Precise Market Analysis.

My internal plan is as follows ⬇️

My internal plan is as follows ⬇️

My internal plan is as follows ⬇️

I genuinely don’t think people are prepared for the headline numbers $ONDS may report on August 13th. It is going to be nutty. YoY on the top line should be ~1,800% and ~140% sequentially. That’s on the back of a Q1 print that brought 1,065% and 66% respectively. Read that again. This is an inflection point. A company that had just grown more than 10x YoY could report a quarter nearly 2.4x larger only three months later. Yes, inorganic is driving a meaningful portion of the step-change. But dismissing this as simply “buying revenue” misses what Ondas is attempting to build. The clowns want to yell at “dilution” and then not reward the inorganic revenue per share value said purchase brought. Funny. This is not a collection of isolated businesses sitting beside one another. Each acquisition adds technology, customers, contract vehicles, manufacturing capacity, field-service infrastructure, data and distribution that can be leveraged across the broader platform…. “One Ondas” as el capitan says. Idk what yall think but I’d say this is where the platform begins to compound, and the financial model is set up to melt some faces. People are genuinely worried about ROIC here? Wake up. The early operating-leverage evidence is already visible. Q1 gross margin increased from 35% to 49%, with management specifically attributing part of the improvement to greater revenue absorbing fixed manufacturing costs. The product companies also reached adjusted EBITDA profitability six months ahead of forecast. And someone tell me what happens when revenue grows multiples ahead of the cost base underlying? Management has warned that consolidated adjusted EBITDA losses may peak in Q2 because it front-loaded personnel, manufacturing, supply-chain and operating infrastructure ahead of the expected second-half ramp. That distinction absolutely matters… the cost base is being built before the revenue arrives. As backlog converts, every incremental dollar of gross profit begins landing on infrastructure that is already in place. And Q2 will not include DZYNE. Ondas’ $525M (I have my model at $575M base) full-year target includes DZYNE and Omnisys but still excludes Cyberhawk. If Q2 reaches approximately $120M, Ondas would exit the first half at roughly $170M… It would then need approximately: $355M in H2 to reach $525M $405M in H2 to reach my ~$575M case That points toward potential Q3 and Q4 revenue headlines in the $175M–$225M range as recently acquired backlog converts and DZYNE begins contributing. These numbers will get dunked on prime MJ (yes the goat…) style. The market has spent months debating acquisitions, dilution and short interest. Shorty knows what’s coming… In less than two weeks, arithmetic may take over. People are not ready for what the headline numbers are about to look like, and they may be even less prepared for the operating leverage and compounding platform underneath them. OH! And we will see a cute lil gain on warrants for the Algo juice. Yeehaw 🤠

My internal plan is as follows ⬇️

My internal plan is as follows ⬇️