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๐Œ๐ข๐œ๐ก๐š๐ž๐ฅ ๐€๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข

๐Œ๐ข๐œ๐ก๐š๐ž๐ฅ ๐€๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข

@ColdBrief

MENA Geopolitics Analyst & Human Rights Advocate | @CapitolInstitut | ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด/๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ColdBrief: Sharp analysis, stories & insights from the Middle East. DM for media

Sverige Katฤฑlฤฑm AฤŸustos 2019
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๐Œ๐ข๐œ๐ก๐š๐ž๐ฅ ๐€๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข retweetledi
Yaroslav Trofimov
Yaroslav Trofimov@yarotrofยท
The Iraqi Kurdistan โ€œscenarioโ€ only works against an entity that doesnโ€™t have an Air Force, a Navy or cruise missiles. The UAE has all of the above, and the capacity to obliterate Iranโ€™s oil and energy infrastructure within days if pushed into a corner. Letโ€™s keep basic facts straight.
Mohammad Ali Shabani@mashabani

UAE is reported to have engaged in "Israeli-coordinated" attack on Iran. No one in Tehran assumed otherwise, which is why UAE has been (and is likely to continue to be) treated as Israel's backyard. "Kurdistan scenario" for Dubai means end to the Emirati business model.

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๐Œ๐ข๐œ๐ก๐š๐ž๐ฅ ๐€๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข retweetledi
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ู…ู€ุญู€ู…ู€ู€ุฏ ุงู„ู‡ู€ู€ู€ุงุฌู€ุฑูŠ | Mohammed Al-Hajry
#ู…ู‚ุงู„ ุงู„ุฃุณุจูˆุนูŠ ููŠ ุตุญูŠูุฉ @alyaum ุจุนู†ูˆุงู†: " ุงู„ุฃู†ู…ุงุท ุงู„ู…ุฎุชู„ูุฉ ู„ู„ุจุดุฑ .. ูƒูŠู #ุชูู‡ู… ู†ูุณูƒ ูˆุชูู‡ู… ุงู„ุขุฎุฑูŠู† " ููŠ ูƒู„ ูŠูˆู… ู†ู„ุชู‚ูŠ ุจุนุดุฑุงุช ุงู„ูˆุฌูˆู‡ุŒ ูˆู†ุฏุฎู„ ููŠ ู…ุฆุงุช #ุงู„ุญูˆุงุฑุงุชุŒ ูˆู†ุนูŠุด ู…ูˆุงู‚ู ู…ุฎุชู„ูุฉ ู…ุน #ุงู„ู†ุงุณุŒ ู„ูƒู† ูŠุจู‚ู‰ ุงู„ุณุคุงู„ ุงู„ุฐูŠ ูŠุชูƒุฑุฑ ููŠ ุฏุงุฎู„ู†ุง ุฏุงุฆู…ุงู‹: ู„ู…ุงุฐุง ู„ุง ูŠูู‡ู…ู†ุง ุงู„ุจุนุถ ุฑุบู… ูˆุถูˆุญ ู†ูˆุงูŠุงู†ุงุŸ ูˆู„ู…ุงุฐุง ู†ุฎุณุฑ ุฃุญูŠุงู†ุงู‹ ุฃุดุฎุงุตุงู‹ ู„ู… ุชูƒู† ุจูŠู†ู†ุง ูˆุจูŠู†ู‡ู… #ู…ุดูƒู„ุฉ ุญู‚ูŠู‚ูŠุฉุŸ ูˆู„ู…ุงุฐุง ูŠุดุนุฑ #ุงู„ุฅู†ุณุงู† ุฃุญูŠุงู†ุงู‹ ุจุฃู†ู‡ ุบุฑูŠุจ ุญุชู‰ ูˆุณุท ู…ู† ูŠุญุจู‡ู…ุŸ ุงู„ุญู‚ูŠู‚ุฉ ุงู„ุชูŠ ู‚ุฏ ู„ุง ู†ู†ุชุจู‡ ู„ู‡ุง ูƒุซูŠุฑุงู‹ .. ุฃู† ุงู„ุจุดุฑ ู„ุง ูŠุชุดุงุจู‡ูˆู†ุŒ ู„ุง ููŠ ุทุฑูŠู‚ุฉ ุงู„ุชููƒูŠุฑุŒ ูˆู„ุง ููŠ ุฃุณู„ูˆุจ ุงู„ุชุนุจูŠุฑุŒ ูˆู„ุง ุญุชู‰ ููŠ ุชูุณูŠุฑ ุงู„ู…ุดุงุนุฑ ูˆุงู„ู…ูˆุงู‚ู. ูู…ุง ุชุฑุงู‡ ุฃู†ุช ุงู‡ุชู…ุงู…ุงู‹ุŒ ู‚ุฏ ูŠุฑุงู‡ ุบูŠุฑูƒ ุชุฏุฎู„ุงู‹. ูˆู…ุง ุชุนุชุจุฑู‡ ุตุฑุงุญุฉุŒ ู‚ุฏ ูŠุฑุงู‡ ุงู„ุขุฎุฑ ู‚ุณูˆุฉ. ูˆู…ุง ุชุธู†ู‡ ู‡ุฏูˆุกุงู‹ุŒ ู‚ุฏ ูŠูุณุฑู‡ ุดุฎุต ุขุฎุฑ ุนู„ู‰ ุฃู†ู‡ ุจุฑูˆุฏ ุฃูˆ ุชุฌุงู‡ู„. ูˆู‡ู†ุง ุชุจุฏุฃ ุงู„ู…ุดูƒู„ุฉ ุงู„ูƒุจุฑู‰ ููŠ ุงู„ุนู„ุงู‚ุงุช #ุงู„ุฅู†ุณุงู†ูŠุฉ .. ู„ูŠุณ ุจุณุจุจ ุณูˆุก ุงู„ุฃุดุฎุงุต ุฏุงุฆู…ุงู‹ุŒ ุจู„ ุจุณุจุจ ุงุฎุชู„ุงู ุงู„ุฃู†ู…ุงุทุŒ ูˆุงุฎุชู„ุงู ุทุฑูŠู‚ุฉ ุงู„ูู‡ู…ุŒ ูˆุงุฎุชู„ุงู ุงู„ุฒุงูˆูŠุฉ ุงู„ุชูŠ ูŠุฑู‰ ู…ู†ู‡ุง ูƒู„ ุฅู†ุณุงู† #ุงู„ุญูŠุงุฉ. ุงู„ุณุคุงู„ ุงู„ู…ู‡ู… ู‡ู†ุง: ู‡ู„ ุงู„ู…ุดูƒู„ุฉ ููŠ ุงู„ู†ุงุณ .. ุฃู… ููŠ ุฃู†ู†ุง ู„ุง ู†ุญุงูˆู„ ูู‡ู…ู‡ู… ูƒู…ุง ูŠุฌุจุŸ ุงู„ุฅุฌุงุจุฉ ุชุญู…ู„ ุงู„ูƒุซูŠุฑ ู…ู† ุงู„ูˆุนูŠ. ูู†ุญู† ููŠ ูƒุซูŠุฑ ู…ู† ุงู„ุฃุญูŠุงู† ู†ุญุงูƒู… ุงู„ุขุฎุฑูŠู† ุจู…ุนุงูŠูŠุฑู†ุง ู†ุญู†ุŒ ูˆู†ุนุชู‚ุฏ ุฃู† ุงู„ุฌู…ูŠุน ูŠุฌุจ ุฃู† ูŠุชุตุฑููˆุง ุจุงู„ุทุฑูŠู‚ุฉ ุงู„ุชูŠ ุชู†ุงุณุจู†ุงุŒ ุจูŠู†ู…ุง ุงู„ุญู‚ูŠู‚ุฉ ุฃู† ู„ูƒู„ ุฅู†ุณุงู† ุดุฎุตูŠุชู‡ ุงู„ู…ุฎุชู„ูุฉุŒ ูˆุทุฑูŠู‚ุชู‡ ุงู„ุฎุงุตุฉ ููŠ #ุงู„ุชููƒูŠุฑุŒ ูˆุฃุณู„ูˆุจู‡ ุงู„ุฐูŠ ุชุดูƒู„ ุนุจุฑ ุณู†ูˆุงุช ู…ู† ุงู„ุชุฌุงุฑุจ ูˆุงู„ุธุฑูˆู ูˆุงู„ู…ูˆุงู‚ู. ูุงู„ุฅู†ุณุงู† ุงู„ุญุงุฒู… ู„ูŠุณ ุจุงู„ุถุฑูˆุฑุฉ ู‚ุงุณูŠุงู‹ุŒ ูˆุงู„ู‡ุงุฏุฆ ู„ูŠุณ ุถุนูŠูุงู‹ุŒ ูˆุงู„ุงุฌุชู…ุงุนูŠ ู„ูŠุณ ุฏุงุฆู…ุงู‹ ุณุนูŠุฏุงู‹ุŒ ูˆุงู„ุดุฎุต ุงู„ุตุงู…ุช ู‚ุฏ ูŠุญู…ู„ ููŠ ุฏุงุฎู„ู‡ ุญุฏูŠุซุงู‹ ู„ุง ูŠู†ุชู‡ูŠ. ูˆู…ู† ู‡ู†ุง ูŠุตุจุญ ูู‡ู… ุงู„ุฃู†ู…ุงุท ุงู„ุจุดุฑูŠุฉ ู„ูŠุณ ุฑูุงู‡ูŠุฉ #ููƒุฑูŠุฉุŒ ุจู„ ุถุฑูˆุฑุฉ #ุฅู†ุณุงู†ูŠุฉ ุชุณุงุนุฏู†ุง ุนู„ู‰ ุจู†ุงุก #ุนู„ุงู‚ุงุช ุฃูƒุซุฑ ูˆุนูŠุงู‹ุŒ ูˆุฃูƒุซุฑ ู‡ุฏูˆุกุงู‹ุŒ ูˆุฃูƒุซุฑ ู†ุถุฌุงู‹. ุญูŠู† ู†ูู‡ู… ุงู„ู†ุงุณ .. ู†ู‚ู„ู„ ุณูˆุก ุงู„ุธู†. ูˆุญูŠู† ู†ูู‡ู… ุงุฎุชู„ุงู ุงู„ุดุฎุตูŠุงุช .. ุชุตุจุญ ุงู„ุญูŠุงุฉ ุฃูƒุซุฑ ู…ุฑูˆู†ุฉ. ูˆุญูŠู† ู†ุฏุฑูƒ ุฃู† #ุงู„ุจุดุฑ ู„ูŠุณูˆุง ู†ุณุฎุงู‹ ู…ุชุดุงุจู‡ุฉ .. ู†ุชุนุงู…ู„ ุจุฑุญู…ุฉ ุฃูƒุจุฑุŒ ูˆ #ุญูƒู…ุฉ ุฃุนู…ู‚. ููŠ ู‡ุฐุง #ุงู„ู…ู‚ุงู„ ุญุงูˆู„ุช ุฃู† ุฃุชุญุฏุซ ุนู† ุฌุงู†ุจ ู…ู‡ู… ุฌุฏุงู‹ ููŠ ุญูŠุงุชู†ุง ุงู„ูŠูˆู…ูŠุฉุŒ ุฌุงู†ุจ ู†ุนูŠุดู‡ ุจุงุณุชู…ุฑุงุฑ ู„ูƒู†ู†ุง ู„ุง ู†ุชูˆู‚ู ูƒุซูŠุฑุงู‹ ู„ู„ุชุฃู…ู„ ููŠู‡ุŒ ูˆู‡ูˆ: ูƒูŠู ู†ูู‡ู… ุฃู†ูุณู†ุง ุฃูˆู„ุงู‹ .. ุซู… ู†ูู‡ู… ุงู„ุขุฎุฑูŠู†ุŸ ู„ุฃู† ุงู„ุฅู†ุณุงู† ุญูŠู† ูŠุนุฑู ุทุจูŠุนุชู‡ุŒ ูˆูŠูู‡ู… ุดุฎุตูŠุชู‡ุŒ ูˆูŠุฏุฑูƒ ู†ู‚ุงุท ู‚ูˆุชู‡ ูˆุถุนูู‡ุŒ ูŠุตุจุญ ุฃูƒุซุฑ ู‚ุฏุฑุฉ ุนู„ู‰ ุงู„ุชุนุงู…ู„ ู…ุน ุงู„ุญูŠุงุฉ ุจูˆุนูŠุŒ ูˆุฃูƒุซุฑ ู†ุฌุงุญุงู‹ ููŠ ุงุญุชูˆุงุก ู…ู† ุญูˆู„ู‡. ูˆูŠุจู‚ู‰ ุงู„ุณุคุงู„ ุงู„ุฃุฌู…ู„: ูƒู… ู…ู† #ุงู„ุนู„ุงู‚ุงุช ูƒุงู† ูŠู…ูƒู† ุฃู† ุชุณุชู…ุฑ .. ู„ูˆ ุฃู† ู‡ู†ุงูƒ ูู‡ู…ุงู‹ ุฃุนู…ู‚ ู„ุง ุญูƒู…ุงู‹ ุฃุณุฑุนุŸ ุฃุชู…ู†ู‰ ุฃู† ูŠู†ุงู„ ุงู„ู…ู‚ุงู„ ุงู‡ุชู…ุงู…ูƒู…ุŒ ูˆุฃู† ูŠุชุฑูƒ #ุฃุซุฑุงู‹ ุฌู…ูŠู„ุงู‹ ููŠ ู†ููˆุณูƒู…ุŒ ู„ุฃู† ุฃุฌู…ู„ ุงู„ุนู„ุงู‚ุงุช ู„ูŠุณุช ุชู„ูƒ ุงู„ุชูŠ ุชู‚ูˆู… ุนู„ู‰ ุงู„ุชุดุงุจู‡ .. ุจู„ ุชู„ูƒ ุงู„ุชูŠ ุชู‚ูˆู… ุนู„ู‰ ุงู„ูู‡ู…. #ุงู„ูŠูˆู… #ุตุญูŠูุฉ_ุงู„ูŠูˆู… #ู…ู‚ุงู„ุงุช_ุงู„ูŠูˆู… #ู…ู‚ุงู„ุงุช
ู…ู€ุญู€ู…ู€ู€ุฏ ุงู„ู‡ู€ู€ู€ุงุฌู€ุฑูŠ | Mohammed Al-Hajry tweet media
ูƒู„ู…ุฉ ูˆู…ู‚ุงู„@AlyaumOpEd

