Cook Political Report

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Tomorrow is primary day in Ohio. The outcomes of multiple contests could determine whether House Democrats make a serious offensive play in the state. Read this from preview from @MattKleinOnline and @ercovey: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

👋 Mark your calendars! @JessicaTaylor goes live on Substack Thurs, May 7 at 1pm to answer questions about the battle for the Senate. Our Ask An Expert series is available to our paid Substack subscribers. Learn more: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com Tune in: open.substack.com/live-stream/18…

Facing a near-certain primary loss to upstart Democratic rival Graham Platner, Maine Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign for Senate. Here are some of the questions that will determine the future of this race from @JessicaTaylor: cookpolitical.com/analysis/senat…

It’s quite stunning that a Schumer/DSCC backed candidate — and a sitting governor! — didn’t even make it to the primary for lack of cash (she’d been dark on air the past few weeks). Mills statement dropping out of #MESen:

The Florida Legislature passed a new map of the state's congressional districts proposed by Gov. Ron DeSantis. Here's what you need to know about the new gerrymander from @Redistrict: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

“Republicans could conceivably push for redraws that net them a few seats in 2026, but it’s unclear at this point how many of those maps will go into effect given the challenges of the timeline and the inevitable torrent of litigation to come. However, it’s become almost inevitable that both parties will continue the redistricting wars that began last year in Texas into 2027 and beyond. “ cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

New @CookPolitical: Three big takeaways from the Supreme Court’s Voting Rights Act decision. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

We’re in uncharted waters now with a high degree of uncertainty. We don’t know how the SCOTUS standard will be applied going forward. But we do know that Southern states will take an aim at many Black-majority seats, most likely before 2028. Read our full thoughts on VRA here:

For full coverage of what to watch in the battle over redistricting, check out our Redistricting Tracker here: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

There are still a lot of unanswered questions swirling around the Supreme Court’s Voting Rights Act decision, especially its impact on the 2026 midterm election. Here's our current thinking from @amyewalter and @MattKleinOnline: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

How will today's Supreme Court decision affect redistricting in 2026 and 2028? Check out our updated Redistricting Tracker for all you need to know about the districts that have already changed this cycle and what could be in play next. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

President Donald Trump’s endorsement record is on the line in the close Louisiana Senate primary, where three Republican candidates are fighting for two runoff spots. Read more from @JessicaTaylor: cookpolitical.com/analysis/senat…

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis unveiled a ruthless new gerrymander. But given the prevailing winds, not all of the potential GOP gains — nor the safety of several existing Republicans incumbents — would be assured this November. Read this from @Redistrict: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

New @CookPolitical: DeSantis gerrymander targets four Dem seats, but not all are guaranteed GOP pickups in 2026 - and three FL GOP incumbents would remain at some risk. My full analysis: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/how…

🎧 🎧NEW Editors Roundtable pod with @Redistrict, @amyewalter and Carrie Dann. How Do MAGA, Moderates and Progressives Fare in Competitive Races? Find out what we learned from our new Battleground District Project poll. Listen on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/how-do-maga-…

My colleague, Carrie Dann, on the catch-22 for R’s in swing CDs. Their voters want MAGA-style candidates; indies don’t. In fact, indies would pick a progressive-aligned Dem over a MAGA-coded GOPer. From the @CookPolitical Battleground Survey. cookpolitical.com/analysis/surve…

A key finding from CPR's Battleground District Project: GOP voters prefer MAGA candidates over more traditional Republicans, but the MAGA brand is a drag in a competitive general election environment. Read this from Carrie Dann: cookpolitical.com/analysis/surve…

The outcomes of multiple Ohio primaries could determine whether House Democrats make a serious offensive play in the state. Read more from @MattKleinOnline and @ercovey: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/how…

🎧 🎧 NEW Editors Roundtable pod with @amyewalter, @Redistrict and Carrie Dann. How Do MAGA, Moderates and Progressives Fare in Competitive Races? Find out what we learned from our new Battleground District Project poll. Listen on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/how-do-maga-…