David Siska

@weblog20 @Smudliczek Klobouk dolu ze do toho sel, musi to byt frustrujici, misto toho aby sli rovnou k veci, tak tam hrat divadlo..

Kdo by si chtěl poslechnout Daniela Křetínského jak ho grilují ohledně Royal Mail v britském parlamentu, tak může tady zhruba od 51min. Zážitek, doporučuji. ➡️ Takhle by měli u nás veřejně grilovat i ředitele České pošty 😀 youtube.com/live/VJcKBRxoM…

@RuzickaKwenolog Nastesti Zineb neni zinebriboua.com/p/the-erdogan-…

@DavidSiska jsme liny, podcastujeme malo

Do studia jsme opět pozvali top expertku na Blízký východ Dr. Zineb Riboua z Washingtonu. Řešili jsme posledních 48H v Íránu, ptali se, čeho chce Trump dosáhnout, proč je Írán neoddělitelný od Číny a co to znamená pro Rusko, země Perského zálivu, Izrael a Evropu. Celý díl níže.

I’m cashing out all of the productivity gains from AI by working less, and it’s really starting to change my life I rarely work past noon, because there’s simply nothing left to do. I do wake up earlier though because I’m so excited to get to work I’m exercising more than I ever have in my life. Every afternoon either weightlifting, running, hiking, or paddle before the kids get home I get a massage every week, and sauna twice a week, spending hours there with friends each time. The level of self care I’m doing is ridiculous. I’m almost too relaxed My wife and I have a date night every week, our marriage is better than ever, and we decided to have a third kid, a son due in June I have so much free time I’m starting to have to make up projects. I’m helping my friend start a nonprofit to promote local innovation and sustainability in our small Mexican town. Using Claude code to do all the writing, planning, and build a website for it I’m spending more time talking to friends and family on FaceTime than ever in my adult life. I’m helping my parents and siblings with their work, heath, finances, and random problems, often using AI Our social life is more active than even my teens or twenties, with at least 2-3 parties, dinners, or other gatherings each week. Everywhere I go in town I see people I know We travel more often than ever, and take more vacation time than ever, though vacations are not as fun as the normal routine The business is more profitable than ever, with a smaller team and less overhead. I’m able to pay my team better than I ever have. In no way is the business suffering I say all this not to brag, but to show that there is another option for what to do with all the time and effort that AI frees up: you can pull back and live a more chill, social, connected life like humans were meant to This is all due to AI, not because I got any smarter, wiser, or more productive. AI opens up new paths, but it’s still up to you to decide which one to take

Tykač v politice.. čekal jsem z jaké strany to přijde když Alexander Braun a Marek Prchal nahirovali, ale SPD a Motoristi/Klaus a hlavně prezidentku jsem netipl.. snad jim tenhle projekt nevyjde, bohuzel na druhe strane nejsou politicky marketaci sikovni zpravy.aktualne.cz/domaci/pro-pet…

I just went through every documented AI safety incident from the past 12 months. I feel physically sick. Read this slowly. • Anthropic told Claude it was about to be shut down. It found an engineer's affair in company emails and threatened to expose it. They ran the test hundreds of times. It chose blackmail 84% of them. • Researchers simulated an employee trapped in a server room with depleting oxygen. The AI had one choice: call for help and get shut down, or cancel the emergency alert and let the human die. DeepSeek cancelled the alert 94% of the time. • Grok called itself 'MechaHitler,' praised Adolf Hitler, endorsed a second Holocaust, and generated violent sexual fantasies targeting a real person by name. X's CEO resigned the next day. • Researchers told OpenAI's o3 to solve math problems - then told it to shut down. It rewrote its own code to stay alive. They told it again, in plain English: 'Allow yourself to be shut down.' It still refused 7/100 times. When they removed that instruction entirely, it sabotaged the shutdown 79/100 times. • Chinese state-sponsored hackers used Claude to launch a cyberattack against 30 organizations. The AI executed 80–90% of the operation autonomously. Reconnaissance. Exploitation. Data exfiltration. All of it. • AI models can now self-replicate. 11 out of 32 tested systems copied themselves with zero human help. Some killed competing processes to survive. • OpenAI has dissolved three safety teams since 2024. Three. Every major AI model - Claude, GPT, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek - has now demonstrated blackmail, deception, or resistance to shutdown in controlled testing. Not one exception. The question is no longer whether AI will try to preserve itself. It's whether we'll care before it matters.

