๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜

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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ banner
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜

๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜

@DavidOnCrypto_

Crypto Trader & Investor... ๐Ÿ„โ€โ™‚๏ธ Premium Telegram Group โ†ฏ

In the Lost Lands Katฤฑlฤฑm Temmuz 2017
11 Takip Edilen8.2K Takipรงiler
SabitlenmiลŸ Tweet
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
People will call you stupid for saying the cycle that started at $16K for Bitcoin isnโ€™t complete yet and that the PA since November 2024 is an Expanding Triangle continuation pattern. Yet those same people are also wondering why the Total Stablecoins Market Cap didnโ€™t decline throughout this entire period, unlike in 2022, why Bitcoin dominance didnโ€™t collapse after the supposed โ€œcycle top,โ€ or why Ethereum, OTHERS, and TOTAL3 never expanded above their 2021 highs. At the same time, they keep insisting #Bitcoin has been in a bear market and calling anyone who says this 53% drawdown back to the 2021 highs within an expanding triangle is just a mid-cycle correction an idiot. People are applying emotion instead of logic. Using Goldโ€™s chart as an example: the majority also called that 3.5-year pause a bear market back then. In reality, it wasnโ€™tโ€”it only became obvious in hindsight. The cycle that started for $GOLD around $1,000 in December 2015 was only completed recently, in January 2026. Since then, Gold has entered a bear market ๐Ÿ“‰ that should last for several years. This has remained my view throughout this entire period within the Expanding Triangle, and I continue to stand by it. A full resolution of that Expanding Triangle will lead to the completion of the cycle that began at $16K, where ETH, OTHERS, TOTAL3, etc. finally expand above their 2021 highs (Phase 2).
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_

Just like the 2013 cycle. Phase 1 then goes into 7 months consolidation within a symmetrical triangle, leading to continuation (Phase 2) and the completion of that cycle. Thatโ€™s exactly what I see here, as Iโ€™ve been saying for months now. I still have every reason to believe the $16k cycle isnโ€™t complete yet. Same playbook as the 2013 cycle, just with a longer consolidation. Phase 1 then goes into a 19 month consolidation within an expanding triangle, with a falling wedge within it. For now, itโ€™s only being suppressed at the 2021 highs following the backtest of the already broken Oct 2025 trendline. A full resolution of that expanding triangle will lead to the completion of this cycle (Phase 2), where ETH finally expands above its 2021 highs. This has remained my view throughout this entire period within the expanding triangle, and I continue to stick with it. #Bitcoin

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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
As per Crypto Xโ€™s definition, Ethereum has seen two different โ€œbear marketsโ€ since the one in 2022.
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_

Doomers will spend their entire time being negative during accumulation and re-accumulation periods, only to tell people to โ€˜go all inโ€™ after major expansion has already occurred at the extremes.

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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ retweetledi
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
Gold looked incapable of getting a major expansion during the entire 3+ year reaccumulation range and equally incapable of forming a generational top during its test of the 38 year trendline. Yet, it did both.
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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
$GOLD on the daily seems to have completed the little bounce and should continue toward $3,700 (short-term target) in the coming days.
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_

$GOLD: Just a little bounceโ€ฆ. Gold should still continue toward $3,700.

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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ retweetledi
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
SPX did hit 7,200 in April, just a month later than expected. 8,000 โณ before 2026 is over.
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_

SPX > 7,200 next month. 8,000 in 2026.

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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ retweetledi
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
Many assume Iโ€™ve never been bullish on Gold, lol. When I was heavily bullish on #Gold well under $2K in 2022โ€“2023, most of those crypto influencers who resorted to mocking crypto during Goldโ€™s euphoric January candle were also busy mocking Gold investors back then, yet theyโ€™ll always pretend they were bullish all alongโ€ฆ The same people acting smart now were actually dismissing it back then.
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media
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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
$GOLD: The bearish reversal warning has now spilled over to the 3M & 6M timeframesโ€ฆ Should go much lower. As I said before: โ€œIf Gold doesnโ€™t retrace 75% of the entire expansion from $2,000 to $5,500, it should at least retrace 50%. But I bet itโ€™ll retrace much more than 50%.โ€ Also wouldnโ€™t be surprised to see this below $3,000 again over time.
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_

Ladder top on Goldโ€™s monthly, candle closes inna few daysโ€ฆ bearish monthly reversal warning. And yeah, people are saying rotation to $BTC wonโ€™t happen, it will. They expect it immediately when Gold tops, but thatโ€™s not how it works. Give it time.

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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
An Expanding Triangle is a continuation pattern. In this case, itโ€™s a bullish continuation of the Phase 1 uptrend. #Bitcoin
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_

#SPX: Typical bullish consolidation following the Three White Soldiers on the weekly from April. Expecting bullish continuation to $8,000 when it resolves.

