BeastMode

98 posts

BeastMode

BeastMode

@DGrasham

Katılım Temmuz 2014
284 Takip Edilen63 Takipçiler
Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Agreed high-level directionally, $FLNC compelling at $3B valuation post-earnings after taking a closer look. Very rare to see a US energy player that small get 2 direct Hyperscaler deals... The $5.6B+ backlog derisks the company growth, not including new hyperscalers backlog like $GOOGL or $MSFT. The hyperscaler deals were framework agreements, which are likely to convert "soon" Q3 this year, and aren't included in numbers. Once that's released it's major positive catalyst, similar to qualification -> volume ramp in semi players. Citi Analyst: "The possibility of a hyperscaler order will likely overshadow everything else in the quarter. We expect a positive reaction to the announcement" I'm going to go ahead and guess they'll likely rerated once they announce their hyperscaler orders maybe anytime in the next 3 months so I jumped on the boat as a short term catalyst trade. (not just 1 but 2) Also, if they hit ~$288M net income off gross-margin expansion ($6B revenue, 13.0% gross margins) from their software segment expansion, ~11.6x fwd p/e for 2027. The current stock price is -50% Feb's prices despite hyperscalers + backlog de-risking the company looks like a great entry point to me (NFA).
Serenity tweet mediaSerenity tweet media
KaizenInvestor@Kaizen_Investor

Just listened to the earnings call from $FLNC and decided to add to my position at $16.67. The earnings were spectacular in my opinion. Yes, they missed revenues due to a delayed shipment of $80 million, but the backlog keeps rising and Fluence management is confident they can deliver. 50% of the backlog comes from new customers and the main part of this backlog is for datacenter purposes. The datacenter backlog is around 12 GW, with the major part of this connected to 2 hyperscalers. To give you an idea, Fluence now have around 22GW deployed or contracted globally. So, this is a major deal. They announced 2 MSA's with major hyperscalers and are expecting a first order in Q3 already. They also said that they would speed up delivery for these hyperscalers and are expecting deliveries within a year. So, we should see first revenues from these deals in 2027. They also explained the heavy selection process for these hyperscalers. Apparently 26 companies were notified, but due to the difficult technical specifications most of the companies could not fit the standards. The main reason they were able to agree these MSA's was due to the fact that their technology is already proven. He spoke about the Fluence lab, so I suppose these Hyperscalers visited the lab and approved. The main focus remains on top-line growth. There were some questions about the high OPEX costs in percentage of revenues but Fluence want to control these by growing revenues instead of lowering costs. Happy to have started a stronger position here. Datacenters are looking for high quality of power to get them through the fluctuations and it looks like Fluence can provide it. Now valued at $3.4B with a $5.6B backlog, still looks pretty cheap.

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Me 😉
Me 😉@reallynotu·
@aleabitoreddit So $aaoi is cratering. You only tout when you’re winning.
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BeastMode
BeastMode@DGrasham·
@GageGoulding @houstonairw I used to fly this route a lot and the plane United (or parters) use has got to be the smallest and oldest in their fleet. Not the least bit surprised of this news.
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Gage Goulding - KPRC 2
Gage Goulding - KPRC 2@GageGoulding·
🚨 BREAKING: A United Express flight to Houston suffered an engine loss and made an emergency landing. UA 4302 (CommuteAir) was heading to Houston's Bush Airport on Monday when the plane lost one of its engines after taking off from McGhee Tyson Airport in Knoxville, TN. (cont.)
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BeastMode
BeastMode@DGrasham·
@CAMINIAN2 @sunxliao Square = bearish Triangle = bullish Less to do with the shape, location is more important. I think.
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Sun Liao
Sun Liao@sunxliao·
$IREN double support never breaks that easily... in this case green/silver (1D). Always know your levels! 🫡
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BeastMode
BeastMode@DGrasham·
@sunxliao Still recommend waiting on those BDs then?
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Prof
Prof@TheProfInvestor·
Buy hedges when they are cheap. Next bounce up- I want you to remember this.
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
World's first $1B market cap co: 1901 $X World's first $10B market cap co: 1955 $GM World's first $100B market cap co: 1995 $GE World's first $500B market cap co: 1999 $MSFT World's first $1T market cap co: 2018 $AAPL* World's first $5T market cap co: 2025 $NVDA World's first $10T market cap co: ??????? *PetroChina briefly touched it for one day in 2007 during their IPO, so we won't count it.
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SniperAlert
SniperAlert@StockOptions888·
ADDING 100 MORE LOYAL & NEW FOLLOWERS TODAY 📚⚡️ WHO STILL NEEDS PERSONAL ACCESS TO MY FREE STOCK TRADING GROUP CHAT? $SPY 10X POTENTIAL NONE THE LESS COMMENT & RT TO ENTER ❤️ $SPX
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SniperAlert@StockOptions888

