ClearThoughts

$NIO monthly 20 month SMA resistance flipped support A ton of people were too bullish on this way too early When the 20 month SMA was still resistance and was still negatively sloping, it was not favorable This is probably the time to really get bullish on it

Insane statistic: The top 10% of drinkers drink 75% of the alcohol in America - and average 73.8 drinks per week. That’s a 10+ drink per day average. Alcoholics single handedly keep the booze industry alive in this country.

$BTC, our 63k bottom call, increasing the boldness The bottom is in for two months at least (please read the details before concluding) Five days ago, I mentioned that we likely see a potential bottom in our purple POI, and do so around 63k. Drew my arrow and squigly, and so here we are. Yesterday, price reached that level, and so I repeated this is likely a significant bottom. This also was the next significant area where I seriously consider flipping back to bullish after going bearish from 81k above us. I know it feels like Yesterday that price was at 81k, almost as if flipping bullish again here is a flip-flop. But in a bear market, bitcoin (crypto) drops fast, and a bearish bias doesn't have to be held for a very long time. $BTC dropped another 23% since I flipped bearish so that proves enough. My main stance also has been that I do not believe this to be a 60%+ bear market, nor will we drop much lower in the second half of the year 2026. So, with everything being called out in advance (since 81k), the level responding as it should, and local confirmation saying (to large extent) that this is a significant low, with quantitative data showing at least 2 months of repair necessary to undo the damage, right off our level, in a bear market, that repair means upside. So, I am going to make a bold call, based on all that data, based on all the sentiment, even ancient bears coming back up and suddenly calling for 50k, that's the perfect time to think this low is likely going to hold for at least 2 months. You may think: "what's the point". But it allows us to farm trades in the range and know that every proximity to range low is a good long, as well as early visits to range high (tbd) is a good short. And what happens after, might also become a surprise. I understand everyone is bearish, and I don't want this information to be taken like gospel. In recent time, we have seen I can be wrong as well. Although my bullish bias did end up holding into a range for a long time and resulting in nice trades off it, it was wrong and I expressed myself too loudly towards the end of it. So instead, I decided to change the details, into how I just think the low holds, and anything forth-flowing from that is natural, the tone remains the same however (bullish from 63k). And I will simply continue to take logical trades from there using that bias. Because I can't go against the data, the system and what we planned. So, after turning bearish at 81k, I will be bullish for a while again at 63k. I believe a range forms, and it's most likely favourably traded longside (but I will also be taking shorts). Not the most popular opinion. Many are busy engagement farming the bear market, of course. But I promise you the peak (today, Yesterday), happened at the worst times. Seeing some opinion hedging happening of how this could be a bottom as Feb March in bear markets are green. But without any action, it's just opinion hedging. So I just want to keep it honest and clear, what my thoughts are and how I see this progress whether it's right or wrong. Do not be surprised if we lose the low before end of March, just look at my trades, how I act and whether my bias changes again. But many of you know that I stick to my bias for a long time, it usually plays out for a long time, makes a lot of money, until right, or proven wrong. Again, a weekly close (or anticipated earlier per clear post), invalidates the bias and we can talk about 50k or below. But for now, that's not the case as long as our 63k is the bottom idea holds, as well as our "this won't be a 70-80% bear market". Cautiously for now by holding a low risk long, and 1 spot buy in, but more strongly later if confirmation leads us further.