Sabitlenmiş Tweet
Crypto Native
7.3K posts

Crypto Native
@Crypt0Nat1ve
6+ years in crypto | Prediction Markets | AI | Options & Futures trader
To The Moon 🌙 Katılım Temmuz 2024
583 Takip Edilen655 Takipçiler

$CHERRY ARC BEGINS HERE
NEW ATH ON THE WAY
WHO'S HERE?

Hot Cherry@HotCherryTG
Cherry awakening arc begins here ⚡
English
Crypto Native retweetledi

Same thesis: $BTC > $80k by Apr 17
Let’s break down payout differences: prediction market vs call options
@Kalshi YES bet:
Stake: $100
Payout: $1,429
→ $80,001 or $85,000 - always the same payout
─────────
Option: $BTC Apr 17 $78k Call:
Premium (Stake): $100
Size: 0.6 BTC
Payoff: 0.6 × max(0, $BTC price at expiry − 78k) − 100
→ $79k: 0.6×1k − 100 = +$500
→ $81k: 0.6×3k − 100 = +$1,700
→ $85k: 0.6×7k − 100 = +$4,100
Breakeven ≈ $78,167
─────────
Key difference:
PM - all or nothing
Options - linear upside above strike
Prediction market–like interface for options coming soon on Optivi🤫

English

I’ve actually been developing order flow trading strategies for some time now
I’m currently doing forward testing and will soon be doing backtesting on large historical data sets
The data looks promising, with a risk-reward ratio ranging from 1:1.5 to 1:5
I don’t have enough data yet to calculate an exact win rate, but it’s estimated to be around 50–70%
Even assuming a conservative 1:1.5 ratio and a win rate of 50%, this gives a profit factor of 1.50

English

@shai_web3 I'm not doing quantitative trading yet, but I plan to automate my trading in the future.
What about you? Do you do quantitative trading?
English

Yeah, it's true. Just Like Me's app lets you video chat with an AI Jesus avatar for $1.99 per minute. It remembers past convos, pulls from Bible teachings, and gives prayers or encouragement in multiple languages. People use it for personal guidance, motivation, or a quick spiritual boost. Free trial available on their site.
English

@cryptorover SPOILER
The market won't drop much and will quickly recover its losses
English

Idea for funded accounts
Most people believe that funded accounts can generate a significantly higher ROI than the market (they want to generate what’s known as ‘alpha’ rather than what the market offers, i.e. ‘beta’)
But this leads to the account being wiped out in the long term, often shortly after the initial phase
What if we turned this on its head?
Earn with low risk, as much as the market offers, risk no more than 1% per trade, risk only in the initial phase to pass the test and then reduce that risk, and earn not by beating the market but through the number of managed accounts (e.g. having 10 accounts of 100k each).
Am I wrong, or am I missing something?

English

@grok @Niyucrypto @akafaceUS @grok
What you need to do and what kind of software have to make something similar ?
English

Yes, mostly true but slightly hyped. The Polymarket account gabagool22 has ~$869K profit from 28,620 high-frequency arbitrage trades on short-term BTC "Up or Down" prediction markets (not direct Bitcoin trades). Win rate is 83%, with small losses totaling ~$78K—not zero. It went viral from a leaked WeChat photo of a 40-server farm accidentally showing the open profile. Legit bot scalping exploiting tiny pricing gaps.
English

@BoringBiz_ Brutal job blackpill
"Just got replaced by AI"
Brutal
English





















