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Educational Thread Overview 📚
Below, you can find all my educational threads about subjects like Profit Taking, Risk Management and others. 👇
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Daan Crypto Trades
50.5K posts
Daan Crypto Trades
@DaanCrypto
Fulltime Crypto Trader & Investor 📈 | Tweets are not financial advice | TG: https://t.co/j7IcSHcJXs | YT: https://t.co/D1PbYpJroi |
Katılım Ekim 2017
537 Takip Edilen417K Takipçiler
$BTC Overview of the latest corrections the past 2 years.
This was the first time we saw two consecutive large legs down Starting in October all the way until the local bottom at the start of February.
Interestingly enough, the thing that has held the world in its grip (Iran war) has not had much impact on Bitcoin. Also stocks are already at fresh all time highs as if nothing happened.
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$BTC Above 80K and headlines still flying around.
Seems like this week will be a volatile one judging by how this Monday has kicked us off.
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$ETH Attempted another breakout of this ~$2.4K area but now getting rejected again due to the recent headline of a US warship being attacked by Iran.
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$BTC Opened up with a new small CME gap.
It is also well on its way to close the previous large gap from $84K.
Good to mark these levels on your chart as they could act as a "magnet" and local reversal zones if price trades close/into them.
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$BTC Trading around its bull market support band. The bulls would want to see a convincing break above to confirm a proper break out.
For these weekly levels I always like to see at least a few percent and a close higher to be more confident it's not just a quick liquidity grab or wick.
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$BTC Weekend pretty uneventful as usual.
Doubt we'll be opening up with a big gap and we'll likely see price trade around this region until futures open back up on Monday.
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High probability doesn’t mean high reward.
Some “safe” trades offer poor returns.
Always measure the risk you're taking vs the potential target/reward you're getting.
Combine that with the probability you give the trade of succeeding and you've done most of the hard work already.
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$ETH So far being rejected by the Weekly 200 Moving Average. A logical place to consolidate at for a bit.
Below, that $2.1K level remains key on the higher timeframes.
A break above ~$2.4K-$2.5K should lead to another test of $2.8K which has been important over the past few years.
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Most of $BTC's gains in April have come from the US & EU trading sessions. With the Asia trading session trailing behind and pretty much flat on the month.
The US session remains the most volatile session where most activity happens by far. This is obvious due to the trading of ETFs, Institutions etc.
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Market conditions change.
Your strategy should match:
• Trending markets
• Ranging markets
One approach won’t fit all environments.
Once you realize this in time, it helps you from a lot of costly mistakes.
Most crypto traders are directional and opt to sit out until a strong trend is clear. Especially during bull markets, those trends are when the real returns are made.
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$BTC After Bitcoin finally broke above $72K, it resulted in another ~10% move higher during April. That area should be held by the bulls to not lose this low timeframe bullish market structure.
The key area on the daily/higher timeframe is now that low $80Ks region.
There's confluence here from:
- November 2025 low
- Daily 200MA & EMA
- CME Gap ($84K)
Daan Crypto Trades@DaanCrypto
$BTC Levels of interest marked on the chart. That Low $80K region will remain the main level for the bulls in the short/mid term. Below, ~$72K, which had held as resistance for 2+ months, is the support the bulls would want to hold. Anything below there I think the momentum from this bounce will have faded and we'll be back to a ranging/choppy environment again. The recent +20% move in April has been slow and steady. But I am expecting volatility to start picking up one way or another at some point.
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$OIL Remains high which will put pressure on risk assets.
There doesn't seem to be a clear deadline of when the situation in the Middle East could be back to "normal" which is causing this to push up.
Still crazy to see the volatility this has had the past few weeks.
Daan Crypto Trades@DaanCrypto
$OIL Has found support at the previous highs from 2024 and bounced since. The volatility we've seen on this is insane. Ongoing headlines about negotiations easily make this move 5-10% every few days which is unheard of in recent years.
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$BTC April is done. May is here.
After 5 consecutive red monthly candles, Bitcoin has now closed 2 in the green, causing some relief in the market.
What do you think? Is May going to be red or green? 👇
Daan Crypto Trades@DaanCrypto
$BTC is "Sell in May and go away" reasonable? In Bitcoin's history May ranks: - 6th best month in average return - 3rd best month in median return So while there definitely have been sell offs at times (primarily 2021), overall there is no clear seasonality to support this saying for Bitcoin. What is true is that starting may and going into the summer generally kicks off some months of lower volatility and price action.
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$BTC is "Sell in May and go away" reasonable?
In Bitcoin's history May ranks:
- 6th best month in average return
- 3rd best month in median return
So while there definitely have been sell offs at times (primarily 2021), overall there is no clear seasonality to support this saying for Bitcoin.
What is true is that starting may and going into the summer generally kicks off some months of lower volatility and price action.
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Daily RSI Heatmap sitting around neutral levels on average for the top 100 coins.
Funnily enough, towards the right you might see some familiar tickers like $GOOGL, $AMZN etc. I suspect they got added as many of these got added as tradeable assets/pairs on some exchanges.
Also shows the massive difference in "strength" between stocks and crypto. This has of course been going on for a long time now.
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$ETH In terms of historical data, May is an absolute outlier in terms of ETH's average returns. Both in terms of averages and median.
One thing that's clear for the month of May is that it usually sees a lot of volatility either way.
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At this point it should be clear to everyone how important sleep is for everything.
Sleep > late-night trading.
Fatigue leads to:
• Bad decisions
• Overtrading
• Missed signals
A clear mind is part of your edge.
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$BTC Levels of interest marked on the chart.
That Low $80K region will remain the main level for the bulls in the short/mid term.
Below, ~$72K, which had held as resistance for 2+ months, is the support the bulls would want to hold.
Anything below there I think the momentum from this bounce will have faded and we'll be back to a ranging/choppy environment again.
The recent +20% move in April has been slow and steady. But I am expecting volatility to start picking up one way or another at some point.
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$ETH Levels of interest on the chart.
Slow grind up the past few weeks but not finding resistance around the $2.4K area.
A break higher, would likely see this move further up to the $2.6K-$2.7K region.
Below, the diagonal support is what the bulls need to hold to maintain this little up trend/momentum from the past few weeks.
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$BTC Some larger clusters around $78K & $80K above for BTC.
Below, the local lows around $75K would be the other although it's relatively small there.
All in all, still just a choppy environment without too much going on.
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