Father of Trades

177 posts

Father of Trades

Father of Trades

@DayTraderCaleb

13 years of trading experience. I mostly trade stocks & options 📈 Watch me trade LIVE on Discord

United States Katılım Aralık 2025
9 Takip Edilen121 Takipçiler
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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
🚨 BREAKING: Crude oil just hit $91/bbl for the first time since 2023! Now up +65% since December, and added $10/bbl just today. We're seeing a massive surge in oil prices as the Iran conflict continues.
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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
$ANNA has seen tremendous volatility amid newfound interest due to natural gas scarcity caused by the Iranian conflict. With the UAE's largest natural gas liquification plant offline for a month minimum and Russia threatening to cease all energy exports to Europe, European energy independence is more important than ever before. $ANNA is seeing volume and massive moves for a reason. I believe a move to 8+ is entirely possible over the next few weeks. With insiders finally unable to transact due to company rules, this is the time for continued upward momentum on remotely high volume. We have also seen a massive amount of intraday shorting, likely market makers shorting as a function of their role to provide liquidity. What happens when they seek to settle those shorts and find an extremely limited supply and an order book that cannot support high volume trading? Generally, the answer is the share price goes up.
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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
$TPET is following along with our energy theme very well. After a massive breakout on high volume, I believe there is a good chance of a squeeze if momentum continues. Risk models of institutions can predict a lot, but they can't predict war or irrational human behavior very well. Despite the massive gains already made here, I think this is primed for more upside. I will be entering a small position of shares in the event the squeeze starts and becomes extremely violent.
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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
$TEAD had a wonderful earnings report, despite the call being a bit awkward and things were not presented in the way I would have liked. There are some self inflicted headwinds here, but I see a clear path forward for continued revenue and margin growth amidst clear demand for their services. After a massive draw on liquidity to the downside and the subsequent recovery, it is hard to not be bullish here. I remain invested in my May 1C and shares, and am looking forward to the next few weeks of trading this ticker.
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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
$RILY appears to finally be breaking out of the consolidation channel it's been stuck in since mid February. I have been buying the dip for the last two weeks to add to my existing position. July 10C are my contracts of choice here, along with shares. One of their largest known positions, $BW, has been flying lately and this should add meaningful growth to $RILY's balance sheet for Q1. The bankruptcy concerns are gone. What is left is a company worth less than the investments it holds. I am patiently awaiting the repricing. This breakout, if continued, can create a domino effect forcing dealer hedging and creating wildly volatile moves up on the call-heavy OI.
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Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb

$RILY is edging near the top of the consolidation range it's been stuck in for the last 2.5 weeks. We might be entering a period of heavy volatility and potentially the next leg up. I am cautiously optimistic. Regardless, it's easy to hold equity that is priced at under 50% of fair value. It's even easier to hold calls on that same asset bought during a period of low IV. Let's see what the next few weeks bring to this beloved deep value trade.

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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
BREAKING: The Trump administration has drafted regulations that would require U.S. government approval for $NVDA and $AMD AI chip sales to ANYWHERE in the world. The draft rule gives Washington sweeping control over whether foreign countries can build AI training and inference facilities and under what conditions. This goes far beyond China. Every global AI chip shipment would need a U.S. permit. $NVDA has already generated ZERO revenue from its China H200 program. Now its entire global sales pipeline faces potential regulatory oversight.
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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
$RILY is edging near the top of the consolidation range it's been stuck in for the last 2.5 weeks. We might be entering a period of heavy volatility and potentially the next leg up. I am cautiously optimistic. Regardless, it's easy to hold equity that is priced at under 50% of fair value. It's even easier to hold calls on that same asset bought during a period of low IV. Let's see what the next few weeks bring to this beloved deep value trade.
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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
$SLS is the money machine that keeps printing. This has been and continues to be one of my best trades/investments. We have run out of recent price in the current area to accurately show liquidity levels. This is being driven by a massive and persistent bullish order imbalance. An asset where retail and institutional investors are both making the case for continued upside after a 400% run is incredibly rare. The Regal data showing poor performance for patients is statistically improbable by any method, given how long the trial has taken. Every day that passes makes me more bullish
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Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb

$SLS just closed at 4 year highs with a clean break of structure. It continues to outperform the market I am thinking the next leg up is just beginning On a higher timeframe I don't really have any concrete liquidity levels to draw from. We haven't traded up here in years. We are highly illiquid here.