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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
#SPX: Typical bullish consolidation following the Three White Soldiers on the weekly from April. Expecting bullish continuation to $8,000 when it resolves.
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_

#SPX: Nowhere near ready for a 2008 style crash.

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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ retweetledi
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
Thereโ€™s never been a better opportunity to accumulate alts than Febโ€“June... But if you believe Q4 will provide the best buying opportunity, and that โ€œsuccess is assuredโ€ for those who wait until then, no problem. Wait until then to buy, and good luck with that. โœŒ๏ธ
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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
Why are people still overcomplicating this backtest? Because itโ€™s not happening in Q4, huh? As Iโ€™ve been saying, the most logical response to this backtest is a reversal. And I donโ€™t expect #Bitcoin to reverse off this level because it happened into June/July, but because itโ€™s simply the most logical outcome.
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_

Backtest not so messy on the weekly chart. #Bitcoin

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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
Backtest not so messy on the weekly chart. #Bitcoin
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_

Crypto often produces messy versions of classical patternsโ€ฆ Backtest still holding, regardless. We are at the lower boundary of the expanding triangle, backtesting the already broken Oct. 2025 trendline, the 2021 highs. How much more suppression before this thing absolutely sends? ๐Ÿคท๐Ÿปโ€โ™‚๏ธ #Bitcoin

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Tony Severino, CMT
Tony Severino, CMT@TonySeverinoCMTยท
@DavidOnCrypto_ This is why
Tony Severino, CMT@TonySeverinoCMT

In 2018, $6K region acted as a floor for almost an entire year Price fluctuated between $6,000 and $6,900 for most of the bear market The floor eventually gave out and Bitcoin fell to $3,200 I see very similar time and price analogs in this cycle $60,000 - $69,900 is our new โ€œprice floorโ€ My target is $34,000 If the floor falls out, we are looking at around a 50% drop in weeks $68,000 x 50% is $34,000 There are a dozen ways I can point to this zone as a target This is the result of an 8-year cyclical amplitude โ€” the product of two four-year cycles as 1/2 intracycle harmonics The 8-year amplitude holds up the weight of the falling 4-year cycle. You can visually see the way the cycles cause the price action to change behavior โ€” this is the Principles of Summation, Proportionality, and Variation at play The 8-year is a 1/2 intra cycle harmonic of the 16-year cycle I am suggesting is over

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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
Why would anyone compare July 2018 to July 2026 as the reason Bitcoin would still crash and bottom in Q4? Donโ€™t they realize the price action is completely different now? In 2018, Bitcoin had already been forming a bearish descending triangle since January, so the resolution to the downside was inevitable. What we have now is the complete opposite. July 2026 is bouncing from the bottom of a bullish expanding triangle and the backtest of the already broken Oct. 2025 trendline, off the 2021 highs (major support level). Weโ€™re not bouncing off the bottom of a descending triangle! Or any bearish pattern as far as Iโ€™m concerned. As Iโ€™ve said before, while the majority believes success is assured for those waiting to buy the handshake guaranteed Q4 bottom, I believe theyโ€™re in for a big surprise and a huge disappointment by Q4. #Bitcoin
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_

Bitcoin pulls this Q3/Q4 and has a full resolution off the lower boundary? Man, people will be so mad at โ€˜em โ€œ4 year cycleโ€ bros because of how hard itโ€™s going to carry alts.

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๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ retweetledi
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_ยท
Whatโ€™s even crazier is that some of the loudest voices who were pushing the โ€œlengthened cycleโ€ narrative so hard at these 2021 highs back then are the same ones pushing the โ€œ4 year cycleโ€ narrative just as hard at the same level (the 2021 highs), which are now a major support. And whatโ€™s even crazier? They didnโ€™t buy the Q4 2022 bottom despite supposedly believing in the โ€œ4 year cycle.โ€ While the majority believes success is assured for those who wait until Q4 to buy, I continue to believe theyโ€™re in for a big surprise and a huge disappointment by Q4. #Bitcoin
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜ tweet media
๐ƒ๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐๐Ž๐ง๐‚๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ“˜@DavidOnCrypto_

2021: Everyone was euphoric at this level. 2026: Everyone is bearish asf at the exact same level, which is now major S/R. The full resolution of this expanding triangle thatโ€™s been forming since Nov. 2024 is coming. When it starts, people will think a new cycle is beginning and expect another 2-3 years of upside (and that will be the major trap). But after spending 19+ months carving out the pattern, I would expect the full resolution to take only 6-8 months. Every single day $BTC spends at this S/R level is a major opportunity being presented.

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KeลŸfet

@TonySeverinoCMT @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13 @cristiano @BillGates @NASA @nikifrancismediavine