mixes in the splitter with a fastball and slider, where 5 Yankees hitters have over a 40% K rate, and 7 players with 35%+ K rate vs the slider
We’ve already seen the ceiling too:
• 11 Ks last start against the Yankees
• 6+ Ks in 3/4 games this season
• Can work deeper into games when pitch count is under control
• Legit put-away ability when ahead in counts
The biggest thing for me here is upside. We’re not asking for some crazy number — just 6 punchouts. He’s already shown he can completely blow past this line, and if he gets normal workload tonight there’s a very real path for him to clear it again.
📊 -@propsbotai
KASHY50 for 50% off your first Month
link.propsbot.ai/vYMDAKtzbk
❤️IF YOUR TAILING


English

Chef’s MLB POTD🧑🍳⚾️
Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Ks
- Gausman has an 8.4 K/9 and a 23% K rate this season, both well above MLB Avg.
- He finds an elite matchup against a Detroit team that struggles with Ks against righties. 23.6%, well above league Avg.
- Elite Whiff% on his Splitter, a pitch the Tigers struggle heavily with this season.
- Gausman has owned the Tigers his whole career, 43 Ks in his L5 against them.

English

Chef’s MLB POTD🧑🍳⚾️ (‘26 Record: 11-5)
Sandy Alcantara Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed⬇️
- Alcantara has had an electric start to this 2026 season, going under on this prop in 7 of his 9 starts this season. 🔥
- He has excelled in his extremely low 5.5% barrel rate with his sinker, a pitch Tampa has struggled with this season.
- Tampa Bay’s low ISO plays perfectly into this stat, Alcantara should see lots of weak contact and keep the ball in the park. 📉
- Tropicana is a pitcher friendly park, another + for Alcantara.

English

NBA POTD 🏀🧑🍳 (44-20)
Josh Hart Over 24.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts🗽
Hart has a great buy low spot tonight, as he has only cashed this line 2/L5 games. This is mainly due to blowouts, but he has been getting his volume. Great ast and reb chances as of late and this is a perfect buy low spot.
2026 NBA POTD Record: 44-20🔥🔥🔥

English








