Conor Foley
1.2K posts

Conor Foley
@Conor_Foley15
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Holbrook Katılım Nisan 2016
93 Takip Edilen55 Takipçiler

@JoeA_NFL The only thing I can think of is KOC is afraid to start JJ because if he’s terrible and they bottom out, then he may be the one paying the price for it.
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There is no sound reason for the Vikings to start Kyler Murray over JJ McCarthy, but they will anyway.
Bad Planning
Just to begin, don’t focus on which QB you think is better. Focus on which course of action is better.
Would you rather:
A) Hitch your wagon to 1 year of a severely limited, experienced, known quantity… or
B) Hand the keys to an unproven, 22 yr old QB with a much higher ceiling, with 3 more years of cheap roster control?
I personally think that JJ McCarthy is a better QB than Kyler Murray, but that’s not the issue. The real problem is that, even if Kyler is a little better, that's insane asset & risk mismanagement.
You have to play the younger, higher-upside, higher downside QB no matter what.
If JJ pans out, you're a contender.
If JJ sucks, you get a high pick in an extremely hyped draft.
Anything between is the same as Kyler anyway!
Winning Now
Some may argue that the Vikings need to start Kyler Murray because are too good of a roster—they need to win now.
Are they really winning now with a QB who falls between QB20 and QB30? We have seen Kyler play for 7 years. The results have not been good—especially since he lost Kliff Kingsbury. Because even in an offense that hides how hindered Kyler is by his diminutive height, Kyler just isn’t that accurate or consistent.
JJ McCarthy is far from a sure thing. He has played 10 games.
There’s a chance that JJ is a top 20 QB in 2026. He just turned 23 and he looked real good to end 2025. Plenty of reason for optimism. If you get this version of JJ McCarthy, you are in contention for a Super Bowl.
There is also a very real chance JJ is truly awful—outside the top 40 QBs. If you get this version of JJ, you are going to be at the bottom of the league… with a top pick in the uber-hyped 2027 draft.
Anything between those outcomes is roughly the same outcome as the Vikings can expect with Kyler.
So Kyler probably nets you a fringe wild card season (Assuming he stays healthy and plays the way he has for the last few years). That’s not really “winning now,” is it?
Starting JJ gets you either:
1. A magical season and playoff run with a young QB that is under contract;
2. A fringe wild card season like Kyler’s; or
3. A disaster that nets you a top pick in a LOADED draft and total certainty about your direction forward.
Literally all 3 of those outcomes is equal to or better than the outcome if you start Kyler. There's absolutely no viable argument for choosing the Kyler option.
The Justin Jefferson Problem
The elephant in the room is that Jefferson demanded either the Vikings sign Kyler or trade him. This isn’t a guess.
If I were the Vikings’ brass, my counter would be, "Don't let the door hit you on the way out". If my wide receiver, who will need an extension soon anyway, is trying to make demands on what we do at quarterback—especially really dumb demands like starting Kyler Murray over JJ McCarthy—I'm trading his ass immediately. Former GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah learned this the hard way.
If JJ McCarthy is as bad as people like Jefferson think he is, you are primed to get a top pick like Arch Manning in the apparently legendary 2027 draft. May as well load up on a ton of assets. Justin Jefferson would probably net at least 2 first round picks! More to rapidly rebuild with.
If McCarthy is as good as I think he will be, you are a contender with or without Jefferson. That's before we even start counting up the assets the Vikings could receive in return for Justin Jefferson while his reputation is still sky-high.

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@scoutdnfl Never even made the rankings or a big board. As the saying goes; “c’mon man!”
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Remember: 75% of the rumors and news you hear during draft week, especially on draft day, is smoke. The things you think you know for sure somehow don’t come true, and vice versa.
A few things I expect tonight that might be different from others:
1. I don’t think Makai Lemon lands with the Rams. I’m looking at a potential move up or move back from them. If they stick and pick, Kenyon Sadiq makes a lot of sense.
2. I think Jeremiyah Love makes it past pick No. 3 but will be gone before No. 6. I’m looking for a trade up here.
3. KC Concepcion will be drafted a lot higher than most expect. Be on the lookout for him to possibly leapfrog some of the bigger-name guys.
And lastly, I apologize for the inactivity, but we made it to Draft Day 🥂
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@scoutdnfl The draft is upon us and we still don’t have those rankings…
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How I think the top 10 will end up shaking out:
1. Fernando Mendoza - Raiders
2. Arvell Reese - Jets
3. David Bailey - Cardinals
4. Reuben Bain Jr. - Titans
5. Sonny Styles - Giants
6. Carnell Tate - Browns
7. Jeremiyah Love - Commanders
8. Mansoor Delane - Saints
9. Makai Lemon - Chiefs
10. Caleb Downs - Bengals
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@NFL_Convo Bengals are not playoff caliber. Their defense stinks, Zac Taylor hopefully finally gets canned after this season, and they pray Burrow doesn’t demand a trade
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Love this move by the Raiders. According to Schefter, it’s essentially a one-year, $20 million deal, which provides a perfect situation for Fernando Mendoza to sit and learn behind a veteran.
Say what you want about Cousins, but he’s a former fourth-round pick who has carved out a long, lucrative career for himself. Mendoza will benefit just by watching his habits and how he prepares for games and the season.
Adam Schefter@AdamSchefter
Comp update: Kirk Cousins will sign a five-year, $172 million deal with the Raiders that in reality is a one-year, fully-guaranteed $20 million deal that also contains a club option for two years at $80M. The Falcons will pay Cousins $8.7 million this season, the Raiders another $1.3 million and Las Vegas also agreed to pay its new QB a fully-guaranteed $10 million roster bonus on the third day of the 2027 new league year. And maybe most notably, it also sets another new mark: this will be the 11th straight NFL season in which Cousins’ contract will be fully guaranteed.
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Building the perfect WR prospect based on the 2026 NFL draft:
Release package: Jordyn Tyson
Route Running: Carnell Tate
Separation: Jordyn Tyson
Hands: Carnell Tate
Contested Catch: Carnell Tate
YAC: KC Concepcion
Speed: Brenen Thompson
Size: Denzel Boston
Body Control: Carnell Tate
Blocking: Omar Cooper Jr.
I had so many internal debates on a few of these categories, so I’m interested to hear what you guys think.
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@scoutdnfl We need to see the rest of your prospect rankings outside WR and QB! 🙏🏻
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@daniel_rotman15 What if it’s similar compensation Denver gave up for Waddle? If it involves this year’s picks that’s the vibe I’m getting
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