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@JeffreyBenson12 what’s the No price on fierceness in the KY Derby?
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Cork Cutter
1.2K posts
Cork Cutter
@CorkCutter
“In a democracy, you have to be a player.”
Monstro Katılım Ağustos 2023
438 Takip Edilen449 Takipçiler
@EmilyOptixEQ imagine offering this in the US where jockeys won't ride out mounts if they are 7th.
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Cork Cutter retweetledi
Illinois Racing facing fourth down. Never imagined when calling my first year in Chicago in 2000 that it would be as it is today, yet knew since Al Capone, old feuds, and corruption over years in Springfield, could lead to where things stand now in the Land of Lincoln.
Daily Racing Form@DailyRacingForm
'Hawthorne's Standardbred license suspended, putting Thoroughbred racing in jeopardy.' @DRFHersh with the details. drf.com/news/hawthorne…
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Cork Cutter retweetledi
A penguin got lost in the snowy steppes of Ukraine.
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@TomRyanKY If handle in California was $10B, no one would care about HHR.
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California just shut down the “racing on demand” machines at Santa Anita – and with them, a rare chance to grow an industry. In a state where purses are shrinking, foal crops are falling, and tracks have already closed, supplemental gaming wasn’t a gimmick – it was a way to keep owners, trainers, and grooms employed, keep open space in horses instead of condos, and keep top-class racing (and its tax base) from fleeing to Kentucky and other HHR states. By protecting a monopoly on “slot-style” products, California isn’t just blocking a few terminals at Santa Anita – it’s blocking new purse money, new tourism dollars, and new tax revenue at the exact moment the equine industry is fighting for its survival.
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@bizlet7 The cleverest of the clever winners are the staunchest supporters of limits.
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So basically if you ever become profitable they ban your action defeating the whole pipe dream of using these apps in the first place.
Either ban gambling apps or make it illegal to not offer the same action across the board.
Trung Phan@TrungTPhan
The Economist has a great piece on strategy sportsbetting apps use to throttle smart bettors: ▫️Skilled players are “sharps” and given “stake restrictions” if they play too well (bets are capped). ▫️Rest of players called “Square”. ▫️In 2025, 4.3% of active UK accounts had a “stake factor” below the maximum bet allowance of 100%. ▫️Sportsbook will take bets with a profit margin as low as 4.5%. ▫️If they are able to do good “player-profiling” and keep the “sharps” from playing, the profit margin can reach 10-20%. ▫️As important as keeping out “sharps” is hooking “whales”, the deep-pocketed players that are willing to keep playing (and losing) large sums. ▫️Some “whales” are actually “sharps” in disguise, though. They’ll lose a bunch of bets to lull the sportsbook then put down a massive bet when they have an edge. ▫️While there is a risk of a “whale” being a “sharp”, the value of a real “whale” is so high that sportsbook will take the risk ▫️“In March 2024 PointsBet, raised its share of online sports-gambling revenue in New Jersey from 11% to 24% after wooing a single cash-spouting customer away from DraftKings.” (I can confirm that this wasn’t me). ▫️How sportsbook profile players: > Playing on Mobile is a good sign (where majority of people play) > Playing on PCs is a bad sign (it’s easier to compare odds and run models) > E-wallets are a red flag (sportsbooks prefer debit direct deposit that can attach a player to a single account; e-wallet is more anonymized and players can move cash between sportsbook more quickly to shop for the best odds) > Women bettors are a red flag (most bettors are men and “sharps” often use women to place bets) ▫️First wagers are a major tells (typical bettors go after top leagues — NFL, NBA, EPL — and do so near the start of the game). ▫️Popular bets for “squares”: who will win, scoring margins and how star player will perform (also, they love multi-leg parlays). ▫️“Sharps” go after less popular leagues and place bets as soon as odds are published, when they are most mispriced. They also go after less popular bets such as “pts in Q3” or stats from a random player (“Sharps” rarely do parlays and don’t withdrawal winnings often). ▫️One gambling consultant tells The Economist that “By the time a customer places his first bet, [sportsbooks] are 80-90% certain they know the lifetime value of the account.” ▫️”Sportsbooks look at a player’s ‘closing-line value’ — a measure that compares the odds at which he bets with those available right before a match begins. If it is consistently ahead of the market over his first ten wagers, he is highly likely to beat the book in the long run.” ▫️Sportsbook mathematically monitor players and creates a new risk score every 6-8 hours (risk score = estimate of probability that customers will wind up unprofitable). ▫️E-wallet users, women and bets over $100 are flagged. These suspicious bettors are given 30% of maximum bet (and proven sharps only allowed 1%). ▫️High-skilled players will often get a “beard” to bet on their behalf. Most sportsbooks ban this practice but it is widespread. ▫️Safest “beards” are close friends and relatives because you can mostly rely on them to pay out any winnings. The “beards” try to look like degens (playing at 3am, bet non-stop and doing ridiculous parlays) before placing a winning bet. ▫️The most effective strategy for “sharps” is “whale-flipping”. Find a losing gambler, then ask to put a (likely) large winning bet amongst their pool of guaranteed losers. ▫️Once “sharps” max out the people they can use as “beards”, they tap professional networks called “movers”. These “movers” employ a bunch of “mules” who can put down bets on the behalf of the network. Low-end movers charge 10-20% while high-end movers charge 50% of winnings. *** Lots other great details here: economist.com/christmas-spec…
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seeing the amounts the groups were able to bet on these CBB games is 100x more shocking than the actual point shaving
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Not defending point shaving, but if you are booking $80K pops on mid major CBB 1Hs, you deserve it.
David Payne Purdum@DavidPurdum
20 men were charged in a point-shaving scheme involving more than 39 college basketball players on more than 17 NCAA Division I teams and leading to more than 29 games being fixed, according to an indictment unsealed Thursday.
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Can someone explain the line moves on bills/broncos in last 48 hours? Specifically on FD
@CorkCutter
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This gentleman comes to OTB in afternoon to bet night harness racing, and plays pretty big, seen $500+ Yonkers plays #fashion
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@ajhall44 I am a fairly outspoken critic - want to see my prior tweets?
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@CorkCutter And why aren’t they? That’s what you should be asking. I already am.
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We Investigated Horse Drugging. Here's What We Found. | New York Focus nysfocus.com/2026/01/08/tak…
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@ajhall44 I have not shamed you for snitching, nor have I threatened you.
I am shaming you for cheating. What you did was wrong. Just admit that you don’t like what you see in the mirror.
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@CorkCutter Witness shaming and any verbal abuse or threatening messages is a federal crime fyi. So I can forward your info to the FBI as I was instructed to do with trolls like you and they can deep dive why you’re attacking me.
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