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What an Asian session range actually tells you before London opens.
Most traders mark the Asian high and low and wait for London to do something with them. That part is right. Where it goes wrong is treating those levels as support and resistance to trade from. That is not what they are.
The Asian range is a liquidity accumulation zone. During those low-volatility hours, stop orders build up above the high and below the low. Breakout traders place pending orders at both extremes. Fade traders place stops just outside them. By the time London opens with institutional flow, there is a concentrated pool of orders sitting at both ends of the range.
What London typically does with that:
One side gets raided first. Price sweeps the Asian high or Asian low by just enough to trigger the stop clusters, then reverses in the opposite direction. This is the session's first real move. The spike into the level is the manipulation. The reversal after the spike is the actual trade.
The confirmation you are looking for: a strong displacement candle that breaks back inside the range after the sweep, closing back above the Asian low (or below the Asian high) with a high body ratio. The reclaim with conviction is the signal. A wick back in with no follow-through is noise.
The filter that separates high-probability from random: the higher timeframe bias needs to agree with the post-sweep direction. An Asian low sweep followed by a reclaim in a daily bullish trend is structurally backed. The same pattern in a trending down market means the spike was the real move and the reclaim attempt is a trap.
The failure mode to know: price sweeps the Asian low, retraces back inside, then fails the reclaim and closes below it again. When the reclaim collapses, the original break was genuine.
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