ู…ุญู…ุฏ ุงู„ู‡ุงุฌุฑูŠ ูŠูƒุชุจ : ุงู„ุฃู†ู…ุงุท ุงู„ู…ุฎุชู„ูุฉ ู„ู„ุจุดุฑ.. ูƒูŠู ุชูู‡ู… ู†ูุณูƒ ูˆุชูู‡ู… ุงู„ุขุฎุฑูŠู†ุŸ alyaum.com/articles/66614โ€ฆ @Mohd_alhajry #ู…ู‚ุงู„ุงุช_ุงู„ูŠูˆู…

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ุงู„ุฌู…ู‡ูˆุฑูŠุฉ ุงู„ุนุฑุจูŠุฉ ุงู„ุณูˆุฑูŠุฉ - Syria
ู…ู† ุณูˆุฑูŠุง ุฅู„ู‰ ุงู„ุฅู…ุงุฑุงุช.. ุดุฑุงูƒุฉ ู„ู…ุณุชู‚ุจู„ ู†ุตู†ุนู‡ ู…ุนุงู‹ #ุณูˆุฑูŠุง_ุงู„ุฌุฏูŠุฏุฉ #ู…ู†ุชุฏู‰_ุงู„ุงุณุชุซู…ุงุฑ_ุงู„ุฃูˆู„
ุงู„ุนุฑุจูŠุฉ
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With all due respect - no serious person opposed Israel going to war against Hamas after October 7th. That was never the debate. What people oppose is genocide and ethnic cleansing. Israel has reduced Gaza to rubble and still hasn't defeated Hamas. What it has accomplished is the mass slaughter of Palestinian civilians - and that is what the world is reacting to. Separately: Europe and the United States have a genuine and growing problem with Islamism, and Islamism fuels antisemitism. Jews are not safe on Western streets - that is real, it matters, and it deserves to be addressed. But it's a distinct issue. Conflating it with opposition to Gaza's destruction doesn't clarify anything - it obscures everything.
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Hillel Neuer
Hillel Neuer@HillelNeuerยท
Diaspora Jews begged Israel to stop fighting Hamas, convinced the war fueled antisemitism. Seven months into a ceasefire, Jews are still being hunted in the streets as the Amnesty crowd screams even louder โ€œongoing genocide.โ€ The problem was never Israel. It was the antisemites.
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#Syria has just processed its first Visa and Mastercard transactions in over fifteen years! After more than a decade and a half of financial isolation, banks are now authorized to work with international card networks, and a new local system called Baimera is being introduced to expand electronic payments and reduce the heavy dependence on cash. This practical opening is already drawing early support from Arab financial networks. Qatar National Bank has moved quickly to enable card acceptance and digital payment solutions in Syria, signaling that major regional players see real opportunity in the countryโ€™s economic reconnection. The timing matters. Easier payments directly strengthen the tourism rebound underway, with millions of visitors last year and major projects advancing in Damascus and beyond. When travelers and investors can operate more normally, it generates revenue, creates jobs, and builds the conditions for sustained reconstruction. These steps also make it simpler for returning Syrians to engage with the economy without the old frictions. Small, concrete advances like this are what turn stability and the possibility of homecoming from aspirations into daily reality. Progress worth tracking. ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ
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Syriaโ€™s Foreign Minister said it plainly in Brussels today: Damascus wants a calm and stable relationship with Israel so it can finally focus on reconstruction and bringing Syrians home. After the collapse of the Assad regime, Israel had every opportunity - and every strategic reason - to lock in a secure, peaceful border. Instead, it chose advances into Syrian territory, expansion of buffer zones beyond the 1974 lines, and continued strikes that destabilized the south. There is no