@SmartReversals Scary that bounce in March 2022, it was just the beginning of the bear market.
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Lucas Benett
117 posts
Lucas Benett
@DTradeTracker
Freedom, finance, and the flag 🇺🇸 Trader & entrepreneur on a mission to win. Born in the USA — built for success.
Texas, USA Katılım Ekim 2025
43 Takip Edilen27 Takipçiler
$SPY: The money flow is nearing bottoming levels seen during the 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2025 crashes. A bottom is near in terms of time, not necessarily in the magnitude of flush. A bounce must be sustained in short and long term. See the local bottom of March 2022 for context.
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
$NDX: Price closed Friday at a critical juncture, a confluence of the lower volume shelf and the 200DMA. A breakdown here could trigger an "elevator down" to $24K, with $23K acting as the secondary strong support zone. -1.5% and -5% respectively. $QQQ
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
Squeeze incoming
$SPY $DIA $QQQ
Barchart@Barchart
Hedge Funds shorted U.S. ETFs on Thursday at the 2nd fastest pace ever recorded 🚨🚨
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@SmartReversals The structure is so damaged, the 200DMA must hold next week or this is deal done for bears.
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
$SPX: The McClellan Oscillator remains flat in oversold territory. While the squeeze thesis stands, price weakness suggests a bullish divergence could form (much like 2023 or 2025) where price hits lower lows while the oscillator trends higher. Any bounce must recover the 50DMA.
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Successful investing isn’t about timing the market, it’s about time in the market.
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$GLD benefited from the increase in market uncertainty, attracting investors seeking safe-haven assets amid geopolitical and macroeconomic concerns.
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
$SPX: Even during persistent downtrends, such as the 2025 tariff crash, breaching the lower Bollinger Band has consistently represented an extreme condition that triggers relief bounces. No exception.
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
$SPY: Two valid perspectives on this chart:
A) Bearish: Every bounce has faded; lower highs have persisted for a month.
B) Bullish: The volume shelf is holding, and a Stochastic crossover suggests continuation.
My take: Bullish above $676; breakdown below. ⚖️
$QQQ: $601
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
$MAGS The Mag7 ETF shows the situation for the giants: Weakening price action and here a downtrend set by the 20 daily average. The lower highs and lower lows is narrowing. A breach of $61.2 would trigger a revisit of the lows and a validation of the reversal candle.
$SPY #CPI
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
$AAPL: This type of candle has triggered several bounces recently; the volume shelf suggests this time won't be different. $259.5 must be conquered for a reversal. If that happens, $264.5 is the resistance zone where the selloff will resume, or breakout aligned with seasonality.
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
$DJI: Buyers stepped in forming a bullish candle below the Bollinger band; a rare condition that typically triggers a bounce in the #DowJones. The Oscillator is oversold.
150 Likes and 30 Reposts for key level to validate bounce next week, and $SPX case study.
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
Over the last two weeks, I published two special editions on Sector Rotation. Rather than chasing the "Great Rotation," I anticipated that the trend was already overextended. Tech is now reclaiming relative strength while defensives are under pressure…as expected. $QQQ $SPY $DIA
SmartReversals📈@SmartReversals
What is the current rotation signaling about the market? How does it correlate with the presidential cycle, and what are the seasonal trends for February? Access this deep dive into the current market stage and the setups brewing in this volatile environment. $SPY $QQQ $XOM $BTC
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
$META: Each Weekly Compass provides a full market assessment covering indices, volatility, breadth, and a set of high-probability setups. While geopolitical tension kept META off the official list for now, it is my "9th setup" if we see a bear trap and bounce this week (Link Bio)
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
Oil Futures printed an indecisive candle well outside the upper Bollinger Band with the RSI deep in overbought territory (above 70). Recently, these overextended conditions have triggered a consolidation phase, as highlighted in previous cases. $USO #Oil
$72 coming this week?
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
While the $VIX remains elevated, a handful of high-volume assets are showing signs of accumulation. My 'Bullish Above/Bearish Below' Central Weekly Level remains the essential validator for these setups. Precision and patience matter.
$IBM $NFLX $CRM $NOW $VXX $ORCL
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
$PLTR - Bullish reversal candle and Stochastic crossover: The move has more potential, and a breakout from the current volume shelf could trigger a rapid move to $150.
$QQQ $SPY #StockMarket
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
$AAPL: Indecisive price action has preceded pullbacks, and an oscillator crossover has signaled a bearish reversal. While price found support at the ascending diagonal, Friday's candle shows conviction. It would be surprising if the move were complete; red continuation is likely.
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
What is the current rotation signaling about the market? How does it correlate with the presidential cycle, and what are the seasonal trends for February? Access this deep dive into the current market stage and the setups brewing in this volatile environment. $SPY $QQQ $XOM $BTC
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Lucas Benett retweetledi
$SPX: If the reversal signals on the 4 hour chart continue to be validated within this choppy range, the S&P 500 is not out of the woods. A recovery is unlikely unless today's high is surpassed tomorrow, which would effectively invalidate the latest gravestone candle. $SPY
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