The Punters Palace

@Bens_Betting Lions can concede disposals to the half back types? Essendon might just control it.

Essendon vs Brisbane tips: 1u - Roberts u33.5 disp @$1.90 (PB) 1u - Farrow u19.5 disp @$1.80 (PB) 1.25u - Wash 25, Bailey 20 @$1.75 (TAB) 1.25u - Clugg 24+ disp @$1.80 (PB) 0.2u - Clugg 30+ @$5 (dabble) 0.05u - Clugg35+ @$13 (dabble)

@Duckimusprime @hasumpstuffedup Re-read and go again 🤣

@Cornwill_98 @hasumpstuffedup Wait, you mean you can't get pinged holding the ball if you don't take possession? Wow. Shock horror.

This is a correct decision. No prior. As the second angle shows. Frampton bobbles it initially; he does not have a clear prior opportunity after he gets clear possession. Fantastic tackle by Watson, but it is not HTB. Good piece of umpiring #AFLPiesHawks #AFL

We go again today punters. #Gambling𝕏 #AFL SAINTS VS EAGLES: MULTI 1: 2.75U @$3.40 JOSH LINDSAY 18+ BO ALLAN 14+ CALLUM WILKIE 23+ MULTI 2: 0.75U @$8.70 MILAN MURDOCK 16+ HARLEY REID UNDER (21.5) JACK SINCLAIR UNDER (32.5) LIAM DUGGAN UNDER (20.5) MITCH OWENS TOP GOALSCORER - 1.5U @$5.90 LIONS VS CROWS: MULTI 1: 2.5U @$3.20 WILL ASHCROFT 27+ WAYNE MILERA 25+ JOSH WORRELL 23+ MULTI 2: 1.25U @$5 TAYLOR WALKER 3+ GOALS LOGAN MORRIS 2+ GOALS TAYLOR WALKER TOP GOALSCORER - 0.75U @$8 GIANTS VS KANGAROOS: MULTI 1: 1.25U @$5.70 AARON CADMAN 3+ GOALS COOPER TREMBATH 2+ GOALS JAKE STRINGER ATGS AARON CADMAN TOP GOALSCORER - 1.75U @$6.50

+2.25U on the day. Could have been a big one. We miss on Anderson by a disposal. #Gambling𝕏

No good last night punters. We go again today. Betting the first two games. HAWKS VS SUNS: MULTI: 2.5U @$4 JACK GUNSTON 3+ JAI NEWCOMBE OVER (+25.5) JARMAN IMPEY OVER (+21.5) BOMBERS VS PIES MULTI 1: 3U @$3.60 NICK DAICOS OVER (+32.5) JACOB FARROW 18+ ANGUS ANDERSON 15+ MULTI 2: 1U @$8 THOMAS EDWARDS 2+ ARCHIE ROBERTS 30+ JOSH DAICOS 25+ NICK DAICOS ATGS JORDAN DE GOEY ATGS THOMAS EDWARDS MOST GOALS - 0.75U @$11

Taking a week off from the write ups of races/focusing on Footy a bit more. Will have a Unit plan up tomorrow morning for anyone wanting to follow! #Gambling𝕏

A few bets tonight on the footy punters. MULTI 1: 3U @$3.60 JACK STEELE 24+ DISPOSALS KOLTYN THOLSTRUP OVER +21.5 BAYLEY FRITSCH 2+ GOALS MULTI 2: 0.5U @$19 NICK VLASTUIN 17+ CHANGKUOTH JIATH 18+ KSYIAH PICKETT OVER +26.5 MAX GAWN OVER +23.5 HARVEY LANGFORD OVER +18.5 BAYLEY FRITSCH TOP GOALSCORER - 2U @$5.30 The Tigers struggle majorly against medium sized marking forwards and that's exactly what he is. He has a great record against the Tigers and the Tigers defence has consistently struggled against these types. Looks a good spot. #Gambling𝕏

@paoloseb05 Worried about this with my Tigers Atm.

Melbourne just further proof of a club willing to make the tough, correct decisions when the football is and culture is waning away. Carlton? Polar opposite. You get what you deserve.

