David
1.2K posts
@tshugart3 Two can play this game. Trump closes strait to all traffic. The whole world will complain, but Iran will run out of cash quick.
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I’ve said many times On Here that the loser decides the war is over. If this conflict ends with Iran still fighting, and in de facto control of perhaps the most important waterway in the world, then no matter how many strikes were conducted that’s what this would be: an L.
The White House@WhiteHouse
"We are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we consider winding down our great Military efforts in the Middle East with respect to the Terrorist Regime of Iran..." - President Donald J. Trump
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@somn1s @tshugart3 It's a loss because the economic costs of this war far outweigh the benefits.
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@tshugart3 So every punitive raid is a loss?
If we actually destroy the nuclear, missile and major drone manufacturing facilities setting Iran back five years or more why should we continue fighting if the Iranian people aren’t going to make their move?
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@SinaToossi It's quite obvious that the 2,000km limit never actually existed and Iran had been developing the capability in secret the entire time while telling the world another lie.
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👇 What Brett McGurk presents as a “gotcha” actually encapsulates the core, recurring failure in US Iran policy: a persistent inability to recognize how its own actions drive the very outcomes it then cites as justification.
Escalate, trigger a response, then use that response to justify both the policies that created the mess and going further.
We’ve seen this play out time and again in US Iran policy.
Iran’s 2,000 km missile limit was a voluntary restraint emphasized by Ali Khamenei, aimed at managing escalation, limiting dynamics that could fuel a wider security dilemma, and preserving space for diplomacy.
Dismantle that context—walk away from agreements, pursue maximalist pressure, escalate to all-out war to collapse the country—and Iran responds by shedding those constraints and moving up the escalation ladder.
It’s a self-reinforcing pattern—and a self-fulfilling prophecy that unsurprisingly leads to the kind of escalation and conflict many hawkish voices in Washington and Israel have long sought.
Brett McGurk@brett_mcgurk
Speaks for itself: Feb. 25, 2026: “We are not developing long-range missiles… we have limited the range below 2,000 kilometers” — Iran’s FM Araghchi (IRNA). March 20, 2026: Iran fires missiles at Diego Garcia—ranging 4,000 kilometers (WSJ). ⬇️
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@JonasS86072324 @PinstripeBungle Yea that's true. It's not 20 miles from the carrier. It's 20 miles from the carrier's escorts.
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@David_W232 @PinstripeBungle And that ship is a minimum of 20 miles from the carrier itself. Quite possibly a lot more especially if it was forward deployed to intercept.
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wait a speedboat got within gun range of a carrier battlegroup in the open ocean
Jennifer Jacobs@JenniferJJacobs
Breaking via @CBSNews: After an Iranian vessel sailed too closely to the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier, which has been operating in the Arabian Sea in support of the war against Iran, a US Navy vessel attempted to fire on the Iranian one using its Marck-45 gun mounted to the forward deck, but missed multiple times. A helicopter equipped with Hellfire missiles was launched and hit the Iranian vessel with two of the missiles. via @JimLaPorta
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Well, they had threatened, overnight, that this would be coming. Let's wait for the confirmation.
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@NebbioloNerd @pati_marins64 No one was injured by these two missiles.
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@David_W232 @pati_marins64 I’m sure it didn’t feel very successful to anyone in the blast radius where it landed and exploded.
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Patriot Vs Iranian Missiles
On March 3 Iran attacked the Fujairah oil storage facility in the UAE.
The attack was filmed by Chinese sailors.
See that as I've been saying, the Iranian missiles apparently exert a superiority over the Patriot interceptors.
Here are 6 Patriots against 2 Iranian missiles that hit the targets with success.
Since the beginning of the war I have been reporting possible upgrades in Iranian missiles that seem to have left Patriots and David's Sling with a very reduced effectiveness.
And it’s a major problem with the departure of the aircraft carrier Gerald R. Ford and its squadron from the Israeli coast even in the face of attacks on Israeli territory, I believe that the CSG came close to exhausting its interceptors.
After all even being many days at sea, this type of mission is priority.
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@resistance526 @DavidLe76335983 If you look closely, you can actually debris falling off both missiles as they're clipped by interceptors.
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@resistance526 @DavidLe76335983 That’s not how drag works. Most RV deceleration happens higher in the atmosphere during reentry. By the last 10 seconds it’s already deep in the atmosphere and moving around 2–3 km/s. A sudden velocity drop there usually means the vehicle was disrupted by an interceptor.