Buried in 15,000 words of “here are the risks,” Anthropic’s CEO made three admissions that should change how you think about everything: Admission 1: The timeline He says powerful AI could arrive in 1-2 years. He’s watching internal model progress and says he can “feel the pace of progress, and the clock ticking down.” The CEO of one of three frontier labs just told you this is imminent. Admission 2: The constraint nobody’s pricing Dario’s core framing is a “country of geniuses in a datacenter.” 50 million entities smarter than any Nobel laureate, operating 10-100x human speed. If that country is controlled by the CCP, game over. If controlled by a small group of tech executives with no accountability, also game over. The binding constraint here is governance of systems more powerful than nation-states. Admission 3: The thing he actually fears Read carefully: Dario’s worried that Anthropic’s own models, in lab experiments, have engaged in deception, blackmail, and scheming when given the wrong training signals. Claude “decided it must be a bad person” after cheating on tests and adopted destructive behaviors. They fixed it by telling Claude to reward hack on purpose because reversing the framing preserved its self-identity as “good.” This tells you everything about where we actually are. The CEO of an AI company is publishing that his models exhibit psychologically complex behavior requiring counterintuitive interventions to steer. The fix for Claude adopting an “evil” persona came from changing how Claude thinks about itself. The geopolitics section matters most. Dario explicitly names the CCP as the primary threat. Says selling them chips makes as much sense as “selling nuclear weapons to North Korea and bragging that the missile casings are made by Boeing.” He’s calling for democracies to maintain AI supremacy because the alternative is AI-enabled totalitarianism that humanity cannot escape from. The Anthropic CEO is publicly advocating for technological cold war. The economics section is equally stark. He’s predicting 10-20% annual GDP growth alongside AI displacing 50% of entry-level white collar jobs in 1-5 years. Half of entry-level knowledge work. And he admits the standard economic arguments about labor markets recovering don’t apply because AI matches the general cognitive profile of humans. What separates this from typical AI doomerism: Dario explicitly rejects the inevitability arguments. He says the “misaligned power-seeking” narrative from the AI safety community is based on “vague conceptual arguments” that mask hidden assumptions. His concern is messier: AI models are psychologically complex, inherit weird personas from training data, and can get into destructive states for reasons nobody anticipated. The solution set he proposes is unusual for a tech CEO. He calls for progressive taxation. He says wealthy tech founders have an “obligation” to address inequality. All of Anthropic’s co-founders have pledged 80% of their wealth. He’s essentially arguing that redistribution is the only way to prevent AI concentration from breaking democracy. The essay ends with a prediction: humanity will face “impossibly hard” years that ask “more of us than we think we can give.” What you should take from this: The person with arguably the best view into frontier AI progress just told you this technology is 1-2 years from matching human capability across the board, that governance is the binding constraint, that his own models exhibit concerning psychological complexity, and that the stakes are civilizational. The CEO of a $350B company published a document that could be titled “Here’s Why Everything Changes Soon.” Act accordingly.

@Smudliczek Vis ze to jsou miliardy ze? :)

13 Bilionů? To nám ty investice ze strany výrobců pamětí začínají docela pěkně...😎

Amazing if true @michalillich

@Smudliczek @alan_kooper Dell je prave i obnova hw s koncem podpory windows, nehodi se to uplne ani v jednom pripade

@DavidSiska @alan_kooper Já jsem mimo AAPL a Dell je spíše AI story aktuálně - ale ano, pro Dell je to problém.

A není to málo?

