Michael Grose - moving to michaelgrose.bsky.social

I like to keep up with Australian and international climate science discussions - it looks like Bluesky will be better for this and less, hmm, problematic. So, I'm going to start an account there and probably delete this twitter account soon after, thx

An article from me and Blair at the Bureau to accompany the State of the Climate report - on Australia reaching the 1.5 deg milestone Australia has already warmed by more than 1.5 degrees 360info.org/australia-has-…

Where are people interested in Australian and global climate science heading to? Is it Blue sky?

Sad but true

Good job @AndrewKingClim - always a valuable comms job to do! here's my attempt from a similar cold snap a couple of years ago 😊theconversation.com/4-ways-to-unde…

A great commentary and response from John Kennedy 🙏diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2024/06/10/on-…

a topic I think is very interesting; drawing lessons on messaging from the origins in epidemiology (where some events are as clear and smoking and cancer, others are more like diet studies of eggs, red wine and red meat – and communication should match)

Discussion paper in early release – a great group effort based on a workshop day last year on doing Extreme Event Attribution in practice in Australia and New Zealand. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…

I'll be giving a talk at this session, with two other fantastic talks - please tune in if you want wcrp-cmip.org/event/cmip-sem…

@alex_borowiak1 I meant to say this about your new paper - but congrats on this one too! 😁

@alex_borowiak1 Congratulations Alex!

My new paper out last Friday explores if the changes after immediate net zero CO2 are significant compared to natural variability and the impact that these changes might have on the remaining carbon budget. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…

@ubique60 @readfearn Hi Paul, I don't know if you're a person or a bot - or if you are raising this in good faith or not - but we are talking about the SW corner, not the whole of Western Australia. See the same plot you show but for the SW specifically and it is very clear:

@readfearn Yeah thats why Western Australia is getting wetter, does Climate Change select the trees it wants brown then 🙄

From me - Western Australia’s unique eucalypt forests fade to brown as century-old giant jarrahs die in heat and drought. Climate change is drying the region. theguardian.com/environment/20…

Really worrying reporting from WA (contains a brief comment from me)

@HayleyJFowler @sarahinscience @MtnClimRhoades @NatRevEarthEnv first of all congratulations both on impressive work! But totally agree Hayley, if this could be extended to compound extremes and impact, cascading impacts and so on, it would be very valuable to policy makers (and the public)

@sarahinscience @MtnClimRhoades @NatRevEarthEnv What i would like to see with this @NatRevEarthEnv series next year is a paper that examines the connections between the different extremes as they occur in obvious sequences that might be very important for impacts. I don't like the way we silo them.

#climatechronicles by @NatRevEarthEnv are out. our piece on the extreme heat of 2023 discusses the mind-blowing heatwaves over Europe, Africa, South America, North America and Asia. It was one extraordinary year.....

@karmour_uw @PNASNews @cristiproist Thanks Kyle! Does this mean that there are further papers on the way fleshing out the different theories? Look forward to seeing what is next 😊

@ClimateGrose @PNASNews @cristiproist Thanks! Good question. We have a lot of theories for what has caused the observed pattern, and each comes with a different implication for the timescale over which it might change and thus future warming. A storylines approach might be the best we can do at the moment.

New paper in @PNASNews led with @cristiproist shows that a weird spatial pattern of temperature change has slowed global-mean warming since 1980. Because the pattern could evolve in the future, observed warming doesn’t help us constrain long-term warming. pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…

Hobart people - please consider coming to this event to discuss the hot topic of climate tipping points, based around our report from the community: csiro.au/-/media/Enviro…

A symbolic milestone (includes a note about our estimate further back where Aus may be >1.5 even last decade)