Contrarian Prophet

36.2K posts

Contrarian Prophet

Contrarian Prophet

@ContraryProfit

Achieving supernormal returns via opportunistic investing and speculation. Global political and financial analysis.

El Salvador Katılım Kasım 2020
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Contrarian Prophet
Contrarian Prophet@ContraryProfit·
Who am I? So good at #politicalbetting that some bookmakers severely limit my maximum bet. Right about Trump, Brexit, ScoMo, and Boris, among others. My philosophy? 1) Bookies framing the markets don’t understand politics or history, and are overly influenced by MSM ...
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Tommy Robinson 🇬🇧
Tommy Robinson 🇬🇧@TRobinsonNewEra·
Westminster Abbey, founded in 960AD, 40 coronations and 16 royal weddings, houses the Tomb of the Unknown Warrior. Reduced to flying the flag of a sandpit of inbreds formed in 1948, one of them now London Mayor. Scores gang raping Britain's kids non stop since arriving.
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Neil Stone
Neil Stone@DrNeilStone·
The IRGC and regime are in chaos Infighting, paranoia, factions, double crossing, treachery. Will eventually collapse
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
NEW 🔴 The Lebanese government has declared the Iranian ambassador persona non grata and ordered him to leave the country by Sunday.
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Adam Lane Smith | The Attachment Specialist
New research indicates that fathers build bonds best with their children (and craft secure attachment in them) by "destablizing the child" in a "safe environment. Fathers in the study had a unique ability to make their children laugh and therefore create more perceived safety for the child which led to stronger attachment. Mothers made children feel safe too, usually with repetition and soothing, but the laughing and playing did not make the children as attached as it did when fathers performed it. Several things jump out from this at me: First, a father who is relaxed enough to laugh and play indicates a safe environment. Fathers are biologically the providers of safety, so if dad is relaxed, the world must truly be safe. Children may be picking up on this. Second, being worthy of a father's time and attention is a huge marker for kids. A father's attention may actually mean more in many cases, as we've seen in other studies. The bond with mom is equally as important, but sometimes the bond with mom is taken for granted, where the bond with dad is taken as remarkable due to perceived other demands on his time. What this means: Dads, you've got to be playing with your kids. As silly and disruptive as possible. They need this from you. It's one of the strongest ways they can bond to you. More about the research: psypost.org/laughter-plays…
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Mr. Nobody
Mr. Nobody@MmisterNobody·
Feminism was a scam to get women into the workforce so they could tax both parents and indoctrinate your kids at school.
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Jack The Aussie
Jack The Aussie@hammerofleft·
Jeez what's happened to SHY? She's one big unit. Smearing one nation in parliament today, looks like She's also been smearing too much peanut butter.
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Ida Turan 🇮🇷 ایده توران
⚡️Quick debunking for people trying to follow this Iran-US-Israel conflict as it moves crazy fast: Today, Monday March 23, right before markets opened, President Trump comes out and says his guys are talking to some high-level Iranian figure (won’t name him for security). Claims they already agreed on a bunch of stuff and gave them till Friday, March 27 , basically five more days. Axios (you know, the outlet that drops these leaks on purpose) points straight at @mb_ghalibaf , the Islamic regime parliament speaker and one of the regime’s big players. Reports say backchannels through Egypt, Turkey and Pakistan are trying to set up something in Islamabad, maybe with Witkoff. But who knows which part is real and which is just noise or false flag. Ghalibaf immediately jumped on X and denied everything, called it fake news to mess with oil prices. However, hardliners inside the regime started threatening and accusing each other of creating division and betraying. You can feel the panic. They can't trust their own shadow anymore. But here’s the real game Trump is running, and people usually miss it: He’s not suddenly going soft. This is