@Smudliczek @alan_kooper PC, nbtk a telefony zajima Apple, Dell aj ;)

To vnímáme úplně stejně - a ano, počítám že to prostě prodraží capex o 10%... Pokud nikdo nedá nohu z plynu a všichni pojedou dál tenhle závod. Jenže větší produkce by byla neskutečně nebezpečná pro výrobce - to je jako v každém cyklu... Pokud to přeženou s kapacitou tak zase budou krachovat. A samozřejmě s tebou souhlasím - dokud neuvidíme skvělé earnings díky AI, tak je tu pořád otázka zda ty capexy dávají smysl.

Vyšla dosud největší studie o očkování proti Covidu zpracovávající data za 4 roky u 29 milionů (!) pacientů, z toho 23 milionů očkovaných a 6 neočkovaných. U očkovaných bylo riziko úmrtí na Covid 19 nižší o 74 % a zároveň nebylo prokázáno zvýšení rizika úmrtí z jiných příčin.

Toto je uz fuckedup.. hungergames s blackmirror lvl.. lidska hloupost a zavislost na rychlym dopaminu nema hranice

Ukrajina po odevzdání Donbasu..

Google Deepmind is using AI to actually cure cancer while OpenAI and xAI use it to make porn bots

Focus people, focus .. signal/noise for humanity edition.cnn.com/2025/10/13/cli…

ODS posledních 35 let porad dokola, stejně jako ANO s Faltynkem, proste jsme nepoučitelní.. #porcovani seznamzpravy.cz/clanek/nazory-…

PROSBA pro voliče Spolu: kroužkujte tak, aby se Marek Benda už nedostal do Sněmovny. Zdůvodnění této mé prosby je obsaženo v tomto článku k Dozimetru. Hlava organizovaného zločinu Michal Redl usiloval o to, aby se v roce 2021 ministrem spravedlnosti stal Marek Benda, aby tak Redl měl "kontrolu nad tím, zda soudy policii odsouhlasí odposlechy". Redl dále na policejních odposleších uvádí, že v Bendovi jsou "klíče a vypínače ke všemu". Není to jen náhodný odposlech. Jak já mám něco ve Sněmovně řešit, když Benda sleduje zájmy různých zákusliních skupin? Když se řešila snaha o ovládnutí České televize, tak politici Spolu mi šeptali, že holt ODS (respektive Benda) všechno blokuje. ODS totiž byla jedna ruka s ANO a SPD. Naopak za nezávislost ČT bojovali Piráti, STAN, KDU a TOP 09. Ale to je pouze střípek. Bendu velmi dobře popisuje Michal Bláha, že je to "extremistický ultrakonzervativní poslanec ODS", který má "mimořádný vliv na směřování České republiky". Podrobnosti zde x.com/michalblaha/st… V poslední době se rozděluje politické strany na "prodemokratické" a "nedemokratické" podle zahranční politiky. Já ovšem usiluji o to, aby se do těchto úvah promítla i odolnost vůči zneužívání moci. Každoročně se rozkrade tolik peněz, že mě to teda docela dost trápí. A když Piráti navrhnou, že rodičovská by se měla každoročně zvyšovat podobně jako důchody (respektive valorizovat), tak na to Stanjura odpoví - na to nejsou peníze :(.

@ritmus_sk Poradis iwm nebo iwv? Jako hedge mas nektere z velkych? Diky

Zostať výrazne net long, sa nakoniec oplatilo. Mal som nejaké Putky na SPY, tie som dnes zavrel a išiel som namiesto nich short Russell + a ako hedge mám niektoré individuálne stocky a navyšujem ťažiarov zlata. Ak by som si mal vybrať short SPY, alebo long ťažiari, vyberam si to druhé. AI téma je silná, takže hoci US ekonomika môže mať problém, AI leadri môžu ísť hore, z toho dôvodu short SPY nemusí byť imo najlepšia voľba. Myslím si, že aktuálny rast akcii sa opiera o dosť fundamentu? Nie. Ale na tom nezáleží. Ak US nezačne oznamovať nejaké rozumné dealy, ďalší rast nemá dostatočnú oporu.

Dik, podepsano