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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
$ANNA remains resilient despite heavy selling pressure, with plenty of dip buyers holding price up through wild swings on higher than usual volume. The macro backdrop is getting harder to ignore. Russia is reportedly considering stopping all natural gas exports to Europe. The Strait of Hormuz has been blockaded to all but Chinese ships, effectively lowering the natural gas supply by about 20%. The time for European domestic energy is now. It's common sense.
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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
$100 per barrel oil is looking more realistic with each day. Oil is resting near $77 at time of writing and continuing to soar as the Iranian conflict gets priced in. Iran seeking to cut off the lifeblood of the West and blockade the Strait of Hormuz. Countries are flocking to more stable oil sources as Middle East reliability wavers. I do not believe this conflict will be over soon, and it is my thesis that there will be a lot more money to be made in the oil trade in the near future. Our big winners so far have been $CVX and $RIG. I remain long in $CVX and straddling $RIG with a bullish bias.
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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
The liquidity $TEAD has been generating heading into Thursday earnings is hard to ignore. I'm expecting large revenue and margin growth, but not profitability yet. What I want to see is a clear pathway through forward guidance, namely from the $GOOGL deal they closed in Q4. A strong signal in continued platform adoption can be the spark needed to rocket this thing way up. Be ready for a seismic move 🚀
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Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb

$TEAD will be reporting earnings Thursday, and I expect the forward guidance alone on revenue to dwarf the current market cap. I am still accumulating, and am planning to have my core position finished on Wednesday. This chart is beautiful, and the strength is undeniable. Every move down is bought back up, and we are resting above the key liquidity level that will allow a large move to happen. TEAD tested it yesterday, and looks ready to breakout on the daily timeframe to the upside.

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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
$SLS just closed at 4 year highs with a clean break of structure. It continues to outperform the market I am thinking the next leg up is just beginning On a higher timeframe I don't really have any concrete liquidity levels to draw from. We haven't traded up here in years. We are highly illiquid here.
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Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb

$SLS is printing in this weak market! If you're still not following me, you're literally missing out on amazing trade setups. FOLLOW now so you don’t miss the next big trade!

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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
There is a scramble for energy and $ANNA is right in the middle of it. Massive draw on liquidity to the downside, and it is looking ready to resume the upward climb. Extreme volume on a very thin order book. Wild swings that are clearly not organic. With natural gas shortages and a massive tanker fire in the Strait of Hormuz affecting it overnight, this rollercoaster ride looks like it is just beginning. The trades I am in are largely seeking to capitalize on the energy scramble. When the market is blood red, that is when institutional positions, long and short, get unwound en masse.
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Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb

$ANNA is surging on news of the Iranian conflict that hit over the weekend. We claimed a key liquidity level at the end of the day, and supply is even more restricted than it was last week. With such a small float, you can expect moves to be violent. Chart with liquidity levels below (and look how precise they are!)

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Father of Trades
Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb·
$PCG largely held up in yesterday's selloff and that makes sense given the energy concerns driving the tape. As the largest energy supplier in California, PG&E is well equipped to capitalize on the recent Middle East conflicts and the massive tech buildouts in Silicon Valley. My straddle and shares remain intact. I will continue to hold. After that draw on liquidity yesterday, holding near the top of the channel today is a good sign. I'm optimistic about the next few days. Any dip likely bottoms around $18, a lot of big buy side positions were taken there.
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Father of Trades@DayTraderCaleb

$PCG has made some tremendous moves from our last update, and I think that more is on the way. $PCG has breached the last liquidity level in recent history, and is now drifting up on news of overall energy shortages from the recent Iranian conflict scare. This is a Californian energy behemoth, a near monopoly, and is rapidly growing revenue. This is still a good long term hold. I remain in my 20C and 15P straddle for June, and now have my 20C for Jan 2026 and common shares. $20 might happen a lot earlier than end of year.

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