classic Trump: talk, buy time, keep the regime feeling safe while he moves the real pieces. Right now serious amphibious forces are heading in, USS Tripoli and 31st MEU from the Pacific, USS Boxer and 11th MEU coming from California. These aren’t normal ships; they’re built for landing operations. A lot of analysts think the plan is to lock down the Strait of Hormuz, maybe hit some Iranian islands or coastal missiles if needed. The “negotiations” are just cover, like last month's negotiatin leading to the "Ayatollah Khamenei is dead". Regime knows how he plays, but they’re too broken inside to do much about it. Now why Ghalibaf is important: Unlike the real hardliners (the crazy apocalyptic ones who want to burn the world for the Mahdi) Ghalibaf is a pragmatic, super-corrupt operator. He’s deep in the IRGC’s money machine. That whole sanctions-busting oil business was supposed to fund the final war, but a lot of it just filled their own pockets. These guys aren’t ready to die for the cause. They have huge fortunes, villas, assets tied to energy. If Trump starts smashing infrastructure ( as he threatened in the weekend), it’s their money and luxury life that disappears. Ghalibaf talks tough, but he calculates and he’s scared for his own skin. The family scandals (son trying to get visa in Canada, daughter shopping for luxury abroad while they preach simple life and martyrdom) just show how fake it all is. The regime isn’t a solid block anymore. It’s eaten from inside like termites. Even in their own loyal circles they’re turning on each other. You see reports of growing discontent and defections in parts of the regular army, some already quietly talking to transition leader. Prince @PahlaviReza has said it many times: he doesn’t want the Iraq mistake with total de-Baathification. Anyone whose hands aren’t covered in blood and who actually wants to help rebuild Iran should have a place in a calm, controlled transition. Bottom line: the Islamic Republic today looks like a hollow building held up by fear and corruption. It only needs one good push to come down. I honestly believe we are in good hands. @POTUS , PM @netanyahu and HRH Reza Pahlavi know this regime inside out. They read it perfectly and they’re handling the tension in a controlled way. Things are moving forward well. The noise is loud, but the signal is getting clearer every hour. Stay patient, stay put. P.S: I wrote this in Persian and then asked grok to translate it to English. It's not AI generated ;) #JavidShah‌‌‌‌‌ #Iran
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Natania Marshall ✞
Natania Marshall ✞@NataniaMarshall·
The women are going to hate this… Yes, it is your responsibility to stay attractive for your husband.
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M.A. Rothman
M.A. Rothman@MichaelARothman·
𝗧𝗥𝗨𝗠𝗣 𝗝𝗨𝗦𝗧 𝗠𝗔𝗗𝗘 𝗜𝗖𝗘 𝗔𝗧 𝗔𝗜𝗥𝗣𝗢𝗥𝗧𝗦 𝗣𝗘𝗥𝗠𝗔𝗡𝗘𝗡𝗧 — 𝗦𝗖𝗛𝗨𝗠𝗘𝗥 𝗝𝗨𝗦𝗧 𝗟𝗢𝗦𝗧 𝗛𝗜𝗦 𝗟𝗘𝗩𝗘𝗥𝗔𝗚𝗘 Chuck Schumer shut down DHS funding to defang ICE. He may have just handed Trump a permanent ICE presence at every major airport in America. Trump has announced ICE will remain at airports indefinitely. And Border Czar Tom Homan just explained exactly what that looks like on the ground: 𝘠𝘰𝘶 𝘬𝘯𝘰𝘸, 𝘐 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘤𝘩𝘦𝘤𝘬 𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘧𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘣𝘦𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘦 𝘱𝘦𝘰𝘱𝘭𝘦 𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘦𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘢𝘳𝘦𝘢. 𝘞𝘦'𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘳𝘺𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘳𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝗧𝗦𝗔 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘰𝘶𝘳𝘤𝘦𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘨𝘦𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘯𝘦𝘦𝘥 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘴𝘦 𝘪𝘯, 𝘭𝘪𝘬𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘹-𝘳𝘢𝘺 𝘴𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘦𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨. 𝗦𝗼 𝘄𝗲'𝗿𝗲 𝗴𝗼𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝗲 𝗮 𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗰𝗲 𝗺𝘂𝗹𝘁𝗶𝗽𝗹𝗶𝗲𝗿. Think about what Schumer actually did here. He blocked TSA funding to prevent ICE from doing its job. Trump responded by deploying ICE directly to airports. Now ICE is checking IDs at the front door — before anyone even reaches TSA screening — and Trump has declared it permanent. 