Some Multis and Single bets on a lacklustre Sunday. NORTH VS RICHMOND - MARVEL - 1:10PM MULTI 1: 4U @$3.30 LDU +28.5 SHEEZEL 30+ PAUL CURTIS 2+ MULTI 2: 2U @$4.20 LALOR +16.5 STEPHENS 20+ WARDLAW 17+ CAMERON ZURHAAR MOST GOALS - 0.75U @$10 DEMONS VS LIONS - MCG - 3:20PM MULTI 1: 1.75U @$5 LEVER 16+ BAILEY 2+ CAMERON 2+ ZAC BAILEY MOST GOALS - 1U @$8 EAGLES VS LIONS - OPTUS - 5:30PM HAYDEN YOUNG 2+ @$4.40 - 1.25U/3+ @$13 - 0.5U MILAN MURDOCK 2+ @$5.40 - 1U/3+ @$17 - 0.4U JOSH TREACY TOP GOALSCORER - 4U @$2.90

@AussieBenC @bias_pace Hawks Vs Geelong was a ripper I thought. Agree Dogs Vs Lions was a cracker.

@bias_pace You guys should have won ffs It wasn’t game of the year though did you not see the dogs vs lions game

That’s won’t be talked about as one of games of the year because there was no big build up, but that was clearly the game of the year so far #aflhawksport #aflhawkspower

Up we go Matias! Lovely ride. #Gambling𝕏

@Tom_Ford007 Not having it. Never looked like it.

@Cornwill_98 True, but probably wins if not being hit in the head by Billy.

Street Artist being $1.90 was just strange. Was always gonna settle two or three pairs back, and 1000m probably less than ideal.

FOOTY BETS: 18/04/26 SUNS VS BOMBERS: 12:30PM - PFS BAILEY HUMPHREY 2+ GOALS @$1.95 - 3U/3+ GOALS @$4 - 1.25U/4+ GOALS @$9.25 - 0.5U Rationale is simple here. Humphrey loves playing at PFS, kicking three in three of his last four games there, two coming against Geelong/Brisbane who are much better than the Bombers. Essendon have leaked goals to these medium forward types this season (Gunston 5, McDonald 2, JHF 3, Duursma 3) so this looks like a good spot. Petracca coming back in means he keeps the same inside 5o time. DARCY PARISH +23.5 @$1.83/HUMPHREY ATGS @$2.25 - 3U The Humphrey gaol scorer leg adds value to this. Parish loves playing against Hardwick coached sides. Dimma allows him to get the ball at will as he thinks he is non effective with it which is great for our disposal bets regardless. If the Suns tag I expect Powell to go to Merrett which allows Parish plenty of midfield time to seagull around and go overs on this line. He's starting to hit form. HAWKS VS POWER - MARVEL - 4:15PM JAMES SICILY 22+ DISPOSALS - $2.23 - 2.5U Sicily has hit this mark in four out of five games this season and the Power gift the ball away to medium/intercept defenders at will which will suit Sicily. There isn't much to worry about in the Power forward fifty with Barrass and Battle occupying the keys. This should allow him to roam free and gather the ball. CALSHER DEAR 2+ GOALS @$2.05 - 2.5U/3+ GOALS @$4.20 - 1U/4+ GOALS @$10 - 0.5U The Power seem set on having Marshall play as an interceptor/loose man which should mean Dear gets the Lachie Jones match up that other forwards have loved in 2026 so far. He just isn't a good 1v1 defender and the Hawks are very good at getting those opportunities inside fifty. Looks a good price to kick a small bag here and he will be hungry back in the side. CROWS VS SAINTS - ADELAIDE OVAL - 7:35PM BEN KEAYS 2+ GOALS @$2.45 - 2.5U/3+ GOALS @$6 - 1.25U/4+ GOALS @$15 - 0.5U He kicked three last week against the Baggers and I think he can repeat the dose here against a team who gives up goals to small/medium forwards (De Goey 3, Gothard 2, Mcreery 2, Rayner 2, Durdin 2). They are all similar players and I think once he hits form, he stays at that level for a few weeks. LUKE PEDLAR 2+ GOALS @$3.30 - 1.75U/3+ GOALS @$9.70 - 0.75U/4+ GOALS @$31 - 0.25U Very much similar reasons as to Keays. He's been burnt a few times this season when open and has been unlucky to be dropped. He likely gets one of Carroll/Hill go to him which is a very favourable match up. Love this spot for the Adelaide smalls. MAX HALL 2+ GOALS @$3.50 - 1.5U/3+ GOALS @$10 - 0.75U/4+ GOALS @$34 - 0.25U On the flip side, the Crows also give up goals to high half forwards/medium forwards (Elliott 2, Baker 3, Freijah 3, Martin 3, Ainsworth 2) who all play somewhat similar roles than Hall does and he is capable of kicking big bags of goals when playing more forward. Like this spot for a player like Hall. TOTAL MATCH POINTS OVER +177.5 @$1.90 - 3U I get the feeling that this game will be relatively high scoring. The fact that the midfields are both very much one way runners lends itself to the fact it should be high scoring out of stoppage/clearance and when that happens the game usually flows quickly as well.

