seXRPee retweetledi
🤔 Now Or Never
The US has now positioned in the Middle East a formidable array of assets to prosecute an air campaign against Iran.
In addition to what has already been delivered, CSG-12 (USS Gerald R. Ford CVN-78) is en route. But it is very unlikely it can arrive on station in the eastern Mediterranean and be ready to conduct combat operations any sooner than the end of the month.
I doubt the war will wait that long.
In fact, I still entertain suspicions that Trump ordering CSG-12 to the Middle East is just a bluff intended to intimidate Iran into submitting to all US/Israeli demands, and that eventually CSG-12 will turn around and go back home before something breaks again on the USS Stumbling Gerry, and they have to send a dozen tug boats half-way across the Atlantic to tow it back to Norfolk.
In any case, Iran is not going to submit. Sure, they will agree to not develop nuclear weapons — that was always their position anyway.
But I remain convinced that is as far as they will go. Everything I have seen indicates they are prepared to fight on THIS hill at THIS time.
And, I am likewise convinced that Israel MUST fight now, for the simple reason that, with each passing month, Iran will grow stronger, and Israel will remain the highly vulnerable speck of a country it has always been.
Most significantly, the magnitude of the force the US has now concentrated to the region will not be seen again within Netanyahu's lifetime — and probably never.
Therefore the Israelis have to make this happen NOW. And I doubt there are any limitations to what they might do to ensure they get the war they're looking for.
So, Trump has backed himself into a corner from which there is no escape. He has congregated all the air and naval power the US can assemble without perilously denuding its force posture elsewhere on the planet.
And, short of the Iranians prostrating themselves and bathing his feet with tears and kisses, there is simply no way Trump cannot USE the large force he has gathered to make war against Iran.
Consequently, we are about to find out if US military power is the juggernaut none can defeat, or if things were never as Hollywood and Raytheon always claimed them to be.
English
