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@ChungchunT

amateur trader

台灣 Katılım Şubat 2021
756 Takip Edilen224 Takipçiler
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
As for 3x brrrs these levels: 1. $SIVE 2. MSSCORP (6830) 3. Auros (322310) Are my best guesses. Here's my thought process: 1. $SIVE: I genuinely do see them being $10B+ next year, they're the literal bleeding edge for CPO lasers alongside $LITE and $COHR. At a $1.3B MC... For likely mapping: Photonics: $AMD CPO, $MRVL Celestial CPO, $JBL 1.6T, Lightmatter, Ayar, ALChip, GUC, O-Net (ELS), $POET. For Space + Defense: Golden Dome via $YSS, $RTX / $ERIC / Bae Systems. Silicon Photonics: $AAPL (Apple Watches). This is just a stupid amount of customers and it's still increasing. They can always TAM expansion downstream through IP acquisitions or vertically integrate to speedrun $LITE's $60B MC one day once they get more funding. 2. MSSCORP (6830): CPO monopoly over inspection at ~$1.2B. 100% monopoly over CPO yields, $TSM, $AMAT, $NVDA, $LCRX, $INTC, and others are all likely customers. "The company’s goal is to seize a 90 percent share of the CPO inspection market" This basically means 100%, they just don't want antitrust. If they defend their monopoly and CPO ramps, can easily see this worth ~$5B-$9B from $1.2B 3. Auros (322310): Samsung / SK Hynix supplier at ~$210M for Hybrid Bonding Metrology. Basically pure play on two products: -> HBM4 / HBM4e / HBM5 cycles, that $KLA had a monoply over for IR metrology. ---> Getting qualified now likely in Samsung factories, H2 volume ramp est. Sk Hynix likely qualifying too when they upgrade to hybrid bonding. -> Thin-film thickness measurement. ---> Getting qualified now, with "major domestic chipmaker" (either Samsung/Sk hynix), targets mass supply this year. They've been developing for the past decade, only to volume ramp two products from years of qualification H2 this year. Seems extremely likely to 3x to $630M if they switch to volume ramp, feels like an undiscovered gem in the Korean market? Of course, not sure how they play out and this is all speculative but high confidence supply chain mapping. But off the top of my head these three that I own are the most likely ones at this level.
TheNewAL 🌾@Mellokhai

@aleabitoreddit Stay with us and Give us some more x3 brrrrrr

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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
NEW: Trump claims he doesn't need congressional approval for additional military operations in Iran due to the ceasefire.
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
NEW: Mexico’s Sheinbaum warns the U.S. not to repeat “unauthorized involvement” after anti-drug operation in Chihuahua.
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NoLimit
NoLimit@NoLimitGains·
JUST NOW: Iran is running out of places to store its oil, with only 12 to 22 days of storage capacity left. The Hormuz blockade is now an economic chokehold. Key details: 1: Iran’s oil storage is nearing a breaking point, with only 12 to 22 days of remaining capacity before tanks are completely full and exports grind to a halt 2: A Japanese tanker, Idemitsu Maru, is actively attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz, testing the blockade in real time per shipping data 3: Ukraine has again struck Russia’s Tuapse oil refinery, a second front on global energy supply opening simultaneously 4: Oil prices are surging as US-Iran talks stall, Trump is reportedly unhappy with Iran’s offer on Hormuz, per multiple reports 5: Trump is expected to address Iran’s nuclear proposal shortly as oil prices continue to climb, a presidential statement could come at any moment Iran has nowhere to send its oil and nowhere to store it. Every day the blockade holds, the pressure multiplies. I’ll keep you updated, turn on notifications this is very important. A lot of people will wish they followed me sooner.
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Dralone&_DR145
Dralone&_DR145@draloneboy·
🚨 GERMANY JUST WENT RED-PILLED! The right-wing AfD Party surged MASSIVELY in state elections with a staggering +11 POINT GAIN! Germans are DONE with open borders, skyrocketing crime, no-go zones, and politicians who put migrants first. MGGA!
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パウロ
パウロ@paurooteri·
SK HynixもMicronも下降時に赤字にならないことが分かればPER倍率の拡大になり、激アツモードになりそうですね DRAM投資は規律正しく行なっており、HBMを埋める数量にも達していないので2027年末までは下降しない 2028年以降の下降時にメモリ価格が赤字ライン以上になるか 長期契約は大事ですね
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Wimar.X
Wimar.X@DefiWimar·
🚨 BREAKING CHINA JUST PULLED ¥78 BILLION OUT OF THE MARKETS THIS WEEK! THE LIQUIDITY DRAIN IS DIRECTLY TIED TO THE OIL CRISIS. SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING...
Wimar.X tweet media
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Balder
Balder@Balder13946731·
ChatGPT 6将在4月14日发布,号称性能提升40%,全面碾压一切大模型,尤其在代码和Agent上。 OpenAI可以逆风翻盘吗😳
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勃勃OC
勃勃OC@bboczeng·
原来中国真的是霍尔木兹海峡原油最大的买家 诶 🥲🥲🥲
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Sean
Sean@Sean14978416·
Samsung planning an additional 30% DRAM hikes this quarter. $MU 2Q26 saw $18.768 billion of revs from DRAM (79% of total, up 207% Y/Y, 74% Q/Q). Should expect additional upward revisions to follow.
Sean tweet media
Jukan@jukan05

Just in: Samsung, after raising DRAM prices by 100% in Q1, is set to raise them by an additional 30% in Q2 (Etnews) * This increase refers to the average price hike across both high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and commodity DRAM, including server, PC, and mobile DRAM.

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勃勃OC
勃勃OC@bboczeng·
霍尔木兹海峡吞吐量恢复到了Epic Fury行动开始后最高
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Jukan
Jukan@jukan05·
Chinese media report that Samsung has almost certainly decided to withdraw its home appliance business from China, and that its monitor business could also exit the market. They also say that Samsung may eventually retain only its smartphone and memory businesses in China, while winding down all other divisions.
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Jukan
Jukan@jukan05·
Some friends asked me whether CXMT's unusually aggressive capacity expansion this year might derail the DRAM supercycle. I told them it's an overblown concern and not something to lose sleep over. Why is CXMT adding capacity? CXMT only just entered mass production of HBM3 in Q1 this year, and even that is plagued by very low yields. This has fueled growing frustration at Huawei, which needs CXMT's memory to build its accelerators. Samsung has been gradually discontinuing legacy HBM, and now that Huawei can no longer procure enough HBM from overseas to manufacture accelerators at scale, CXMT is essentially its only option. So here's my point: whatever DRAM capacity CXMT adds will mostly get absorbed into HBM. CXMT's recent decision to ramp DDR4 production was driven by strong demand from domestic Chinese customers — CXMT itself would have preferred to allocate all of that capacity to HBM. Especially when yields are this low, the only way to produce meaningful volumes of HBM is to brute-force it by throwing more wafer starts at the problem.
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The White House
The White House@WhiteHouse·
“Remember when I gave Iran ten days to MAKE A DEAL or OPEN UP THE HORMUZ STRAIT. Time is running out - 48 hours before all Hell will reign down on them. Glory be to GOD!” - President DONALD J. TRUMP
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Iran Embassy in Zimbabwe
Iran Embassy in Zimbabwe@IRANinZIMBABWE·
Trump, please talk. We are bored.
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