credible justification for this approach now! The new Syrian government is pragmatic, not ideological adventurism. It is signaling willingness to address security concerns through negotiations. Rejecting that path in favor of faits accomplis only creates new grievances and prolongs the very instability Israel claims to fear! Stable borders are not a favor to Syria - they are a basic requirement for any functioning state in the region. Israelโ€™s post-Assad policies have looked less like defensive necessity and more like opportunistic expansion at a moment when Syria was at its weakest! Enough! The region has paid in blood and treasure for decades of managed conflict. It is time for serious diplomacy that respects Syrian sovereignty, restores the disengagement framework, and delivers the stability both peoples deserve. Peace and reconstruction in Syria are not threats. They are the foundation of lasting security for everyone.
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้Š็‰งๆฐ‘
้Š็‰งๆฐ‘@PixleNomadยท
@ColdBrief Heโ€™s planting the seeds for a future demand to pull all and every support for the Kurds, even the ones in Iraq.
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Dr Walid Phares
Dr Walid Phares@WalidPharesยท
Three moves regarding Iran 1. Cancel the talks 2. Liberate the islands 3. Arm the people If I advised @POTUS today...
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#Trump rejects Iran's response to proposal for ending the ten-week #IranWarโ€Œ. Donald Trump has described Iran's latest response to his proposal to end the war as "completely unacceptable." "I have just read the response from Iran's so-called 'representatives.' I don't like it," he wrote in a post on Truth Social. Iran's state news agency, IRNA, reported Sunday that the country has sent its response to the latest U.S. proposal to end the war via a Pakistani mediator, according to Bloomberg. No details were provided regarding the content of the response. According to the Wall Street Journal, Iran reportedly did not agree to U.S. demands concerning the country's nuclear program and its stockpile of highly enriched uranium. According to the newspaper, Iran requested separate nuclear negotiations and proposed that portions of the highly enriched uranium be diluted, while the remainder be sent to a third country. The uranium would then be returned to Iran if the U.S. withdrew from the agreement, according to the paper.
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#Iran's military: next time, you'll be surprised - new weapons, new methods, new arenas. They're not just posturing militarily. Tehran calculates that a drawn-out conflict weakens Trump and Republicans before the 2026 midterms. Prolonging the war is the strategy. They did debut real capability in the last round - Sejjil solid-fuel missiles, Khorramshahr-4, strikes reaching Diego Garcia. Whether that was the full arsenal or a preview is the open question. Deliberate signaling. Uncertain weight.

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Syria's Criminal Court has stripped Bashar al-Assad, Maher al-Assad, and six former regime leaders of their civil rights - and placed their assets under state administration. This isn't just symbolic. In Syrian and civil law tradition, ุงู„ุชุฌุฑูŠุฏ ุงู„ู…ุฏู†ูŠ is a serious legal penalty, typically tied to felony convictions or trials in absentia. The historical term for it: civil death!
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