Have started to really narrow down and focus on AFL betting this year with mixed results. I'm going to start posting bets (working with apps like Betsniper, Statmate etc) and see how we go. Multis and single bets included! #Gambling𝕏

Randwick and Mornington sets are up punters. It was the hardest day of form that I can remember. Staked back, but have found a few races I'm keen to bet into. Fingers crossed for a few winners. Adding 1.5U win Rey Magnerio in the Quokka @$5. #Gambling𝕏

RANDWICK R9 ALL AGED STAKES Jimmysstar ($5) is polarising here. He was terrific late in the TJ and does his best racing at 1400m but will get a mile back. It will have to be a near career best run from the champ. Give him some hope but I marked him $5.80 Fangirl ($10) looks the value. The Waller camp are training her slightly differently this prep and her peak 1400m runs would see her in the finish here. She maps to sit in front of Jimmy and if she has 1-2L on him and gets going earlier, I doubt he can run her down. I loved her most recent trial and think she has come back in super order. Angel Capital ($5) was terrific LS in the William Reid in the IG and this does seem to be a grand final compared to others already having their big targets already. Jmac on, he maps well, and he has the ability. Can't take $5 for a horse who does plenty wrong however. Beiwacht ($7) maps to get an easy lead and his best figure screams G1 star, it's just hard to know if he can reach that again. He gets the best setup too here and is the best of the rest. BETS: 1U WIN FANGIRL @$10

@RegVicTiger Yeah this is my main worry as well. They have stagnated. What says this crop don't as well? Grilj will be a fascinating watch in regard to natural flair etc.

@Cornwill_98 Agreed. Development of the previous guys from 2024 draft is a massive concern when you look at the young kids to come. He doesn’t play with any system & players look scared to play attacking footy. Sometimes natural instincts come out and it’s ok. But he’s coaching it out of them

Adam Yze is a proper conundrum now for the Tigers. A balanced view would suggest that whilst Yze hasn't been given much of a chance, that the win-loss record of just say 9-59 after three seasons is sackable. My opinion, as a Richmond supporter, is that we are playing without spirit and without a plan in 2026. Last year, there was an identified way of how we wanted to play and move the ball. This year has been the complete opposite. The players that have went backwards or stagnated. Sam Banks (23) - He is arguably playing worse football than he was in 2025. He is the Tigers thirteenth ranked footballer in 2026 by player ratings and he is someone who should be improving every year now. Jack Ross (25) - He has stagnated again and we know know what he is. A B- grader at very best and most of the times a C grader. It's now or never this season. Hugo Ralphsmith (24) - Is injured now but has played three games this season and was the same old Hugo. He has glimpses, but for someone who has played 65 games, I'd suggest we need more than that. Tom Brown (22) - The big disappointment of 2026 so far. He was a pick 17 a few years ago and has went backwards at a rate of knots. Needs to lift. Noah Balta (26) - The other big disappointment. He should be at the peak of his powers now and he looks bereft of confidence and like he's forgot to play the game. A career worst start to the season and by some margin. Jacob Hopper (29) - It's all been said. I don't think he is interested because at times, he has been clearly our worst player so far this season. He's being paid the big bucks, and he isn't delivering anything. Trade. Tyler Sonsie (23) - Just not good enough and should have been delisted at the end of last season. They needed to be the players that lifted the club this season, and they have been incredibly poor. The reason for that, only the club knows. But not many coaches stay any longer than three seasons if they're win loss is below 10%. Interested to see what other Tigers think. #GoTiges #Richmond #AFL

@knee_takea Yeah agree. I was hesitant to name any Premiership older types because they have served us well but they need to dump a few of the older players soon.

@Cornwill_98 Prestia deserves a mention, he is far too slow & played out of position on half forward line yesterday. We could have recruited Murphy Reid to play that role! We seem to have a stack of slow midfielders that are trying to be used in other positions including Ross & Sonsie.