Dividend Talks on YouTube

Everyone says “quality stocks” are expensive. That’s not what I’m seeing. 8 high-quality names trading at reasonable multiples: $UBER - 19x $META - 20x $MSFT - 21x $SE - 22x $V - 23x $MELI - 25x $MA - 26x $AMZN - 26x These aren’t low-quality businesses. They’re market leaders. One of these is clearly mispriced. Which one are you buying… and which one is the trap?

Most people saying they’re “bullish on AI”… just own $NVDA. That’s not a strategy. That’s a crowd. The real trade is the stack: Design: $CDNS $SNPS Manufacturing: $TSM Compute: $NVDA $AMD Infrastructure: $AVGO $MRVL End demand: $SMCI $DELL AI isn’t one winner. It’s multiple layers… all getting paid. If you’re only in one, you’re probably missing most of the upside.

Mag 7 forward P/E: $META 20x $MSFT 21x $NVDA 22x $AMZN 26x $GOOGL 27x $AAPL 29x $TSLA 200x These don’t look like bubble valuations anymore. Are you buying?

Correction: $META is ~25% below ATHs, not from Ackman’s cost basis. But the real story is unchanged: $2B smart money buying vs market selling the narrative Who’s wrong here?

@WealthCoachMak It’s down over 25% from highs

@DividendTalks If he bought at $625, it’s not down 30% for him It’s not even down 4% for him.

Bill Ackman went $2B long $META at $625. Now it’s down ~30%. His view: “Deeply discounted. Huge AI upside.” Market today says he’s wrong. History says don’t bet against him. Who’s right this time?

@LazaroInvestor Very nice average 👌

@DividendTalks DCAing but going to buy heavy under $600, avg price for me is around $280

$META just burned ~$80B on the metaverse… …and is now shutting it down. Stock: -25% in 6 months Valuation: ~20x Strategy: full pivot to AI Weakness? Or one of the best resets in Big Tech? I’m watching closely. Are you buying $META here? 👀

@joecarlsonshow If the businesses are hitting highs… this isn’t really a loss - it’s just volatility.

My year to date: -9% More than 100k down. I feel fine saying it. My companies are doing well, their cash flows and earnings are all at highs and growing quickly. I’ve been adding more money to both my public portfolio and my private account (which is just SCHG). This can swing back in the positive very quickly. Be ready.

This market is sending mixed signals. Tech selling: $NVDA $GOOGL $META $AMZN Energy holding: $XOM $CVX Rates likely staying higher for longer… Yet some of the best businesses are pulling back. Are you buying this dip? If so, what are you adding: $MSFT $META $AMZN $V $MA $MELI

The financial sector is getting hit. YTD performance: $SOFI -34% $HOOD -33% $PYPL -23% $AXP -20% $SPGI -18% $BAC -15% $V -15% $MA -14% $JPM -11% From fintech to banks to payments… everything is getting sold. Have you bought the dip?

The market just discounted the toll booths of the global economy. $V • -14% YTD • ~13% EPS growth • 23x P/E (vs 27x avg) $MA • -13% YTD • ~16% EPS growth • 26x P/E (vs 32x avg) These businesses don’t take credit risk. They just take a cut of every transaction. Volumes still rising. Margins still elite. Yet valuations are falling. What changed?

Most investors focus on valuation. Few focus on what actually determines risk. The balance sheet. I just wrote a deep dive on: • The 10-second test I use • How to spot hidden risk • Why some “cheap” stocks are traps Dropping tomorrow. Link in bio.

Everyone is bullish on AI. But this is what’s happening under the surface: $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $META Free cash flow is getting crushed by capex. “Compute = revenue” sounds great… Until you realize: Revenue ≠ profits. Are we early… or already overpaying?

@erfanfela 💯

@DividendTalks You could add $AXP to this list

Everyone says “quality stocks” are expensive. That’s not what I’m seeing. 8 high-quality names trading at reasonable multiples: $UBER - 19x $META - 20x $MSFT - 21x $SE - 22x $V - 23x $MELI - 25x $MA - 26x $AMZN - 26x These aren’t low-quality businesses. They’re market leaders. One of these is clearly mispriced. Which one are you buying… and which one is the trap?

Jensen Huang’s “AI Cake” breaks the industry into 5 layers: Energy → Chips → Infrastructure → Models → Applications And each layer has different winners: Energy: $CEG $VST $TLN Chips: $NVDA $AMD $TSM $AVGO Infrastructure: $ORCL $CRWV $NBIS Models: $MSFT $GOOGL $AMZN $META Applications: $PLTR $CRM $SHOP $SAP Everyone is chasing AI… But not all parts of the stack are equal. Where is the real money made?

Everyone gave up on Adobe $ADBE. The stock is now: • -28% YTD • Trading near 52-week lows But behind the scenes… Shares outstanding: • 2017: ~493M • Today: ~420M That’s a ~15% reduction. Lower share count. Same business. Market overreaction… or something deeper?

Stocks Near 52 Week Lows: MercadoLibre $MELI - $1,700 Fair Isaac $FICO - $1,200 Mastercard $MA - $500 S&P Global $SPGI - $425 Domino’s $DPZ - $400 Microsoft $MSFT - $395 Home Depot $HD - $340 Ferrari $RACE - $330 Visa $V - $310 Adobe $ADBE - $250 Automatic Data Processing $ADP - $208 Salesforce $CRM - $197 Accenture $ACN - $195 SAP $SAP - $190 Equifax $EFX - $187 Lululemon $LULU - $160 Procter & Gamble $PG - $150 Qualcomm $QCOM - $130 Zoetis $ZTS - $116 Blackstone $BX - $107 Duolingo $DUOL - $101 Sea Limited $SE - $88 Abbott Laboratories $ABT - $108 Kimberly-Clark $KMB - $99 Fiserv $FISV - $57 Nike $NKE - $55 PayPal $PYPL - $45 Novo Nordisk $NVO - $38 General Mills $GIS - $38 Chipotle Mexican Grill $CMG - $33 JD $JD - $29 VICI $VICI - $28 Toast $TOST - $28 The Trade Desk $TTD - $27 Figma $FIG - $26 Kraft Heinz $KHC - $22 Kenvue $KVUE - $17 Snap $SNAP - $4 Buying any?

Adobe $ADBE is down sharply. Investors suddenly believe AI could disrupt its entire business. But here’s what the numbers actually show: • $8B+ in annual free cash flow • Dominant position in creative software • AI tools already integrated into the ecosystem So is Adobe actually in trouble… or is the market massively overreacting? Full breakdown in my latest video 👇 youtu.be/TI8O5d5v-bU?si…

$META at 20x earnings is starting to look silly.