Dale Wainwright

936 posts

Dale Wainwright

Dale Wainwright

@DalePWainwright

I have covered shipping in Europe, the US and Asia for close to 30 years. I support Nottingham Forest. I also like cycling and sailing.

Katılım Şubat 2012
424 Takip Edilen835 Takipçiler
Dale Wainwright
Dale Wainwright@DalePWainwright·
@Nortilus Why would you describe a ship that is outside of the Strait of Hormuz as "trapped". Surely the owner is either issuing orders for the ship to sail elsewhere or is waiting on the potential of the strait reopening ?
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Nortilus@Nortilus·
Crude Tanker Companies' exposure to Hormuz Below a quick analysis on how listed crude tanker owners will be potentially affected by the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. This overview shows how many VLCC, Suez, Afras each company has, and where they currently are. The "missing" vessels are either in the Far East or Pacific. We would summarise the situation as follows: - Okeanis: despite having 2x VLCCs in the Hormuz area, they also have 100% of their Suezmaxes in the Atlantic/Med, which will earn crazy rates. - DHT: smart or just lucky? it doesn't really matter...they have no vessel "trapped", but their "exposure" to the Atlantic basin is somewhat limited, with only 7 vessels there. - Teekay: very limited exposure to Hormuz and with 81.3% of their Suezmaxes in the Atlantic/Med. - Frontline: 5-10% of Vs/Suez trapped while almost 28% of Afras/LR2s; on the other hand they have a lot of Suezmaxes in the Atlantic/Med, but somewhat limited Vs exposure. - Nordic American Tankers: 28% of the fleet trapped and 44% of vessels in the Atlantic/Med...not ideal, in our view - International Seaways: very limited exposure to Hormuz on their crude fleet, with almost all their Suezmax in the Atlantic/Med. - Tsakos: only 1 out of 3 VLCCs in Hormuz, but also almost all their Suezmax and Afra/LR2 fleet in the Atlantic/Med. So who are the winners and the losers here? If we had to choose, we'd say $TNK and $TEN; in second place $ECO / $OET.OL, $INSW and $DHT. Discover more at nortilus.com and gain access to all our premium research. #tankers #tankergang #shipping #OOTT $FRO $OET $OET.OL $ECO $NAT $INSW $TEN $DHT $STNG $TRMD $ASC
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Dale Wainwright
Dale Wainwright@DalePWainwright·
A bulk carrier signaled it was Chinese-owned as it transited the Strait of Hormuz this week, highlighting how vessels are trying to ensure safe passage during the war in the Middle East bloomberg.com/news/articles/… #drybulk $DSX $SBLK $GNK $SHIP $CMBT
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Dale Wainwright
Dale Wainwright@DalePWainwright·
AXSMarine@AXSMarine

📢 Global seaborne salt flows reach peak levels at the start of 2026! 📈 Loadings of bulk salt products (including industrial salt, rock/de-icing salt, and solar salt) reached a record high of nearly 6.8 million metric tons in January. 📊 In addition to exceeding the 6-million-ton mark for the first time on record, this represents a 13.9% year-over-year increase. Preliminary February data also points to strong YoY growth, with only a few days remaining in the month. 🌍 The primary driver behind the surge in salt loadings aboard bulk carriers so far in 2026 has been Egypt. 🏆 Historically, Egypt has ranked between fourth and eighth among the Top 10 salt exporters over the past decade. However, shipments in January and February increased by more than 117.9% year over year — a trend that began gradually in October 2025 — and currently position Egypt as the largest supplier in the market since the start of 2026. 🌐 Meanwhile, salt loadings from Australia and India in early 2026 remain below last year’s levels, while Chile has shipped more than 2.2 million metric tons, broadly in line with 2025 volumes. ℹ️ For additional context, total seaborne salt shipments reached more than 57 million metric tons in 2025. While accounting for only around 1% of global dry bulk flows, this places salt on a comparable scale to commodities such as Nickel Ore and Cement. 🛰️ With our AXSInsights module, you can monitor both major and minor dry bulk commodities in real time and stay ahead of developing trends. 💡 Find out its full capabilities at public.axsmarine.com/axsinsights.

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Dale Wainwright
Dale Wainwright@DalePWainwright·
#drybulk $CMBT $SBLK $DSX $GNK $SHIP $HSHP $SB $CMDB @SuezAuthorityEG #Houthis
Kpler@Kpler

What happens to dry bulk markets when the Suez Canal normalises? A return to normalised transits would reduce sailing days, adding supply to the market and putting downward pressure on #dry bulk carrier earnings. The effect will differ across vessel segments. Hear from our analysts as they break down: ◾ How much additional vessel supply could return because of shorter voyages? ◾ Which vessel segments would see the highest increase in supply? ◾ What is the outlook for the major underlying trades transiting the #SuezCanal? Speakers: Hanif Kamar and Alexis Ellender 👉 Register here: okt.to/yOXMNT

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Dale Wainwright
Dale Wainwright@DalePWainwright·
Saudi Arabia’s top oil shipper provisionally hired at least five VLCCs, adding to demand for the giant ships at a time when their booking costs are soaring bloomberg.com/news/articles/… #tankers $FRO $DHT $ECO $TNK $TOPS $NAT $TEN $INSW
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Dale Wainwright
Dale Wainwright@DalePWainwright·
Okeanis Eco Tankers $ECO suezmaxes reportedly ready to ship Venezuelan crude to Europe after traders rolled out offers worldwide to sell cargoes at the behest of the Trump administration bloomberg.com/news/articles/… #tankers $FRO $DHT $TNK $TOPS $TEN $INSW
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Dale Wainwright
Dale Wainwright@DalePWainwright·
#tankers $FRO $DHT $ECO $TNK $TEN $INSW #darkfleet #shadowfleet
AXSMarine@AXSMarine

🛑 With the US having already seized multiple sanctioned tankers, the UK preparing its own enforcement measures, and Germany denying access to a suspected shadow fleet vessel, understanding this segment is as critical as ever. 🚨 The tanker shadow fleet is no longer operating in the shadows. 📊 In DWT terms, it now accounts for nearly 20% of global tanker capacity. Around 16% sits in vessels that are formally sanctioned. Once dark and ghost fleets are included, the scale starts to challenge long-held assumptions about how the tanker market really works. 🛳️ The impact is especially pronounced by segment. Almost 30% of Aframax capacity now operates within the shadow fleet space, while VLCCs and Suezmaxes approach 20%. At these levels, this is no longer a parallel activity. It is part of the market. ⚠️ Crucially, this capacity does not behave like the conventional fleet. It trades differently, ages differently, and reacts to incentives in ways that distort availability, freight signals, and risk assessments. Ignoring it leads to flawed conclusions on supply and balance. 👨‍💻 To bring structure and clarity to this reality, we’ve launched a new Shadow Fleet dataset and dedicated dashboard for all AXSTanker users, enabling analysis of sanctioned, dark, and ghost fleets by segment, age, capacity evolution, deliveries, and demolitions. All in one coherent view. 💡 Find out more or ask for a demo at public.axsmarine.com/axstanker

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