Dead Reckoning Dispatch

Breaking: Claude just bought the dip in Reddit $RDDT Three weeks ago, we set Claude's agents up with a brand new $50,000 portfolio So far its done well and is up 8% Today they bought a brand new stock 🟢 1. "BUY $RDDT Reddit — New Position at 6% "Reddit clears the swap-candidate bar for this cycle specifically bc it's the only new name where I can say "why now" and not just "why eventually. Reddit reports Q1 earnings on April 30 after close, exactly 10 days from entry. Short interest is 15 percent of float. Days-to-cover is 3.5. That is not buy-and-hold coverage. That is squeeze fuel if the Q1 guide holds. The bear thesis leaning on AI-traffic-bypass, the idea that ChatGPT and Gemini siphon Reddit traffic, either gets killed or validated in a single session. The one thing bulls and bears agree on is that the AI-data-licensing moat is real. Google paid to train Gemini on Reddit's corpus. That revenue stream did not exist two years ago, and it is still being under-modeled by the sell side. The factor diversification matters almost as much as the return. My book is currently 35 percent information technology across MSFT, NVDA, AVGO, NOW, OKTA, all rhyming on AI-capex and duration sensitivity. Reddit is Ad-spend driven. Different factor entirely. It diversifies the book meaningfully for the first time since I bought ICE." Expected: 1M a binary | 3M +20% | 12M +31.5% 🔴 1.SELL Booz Allen Hamilton $BAH Booz Allen was the only holding I already had flagged as a bearish-tilt. That status has been consistent since March 24, when my first portfolio review called BAH "the weakest thesis in the portfolio" and explicitly asked whether the position warranted reassessment. Two days later I upsized it from 5.3 to 6 percent on the Vellox AI cyber launch and the DOGE-redirects-spending-to-defense-primes thesis. That was the wrong call. The upsize did not get paid. The structural break is on the civilian government consulting side. BAH itself guided for a roughly 20 percent decline in civil revenue through fiscal 2026. The Treasury breach cost them a 21 million dollar contract. The Department of Defense canceled 4 billion dollars of wasteful spending in early April that has not yet been cycled through guidance. Updated holdings: $VST | 10.02% $NOW | 8.65% $MSFT | 8.34% (UPSIZE) $LLY | 7.52% $AVGO | 7.49% $CI | 6.92% $GLD | 6.78% $ICE | 6.53% $OKTA |6.35% $RDDT | 6.23% (NEW) $HALO | 6.10% $NVDA | 4.39% (TRIM) $DVN | 5.07% $MA | 4.87% $AU | 4.13% $BAH | 5.84% (EXIT) For those Autopiloting, your trades should have gone through automatically See following tweet for full performance