David lit

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David lit

David lit

@Davidlit3

The flag isn't communist Azad kashmiri Ḥubb al-Waṭan min al-Īmān

Based Republic of Pakistan Katılım Haziran 2019
1.5K Takip Edilen1.9K Takipçiler
Phoenix
Phoenix@FactsPhoeniXYZ·
"Until Hazara becomes a province, obtaining our rights will remain difficult", Hazarawal. A Hazara province is necessary for the survival of their distinct identity. They are culturally, linguistically, and ethnically different from Pashtuns. [Eik hi naara,Sooba Hazara]
Ch Fawad Hussain@fawadchaudhry

@MDUmairKh Hazara are not Pashtun they are Punjabi

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David lit
David lit@Davidlit3·
@AmmarRashidT Here is the estimate he made of BPLF's total combat strength. Note how he includes marris who are obv not active( they are working in karachi and sindh).
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David lit@Davidlit3·
@AmmarRashidT Here is the original source from where that claim came from. He doesn't say 55k were active at the same time or that at height they were involved. Just throughout the insurgency some 55K he estimates were involved at some stage of the conflict
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David lit@Davidlit3·
What sort of analysis is this? The current Baloch insurgency is much more widespread than the 1970s. I am confused what you mean confided to southern districts? The 70s one was confined to the Kalat belt mostly. This one is much more socially and geographically wider.
Ibrahim Abdul-Rauf@LongshotIbrahim

There is a reason that in spite of military abuses, it has never broken out of its stronghold in a couple of southern Balochistan districts for 20+ years. Compare it to 1970s revolt which for all its flaws (tribalism, secessionism, etc) at least had a large support base.

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David lit
David lit@Davidlit3·
@segmentata Of course, security officials can operate if they move with whole battalions. They can by the same merit operate in the 70s everywhere imp as well.
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David lit
David lit@Davidlit3·
@segmentata aaj be kaafi areas where patrols and movement is restricted and army and FC doesn't go in without strenght. Us waqt be yehi tha.
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Segmentata
Segmentata@segmentata·
@chaiiiguevara @Davidlit3 The 1970s were more dangerous. It was just after the loss of EPak, which had superpower support. In the 1970's there was genuine question as to whether the country would survive, while there is no serious question today.
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David lit
David lit@Davidlit3·
@chaiiiguevara @segmentata I mean if i have 1000 people who fight on the weekends with old leinfeinds, versus 500 dedicated round the clock fighters, would you really say the former is "larger" and the latter "smaller"?
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Chai Guevara
Chai Guevara@chaiiiguevara·
I think both sides of the argument here hold merit. In terms of # of fighters, the 70s insurgency was definitely “larger”. But it was not as geographically spread out as today’s insurgency, which makes an operation like the 70s much less straightforward of a solution. I would also view the situation today as more dangerous due to the ideological strength the movement has acquired in the last decade or so. I think it will only get worse over the next decade given continued inaction, lack of will, lack of strategy, lack of viable reconciliation, etc.
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David lit
David lit@Davidlit3·
@AmmarRashidT Criteria used to come up with 55K figures can be easily used to come up for the current insurgency at "height" as well, especially when the bugtis, mengals, marris etc sardars were more actively involved in the 2000s-2010s
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Ammar Rashid
Ammar Rashid@AmmarRashidT·
@Davidlit3 They don't though, none of the current groups even claim such numbers, because it would be ridiculous.
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David lit@Davidlit3·
@AmmarRashidT this isn't one off attacks or a suicide bombing, but engagements happen nearly every day and they have established presence etc here
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David lit@Davidlit3·
@AmmarRashidT BLA, BLF, and other groups have presence from Gwadar right up to the Nasirabad division. The 70s insurgency was confined to the kalat belt. Reliable account doesn't mean reliable figures, to be frank the sources are pretty poor. The "55K" at height of insurgency( height when?)
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David lit
David lit@Davidlit3·
@segmentata Many places are still off limits, they need to form came in strenght to operate in mannyy areas. "large parts being off limits" was more of function of state never exisiting in places in the first place. Assey post bugti area also had many places like that. State built stuff up
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Segmentata
Segmentata@segmentata·
@Davidlit3 You are mixing up urban terror campaign and hit and run with a full on inauegency. In 1970's large parts of the place were off limits to security services, they needed to bring in troops.drom elsewhwrw. It was closer to modern Swat and former FATA ops.
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David lit@Davidlit3·
@AmmarRashidT It is more widespread both in terms of districts affected, the geopgraphic spread, the ideological penetration and the fact alot of areas the army and FC effectively don't have major presence, they literally are just told to hold the highways( which get roadblocked all the time)
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David lit@Davidlit3·
@AmmarRashidT if we use the same boasts and criteria of "5Ok" tribesmen, I am pretty sure all the militant groups can easily boast figures of tens of thousands of members.
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David lit@Davidlit3·
@AmmarRashidT The "tribal mobilization" also existed within a few tribes( marris, mengals and not even every sun tribe). The current insurgency exists in the Makran coast, Rakhshan division and Kalat belt and sees attacks even in Nasirabad division. And 2-3K would be dedicated fighters.
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David lit@Davidlit3·
@segmentata It wasn't everywhere... The current one is everyone expect Las bela and isn't as strong in Nasirabad division.
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Segmentata
Segmentata@segmentata·
@Davidlit3 He is right. 1970's was everywhere but the Pashtun belt. This is primarily south west.
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David lit
David lit@Davidlit3·
@SaharRao13 May Allah curse you and your dad for exploiting a child.
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