Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek)

Every capital market shares one fact: investors & traders create stories about data to determine prices. To outperform, you need to know the next chapter of those stories before others do. That’s where we come in. Sign up for a 2-week free trial on datatrekresearch.com!

Aside from the Pandemic, US economic growth has been remarkably resilient since 2010, a 16-yr stretch w/ no historical precedent. Since WWII, the avg US econ expansion has lasted 64 months. It took a global pandemic to derail it & that only pushed it into recession for 2 months.

Over the last 15 years (2011–2026), the US has been in a recession in just 2 months (1% of the time, 2020 Pandemic Crisis). In the 15 years before that (1996–2010), the US was in recession for 26 months (14% of the time). In the 15 years before (1981 – 1995), 24 months (13%).

We sat down with the always thoughtful @Downtown to chat about the seemingly recession-proof US economy and how that resilience powers everything from the AI trade to inflation. Check it out below! youtu.be/tE4Z1TscZgU?si…

New WDWL episode is live w/ @Downtown @TheCompoundNews🎙️ Why the US economy has gotten unusually recession-resistant, what it means for Kevin Warsh's Fed, and our 2H 2026 Tech outlook — including where capital rotates next. Watch + like below 👇 youtube.com/watch?v=tE4Z1T…

2/2 ...No matter how great an investment story is, we have found that when valuation is based on +70% future value, it runs into trouble.  We expect to see further rotation out of semis and into Big Tech and the rest of the US equity market over the remainder of the month.

1/2 About half the S&P 500’s valuation is based on expected future earnings growth. For US Big Tech, that number averages 59% (and 54% ex $TSLA). For semiconductor stocks, it is 73% (excluding $MU)...

New episode w/ @Downtown @TheCompoundNews 🎥 Why the US economy has gotten unusually recession-resistant — and what that means for Warsh's Fed before tomorrow's testimony. Plus our 2H 2026 Tech outlook & where Tech capital rotates from here. youtube.com/watch?v=tE4Z1T…

We Answer the Number One Question Facing Investors Right Now👀 @Downtown @DataTrekMB | New Ep Out Now🔥🎙️👇

Last week’s renewed Mideast tensions and hawkish Fed minutes lifted the odds of rate hikes as soon as July or September.

Non-US currencies continued to stabilize versus the dollar last week.  The S&P 500 outperformed MSCI Europe, but Japan and China/EM bested US large caps.

In 2022, there was a 3 – 6-month lag between peak oil prices and peak US core CPI inflation. Will a Warsh Fed be patient enough to wait that long in 2026?  His congressional testimony this week may yield an answer.

Since 1928 (98 years), the S&P 500 has only lost -10% or more on a total return basis on 12 occasions.

Tech’s 100-day outperformance vs S&P just hit levels last seen Jan 2000 — 2 months before the Dot Com bust. New video breaks down why, what history says, and where the money rotates next. 👇​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ youtu.be/B8VlbT8tZ2U?is…

Tech just flashed a signal it hasn't shown since right before the Dot Com crash. Watch our 2H 2026 Tech Outlook before you make a move. 🎥👇 Tech's Most Extreme Signal Since the Dot Com Bubble youtu.be/B8VlbT8tZ2U?si… via @YouTube

@SideanV18483 @YouTube Thank you! 😀🙏

@DataTrekMB @YouTube Appreciate your data 😎✌️

We just put out a video on our 2H 2026 Tech outlook. Check it out! Tech's Most Extreme Signal Since the Dot Com Bubble youtu.be/B8VlbT8tZ2U?is… via @YouTube

DataTrek Mid-Year Survey: 📈 Most bullish: US large caps, Tech, Alphabet, Nvidia 🛢️ Oil worries → sticky inflation, Fed hike fears 🤖 88% use AI tools at work (57% use 2+) 💰 90% say AI CapEx will eventually be at least value-neutral for US Big Tech.

3 charts every tech investor needs to see: 1️⃣ Why Tech's outperformance fades in Q3 2️⃣ Year 4 of the Nasdaq's streak, historically 3️⃣ Semis vs Big Tech earnings revisions — and where money rotates in 2H26 New video ⬇️🎥 youtube.com/watch?v=B8VlbT…