I AM OFFICIALLY RESTARTING THE $1,000 TO $1,000,000 $SPX 2026 CHALLENGE NEXT MONDAY! 💸 I’M GOING TO RESTART AND LET EVERYONE FOLLOW MY EXACT TRADES FOR COMPLETELY FREE IN A PRIVATE X GROUP CHAT! 🦅 LIKE, REPOST, & COMMENT “$SPX” TO BE ADDED! ❤️‍🔥 YOU MUST BE FOLLOWING ME TO JOIN! ☢️

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TJTheWheelDeal
TJTheWheelDeal@TJTheWheelDeal·
So is this move by the Donald Bullish or Bearish come Monday?
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BeastMode
BeastMode@DGrasham·
@TheLongInvest We’ll be lucky if there’s one more face ripping rally. Today’s was largely in high beta which have been punished for months. Indexes are starting to rollover already.
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The Long Investor
The Long Investor@TheLongInvest·
The ideal scenario now is the market ripping your face off and roaring higher over a short period of time This will be the final signal that the Top is approaching Then it's time get in the trenches. Our trenches are already dug.
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BeastMode
BeastMode@DGrasham·
@BeardoTrader Lower highs, higher lows = rising wedge, often associated with bearish bias. Looking like gamma also flipped negative too so…
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Beardo
Beardo@BeardoTrader·
$QQQ is setting up to kick off the New Year with a bang 💥 What's the best way to stay on the right side of the move? The Yearly Opening Range - the high and low of the first trading day of the year. Long above, short below.
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SniperAlert
SniperAlert@StockOptions888·
I AM OFFICIALLY BEGINNING THE 2026 $1,000 TO $1,000,000 $SPX CHALLENGE NEXT MONDAY! 💸 I’M GOING TO RESTART AND LET EVERYONE FOLLOW MY EXACT TRADES FOR COMPLETELY FREE IN A PRIVATE X GROUP CHAT! 🦅 LIKE, REPOST, & COMMENT “$SPX” TO BE ADDED! ❤️‍🔥 YOU MUST BE FOLLOWING ME TO JOIN! ☢️
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BeastMode retweetledi
YeahDave
YeahDave@Yeah_Dave·
Not picking on Kris here, but $AMZN provides a perfect case study for a topic that is often overlooked in the difference between passive investing and active management. Individual stock picking is not just about identifying a good company; it requires a strategy for the allocation of limited capital and an understanding of timing. If you ignore these factors, you risk a significant strain on your patience and discipline as well as big opportunity costs. I think this will be particularly relevant in 2026. I am seeing a growing sentiment that because $AMZN hasn't moved much recently, it is "due". With $AMZN the gap between net income and free cash flow continues to widen. TTM Net Income: $76B TTM Free Cash Flow: $11B I'm sure Kris has more sophisticated reasoning, but for those allocating to $AMZN "because it hasn't moved in a while"; are you going to be able to stomach what happens to the stock if Free Cash Flow goes negative? Look at what happened in 2022. We are entering into a period of peak AI capex spend in 2026. $AMZN may not reap the rewards of this for some time. When the switch does get flipped and the capex spend flips then the move will be eye watering. Until then it likely treads water. You need to be prepared for this and deem it worthwhile otherwise the market will strain your patience. This scenario with $AMZN is 2014 to 2015 all over again. In 2014 Amazon was spending aggressively on fulfillment centers (to enable Prime 2-day shipping) and the AWS buildout. Wall Street lost patience with the lack of profits and spiraling capital expenditures (a potential echo in 2025/26?). The stock was essentially "dead money" for over a year, dropping 22% in 2014 while the S&P 500 was up 11.4%. Then they flipped the switch in 2015. They slowed spending and started harvesting. They simultaneously broke out AWS revenues separately for the first time and shocked everybody. $AMZN was up 118% in 2015. The harvesting did not slow down until +600% by 2018. They repriced from "low-margin retailer" to "high-margin tech platform." Right now most don't think of AI and $AMZN in the same breath. $AMZN is not being priced as an AI powerhouse the way $GOOGL now is. While you could allocate capital now and wait, you must be prepared for the opportunity cost while other assets potentially outpace it. If you prefer to be more strategic, the goal is to avoid burning out on the "it's past due" argument and instead wait for the inflection point. That shift will be obvious to anyone paying attention to the trend reversal between Net Income and Free Cash Flow. There are several examples of this such as $GRAB, $TSLA (until recently), $RIVN, and $PATH. I suspect a lot of the Mag7 will have a more muted performance in 2026 due to this as well.
YeahDave tweet media
Kris Patel 🇺🇸@KrisPatel99

$AMZN … It’s time.

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Travis Biziorek
Travis Biziorek@TravisBiziorek·
How’s team Jake? 🤣
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