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Chinese sailor captured missile attack on UAE Fujairah
6 Patriot missiles against 2 incoming, all missed
Eason Mao☢@KELMAND1
中国船员现场拍摄阿联酋富查伊拉油库遭到伊朗导弹打击 爱国者 3 拦截导弹两次拦截失败，6 发拦截弹，2400 万美元，一个没拦着。🤡
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@sumonkais Notice how all the fake videos are all 10 seconds in length. Oh and note to the peeps making these fake videos - sound doesn't travel multiple kilometers that fast. 2 seconds lag there...so person filming was what 500 meters away? Yea sure...
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Last Night was the most deadliest Iranian missile attack. Where ever they wanted to hit it directly goes through.
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The Saudi East-West oil pipeline whose existence everyone is naively celebrating now has literally already been attacked by Houthi-launched Iranian drones all the way back in 2019. It's a pipeline. It's long, fixed and it starts at the Persian Gulf.
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The Iranians can hit terminals and ships on the Red Sea and Indian Ocean too.
Alexander Clarkson @APHClarkson
The other issue here is that this war is going to accelerate GCC efforts to move oil and gas via terminals on the Indian Ocean and the Red Sea. Blocking the Strait of Hormuz gives Iran maximum leverage only once in ways that it will struggle to replicate in the future
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@Mikeymik190 @Earth_Vis @TheGreeneBJ The Iranian position is shifting day to day. First they said neutral ships are fine. Then it shifted to China only. Then they added Russia and India to the list. Yesterday they said "not one drop of oil" and blew up a neutral Thai ship carrying products bound for India...
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@Earth_Vis @TheGreeneBJ What I read they said only Chinese, Russian and certain Arab ships can pass through. I didn't read anything that said they'll only attack U.S and Israel ships.
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Do these guys just think Iran was joking around when they said the strait is closed?
OSINTtechnical@Osinttechnical
Three cargo ships were attacked in the Persian Gulf overnight, per UKMTO alerts. Two suffered damage, and the third is ablaze, with the crew abandoning ship.
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@AHeart___ @WeTheBrandon Dude is just making shit up. Abnormally large number made is through the net in UAE today because of cloudy and rainy weather.
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@WeTheBrandon Wait if they don’t have interceptors how does the 73% get taken down?
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Told you all. The original report was Day 8. We milked two more days out of the stockpiles. By Day 10, these things are running on empty.
Nostra, House of Gold@Nostre_damus
The UAE is out of interceptor missiles 26% of drones are getting through Dubai is cooked
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@DavidLe76335983 Israelis and Americans are still flying out of their bases hitting Iran at will.
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@DavidLe76335983 You say this but except for the radars themselves, Iran hasn't hit a single target of significant strategic or tactical value.
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It took Iran only 10 days to destroy all US radar systems built over multiple decades in the region costing billions of dollars. In addition, most of the interceptors in the region have been depleted, which will be difficult to replenish due to lack of critical minerals
Trump’s gamble does not seem to pay off
AHMAD SLMAN@ahmadslmanx
🚨عاجـــــــــــــــل رسائل نصية تصل الإسرائيلين: "تم تدمير آخر أنظمة الرادار الأمريكية في المنطقة. قادة حكومتكم يكذبون عليكم، غادروا البلاد....الصواريخ في طريقها إليكم... لا يوجد ملجأ يوفر لكم الأمان"
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@RitterTelluride @DMichaelTripi A damaged radar doesn't mean the military base is destroyed. Iran has yet to hit any target of tactical or strategic significance anywhere except for the damaged radars.
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@DMichaelTripi They have actually decimated US radar sites in the region and destroyed a lot of the military bases. Iranians may be no match for the combined might of US and Iran but they are not dumb
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NEW: Iran to shift focus to intensifying attacks on Israel while scaling back strikes on US bases in Gulf states, claiming Iran has achieved most of their tactical goals against US military installations.
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@phildstewart Previous reporting was "eight severely wounded." Current reporting is "eight severely wounded." Only thing that changed is now we know the numbers of lightly wounded.
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Before our report, the Pentagon had only disclosed 8 injuries -- all of them serious.
Phil Stewart@phildstewart
EXCLUSIVE-AS MANY AS 150 U.S. TROOPS WOUNDED SO FAR IN IRAN WAR, TWO SOURCES FAMILIAR WITH THE MATTER TELL REUTERS
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Iran really outsmarted US/israel
Over the days, Iran launched less and less missiles, while publicly stating they were going to use few missiles and more precision strikes, mainly aimed at US bases
Then they launched the most massive attack yet and killed several gov officials
David Roth-Lindberg@RothLindberg
🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 Insider source: Last night's attack was Iran's largest attack since the beginning of the war 1/7 - An informed source, in an interview with Fars, described the dimensions of last night's extensive operation by our country's armed forces as the largest and most –>👇
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