Cryptostudent.lens π²

one of the most important concepts in LIFE there is a pattern in business/markets/opportunities that i have observed enough to confirm that it is the general rule for how things work. it goes as follows: 1. new market opportunity arises, very few players in the game 2. in the beginning, it is ALWAYS easy mode: making money does not require much effort and margins are VERY high 3. as the industry grows, more players enter the market including more sophisticated players who are absolute experts in other domains. competition increases, you need more edge and better tools to make money, margins go down 4. once the industry goes mainstream, it only gets more efficient and the once insane opportunity becomes very similar to all other efficient markets and you just make the same money as people working in any other industry. it requires a lot of investment and tech to be able to continue to compete and your head start from years ago is basically useless 5. all edge is gone, this market is old example 1: dropshipping - niggaz in 2005 could run the most basic ads on insta for super low costs and print literal millions - today, drop shipping is efficient example 2: crypto - niggaz in 2016 (and they weren't even that early) could literally just buy bitcoin, eth or ANY ico and instantly 2 - 100x their money, it was so easy - in defi summer 2020 you could get insane APY - today, almost all launches die INSTANTLY and defi APY is below treasury yields it's always the same: in almost every business or side hustle, it starts in easy mode and as more people enter, the amount of effort required for the same reward increases until it's balanced/efficient and then you have 0 edge anymore now, let's look at crypto ask yourself ask yourself TRULY at which stage of the industry maturation are we? and if you are honest with yourself, your answer will be: it's efficient. everyone knows how founders design their ico to generate max fomo, how vcs dump from the beginning or hedge, how shady MMs are, how all kols do undisclosed shills... everyone knows you have no edge in crypto anymore unless you have a good network the highest EV activity you can do now is to put on your shoes and go for a long walk in the forest and think deeply about your current situation. think about what markets are still in their infancy and where making money is still in EASY MODE and then use claude to dominate that niche

the reason your vibecoded app is worthless isn't because it's easily replicable it's because the app doesn't actually solve a problem I keep seeing fomo about AI and this narrative that if you aren't pumping out code, content or whatever else using the best models, local setup, agent and skills etc you'll get "left behind" by people who are I think this is stupid AI is a tool. A tool is valuable because it saves time and effort when solving a problem. AI is a good tool, and very broadly useful it can also be a great toy, there's nothing wrong with creating things for fun and AI is really good at that but people seem to be conflating these two things. If your openclaw mac mini setup took three days to get right and cost $2k in hardware, will it actually save you time and money on net before being made obsolete by whatever the next thing is? is it really that much better than doing 20% of the work yourself and using a less optimized setup for the other 80%? I know your team of agents built 17 apps for you this week but did they really make your life better? are you using those apps? there's nothing wrong with wanting to play around and experiment, all this stuff is really cool and it's fun but finding things you *can* use AI on does not make you any more productive than finding things you *can* hit with a hammer. The task must be useful and the tool used correctly, otherwise it's just a waste of effort. maybe someday AI will become the best tool for everything, but if you're not already using AI, you're probably not missing out on as much as the internet wants you to think just because the tool is there doesn't mean you'll gain anything by spending hours using it on problems you don't actually have there's no benefit to doing more things badly just because new tooling makes it easier just do your thing better as your tools improve