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DeLong🖖
140.2K posts
DeLong🖖
@delong
No longer posting here. At https://t.co/TMHcuxEHoH. Subscribe to https://t.co/kOfXsTAUKb. Buy “Slouching Towards Utopia" https://t.co/ThTkDsjUHf
This Musk-Ridden Hellscape Katılım Aralık 2007
5.1K Takip Edilen86.7K Takipçiler
...suggest. Yes, MAMLMs are real tools, but current everyday value is still narrow and incremental, not transformational:
**Rashomon-AI: Fear, Hype, & Platform Power? Or Broad-Based Productivity Gains Close Enough to Smell?**
<braddelong.substack.com/p/rashomon-ai-…>
2026-03-16 Mo 3/END
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...GPTs—Generative Pre-Trained Transformers—take over the modern world to the extent that even the internet did, or to the extent that a proper full-fledged GPT—General-Purpose Technology—typically does, let alone what the talk of a singularity or The Singularity would... 2/
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Monday MAMLMs: Where Will the Money to Pay for All the “AI” DataCenters Come From? Modern Advanced Machine-Learning Models (MAMLMs) will have value as very big-data, very high-demension, very flexible-function classification, prediction, and regression analyses. But will... 1/
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Another way to interpret this story is that Friedman himself has always been an AI: a language model that absorbed news items and spit them back out as conventional wisdom + weird metaphors + the occasional hallucination.
Ben Smith@semaforben
I have a whole theory on how the blogosphere and early internet were shaped almost entirely in reaction to Thomas Friedman's columns. His revenge: AI turns out to be just a slurry of Thomas Friedman books #b" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">semafor.com/newsletter/03/…
@sbanjo English
& was the “European Miracle” 800-1914, 1492-1914, 1689-1914, or 1776-1914?:
**NOTE TO SELF: All of the Currently Live Theories of the Causes of the "European Miracle”**
<braddelong.substack.com/p/note-to-self…>
2026-03-13 Fr
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Spotted: a macroeconomist man cosplaying a military strategist. It's getting serious, people.
(I have not fully recovered from my peers attacking epidemiologists in the pandemic.)
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@eric_weinberger @lionel_trolling touché, Master Eric. But perhaps next time it will be me who snatches the pebble from your hand?
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@delong @lionel_trolling I meant literally an inflection point: the wheel curves.
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@chang_koo @TheStalwart No. The weirdest thing is that reality is complex-number quantum-state amplitudes, and we just think it is **probabilities of events** because we are entangled-decohered in the system, and that illusion is the easiest thing a brain can evolve in order to figure out how to survive
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@TheStalwart The weirdest thing is the use of complex numbers to do practical calculations. It comes up in electrical engineering, maybe it just fits the model, never mind that half the numbers are "imaginary."
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I still don’t get extreme multidimensional space. How could there be more than three dimensions. Ok time. Fine that’s four. But more than that? Come on.
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@eric_weinberger @lionel_trolling Nope. Food chopping with sharp rocks, and fire. Pre-digestion so that we don't have to spend eight hours a day simply sitting around eating leaves to get enough calories to fuel our energy-costly brains was the key. The wheel is a very minor add-on,
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@lionel_trolling The wheel was definitely an inflection point
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...attriting:
**CROSSPOST: DAN DREZNER: I'm Sick And Tired of All The Winning**
<braddelong.substack.com/p/crosspost-da…> <danieldrezner.substack.com/cp/190720523> <danieldrezner.substack.com/p/im-sick-and-…>
2026-03-12 Th 4/END
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...we have just killed—the Trumpists tried to buy a media photo op, and appears to have bought a grinding war instead. One in which the U.S. is burning through $10 billion of military hardware a week and looks as likely to be the side attrited here as the side doing the... 3/
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Dan’s subhead: “Gulf War Three is not going well for the United States”.
I believe Dan Drezner knows more than I do about what is currently going on with the Epstein-Netanyahu-Trump War on Iran, so I turn the microphone over to him.
Briefly: In the Persian/Arabian Gulf... 1/
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@WilliamHogeland Mirror-World Walt Whitman Rostow & Eugene V. Debs Rostow...
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Today I learned that Country Joe McDonald was named after Joseph Stalin.
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I’m reading Slouching Towards Utopia by @delong right now (it’s great) and just finished up a chapter wherein General Purpose Technologies were mentioned and I thought it was just miraculous that this book was published just shy of ChatGPT’s emergence. IMO an invaluable artifact of the “pre-AI” age
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“ChatGPT” is a good product name for people who know what a general purpose technology is, but for the other 99% of people…
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...have what is in any sense a good society:
**”The Permanent Problem of the Human Race": Yglesias, Keynes, Lindsey; the Quest for Valued Identities & Societal Roles; & How to Move from "Abundance" to “Flourishing”**
<braddelong.substack.com/p/the-permanen…> 2/END
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We cannot successfully outsource the solutions to the problem of how to live wisely and agreeably well to markets, bureaucracies, & parasocial algorithm-driven media feeds. We need, rather, societies of abundance in the service of human-scale connection and purpose to... 1/
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Less than one third of the topics I wanted to, and all at much less depth than they deserve. But ars longa, vita brevis:
**MEMO TO SELF: What It Looks Like I Will Actually Have Managed to Cover in My Half of Econ 210a This Semester…**
<braddelong.substack.com/p/memo-to-self…>
2026-03-05 Th
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DeLong🖖 retweetledi
I sense US strategy consists of "let's bomb shit and see what happens." I really hope there's more to it than that. Israeli strategy seems to be, "let's help the US bomb shit and see what happens." Mind you, I'm not categorically opposed to bombing Iran. I am opposed to doing anything of the sort in the absence of coherent strategy.
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@Noahpinion My cousin does like the plane a lot for all the things it can do; but it is very expensive. How many torpedo-armed cruisers could WWII-era Japan have built and airmen trained for the cost of the Yamato?
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The whole "F-35 sucks" story that we bought for decades appears to have been almost total bullshit
Cynical Publius@CynicalPublius
For years I have been reading about how the F-35 is a stupid, vulnerable boondoggle. Yet it appears to me that the system is flying over airspace covered by the most advanced air defense systems Russia and China have to offer, yet it is completely invisible, untouched, and accomplishing all of its assigned missions with zero aircraft losses. Any of you current or former US military fighter jocks have thoughts?
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