𝗗𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗰𝗿𝗮𝘁𝘀 𝘀𝗵𝘂𝘁 𝗱𝗼𝘄𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗴𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗻𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗴𝗲𝘁 𝗿𝗶𝗱 𝗼𝗳 𝗜𝗖𝗘. 𝗧𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗱 𝘂𝗽 𝗽𝘂𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗜𝗖𝗘 𝗶𝗻 𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘆 𝗮𝗶𝗿𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁 𝗶𝗻 𝗔𝗺𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮. 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗹𝘆. TSA agents get to focus on what they're trained for — x-ray screening and security. ICE handles ID verification at the entrance. The airports actually run better. And anyone in this country illegally just lost one of the last places they could move around anonymously. This is what happens when you play checkers against someone playing chess.
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Katie Hopkins
Katie Hopkins@KTHopkins·
I am many things Ayoub my love. Plural is not one of them. Sick is banging first-cousin-Fatima. Big love ❤️ Queen Katie Hopkins (you may kneel and kiss my ring)
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Goldie Ghamari | گلسا قمری 🇮🇷
In 1979, Jimmy Carter told the Shah's men to stand down, creating the conditions for the terrorist Islamic Regime to take control of Iran. Pay attention to what President Trump is doing today with the Islamic Regime. History matters.
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Hussain Abdul-Hussain
Hussain Abdul-Hussain@hahussain·
Islamist Iran duped Obama into leaving ballistic missiles out of JCPOA, which dismantled UN sanctions regime and eventually lifted arms embargo on Iran. The reason Iran now has all these one-ton warhead solid-fuel missiles is that terrible Obama deal. And none of its supporters have yet admitted they were wrong.
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Sassafrass84
Sassafrass84@Sassafrass_84·
This is the way. ❤️
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Len Khodorkovsky
Len Khodorkovsky@MessageFromLen·
Don’t misread Trump. He has all the cards. Be patient.
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Pro-America | Politics & Markets
Iran's tyrannical supreme leader was blown into 100 pieces. Their entire navy is at the bottom of the ocean. Their three nuclear sites have been turned to rubble. Their entire military has been decimated. Their nuclear program has been set back for decades. This is one of the most successful military missions of the last 50 years.
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Natania Marshall ✞
Natania Marshall ✞@NataniaMarshall·
Feminism teaches women that they don’t need men. That’s why they’re depressed, single, and medicated.
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Mahyar Tousi
Mahyar Tousi@MahyarTousi·
It doesn’t matter who in the Islamic Republic the Americans talk to. The Iranian people’s plan hasn’t changed. Once the regime is crippled soon, the Immortal Guard will take over the country from the Islamic occupiers.
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سيف الدرعي| Saif alderei
Anyone who says “Iran has won” is either completely ignorant or living in deep denial. The harsh reality today: • Over 40 million Iranians living below the poverty line • 13 million unable to afford basic necessities of life • Total economic collapse and a currency with almost no value • 6 out of 9 major pension funds declared bankrupt • $153 billion lost in the recent war alone • Deep popular anger and a growing thirst for revenge against the regime • Severe security crackdown on 9 major ethnic groups inside Iran • Decades of chronic crises: unemployment, thirst, hunger, desertification, and corruption • Exhaustion of the Supreme Leader and top regime figures • Depleted missile and drone stockpiles, and the military nuclear dream turned to ashes And yet some brainwashed supporter comes and tells you: “Iran has won.” Seriously? This is not victory. This is a slow, painful national collapse — paid for with the blood and suffering of the Iranian people. Real victory is building a prosperous nation, not dragging it into endless wars and ruin. The real question is: When will those who defend this regime realize that the biggest loser is the Iranian people themselves?
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