Stephen Renfrow

@LarryWilliamsTI Massive

Big news here:

Can someone put in contact with KC Conception. My name is Derwin Gray. I played in the NFL and I too am a stutterer. Despite my stuttering, I'm a pastor of a church and I speak all over the world. KC, I'm proud of you!

@JakeOlson61 😂

I, for one, thought it was a little visually underwhelming

59 forever enshrined Learn more: panthers.com/news/luke-kuec… #NFLHonors

@JoeBrunoWSOC9 I realize I may be asking a little early, but any chance you’ve heard anything about weather-related delay or cancellation of Mecklenburg County Court tomorrow (Tuesday, February 3) yet?

@TimBuckleyWX Am I imagining this or is the radar filling back in a bit towards Charlotte as this coastal low is starting to really crank?

@wxbrad From a qpf standpoint, do you think we’re halfway done with this storm? More than half?

Based on our liquid equivalent and snow measurements, it looks like our ratio is hovering around 16:1 or 17:1 . It's only been 0.26" of liquid so far. #snOMG #cltwx

@SCweather_wx Mitch, thanks for the explanation. What factors are keeping the ULL from digging further and tilting neutral/negative sooner?

Great example of how small ticks with our energy make differences. Latest 06z EPS below. It's going to be tough to notice if you aren't a weather nerd, but if you look at the energy map, you can see how the tilt on this 5 run trend has slowly ticked to more of a positive look. (meaning the axis is more SW to NE instead of S to N or vise versa). You need it to tilt / dig better to have a response of heavier moisture. Due to this bit of a positive tilt trend, the ensemble snow mean off the upper level low portion of the system has decreased over the last few cycles while the footprint of snow has mainly stayed the same. Hope that makes sense!

@GMengel @SCweather_wx Do all of the global models have Kuchera map options in addition to 10:1 maps? Or does it depend on the model/product?

@DocRenfrow @SCweather_wx There are "Kuchera" maps where the model finds the proper ratio and puts its snow output based on that!

@GMengel @SCweather_wx Gerald, can I ask another question? Are there any model products that actually show snowfall forecast maps with storm-specific SLRs or do all of them default to a 10:1 ratio? Maybe a dumb question, but it seems like it wouldn’t be that hard to do in 2026. I’m probably wrong.

@GMengel @SCweather_wx Mitch needs a pizza company to sponsor his videos. Not it would be cool if a pizza company would sponsor his videos. He NEEDS it. I mean I’m excited for me and for my kids, but I’m more happy for Mitch than just about anyone I can think of.

@SCweather_wx WON’T HE DO IT?!?!?

OHHH LAWWWWDD WALK OUT TO CHURCH TO THIS?!?!?!?

@wxbrad I can only imagine if we are approaching a ratio in CLT of 17:1, forecasting snow totals gets even more insanely difficult. The difference of just 0.25in of qpf could swing the snow forecast totals by >4 inches. Wild. Let me know if we can Venmo your team money for coffee/pizza.

10-Day Forecast: Cold week ahead and even colder by the weekend with snow chances. This is straight snow or nothing, no mix. Stay Alert for the cold and the snow chances this weekend. #snOMg #cltwx #ncwx #scwx #wcnc

@wxbrad Thank you!

@DocRenfrow CLT

Whatever snow that does fall on Saturday will be super fluffy and dry. Abnormal Carolinas ratios of almost 17:1 liquid to snow ratios. This means just 0.10" of water could equal 1.7" of snow. Normally, we get like 8:1 in most events. #snOMG #cltwx #ncwx #scwx #wcnc

@GMengel Thanks again!

@DocRenfrow 87 hours!

WE NEED ALL HANDS ON DECK A GREAT RAGE IS BUILDING 🗣️🗣️🗣️

@GMengel Thanks for responding. What’s the range of that product? Inside of 3 days?

@DocRenfrow They won't go quite far enough out!

@RaleighWx Thanks so much, Allan. I appreciate the reply. I hope you eventually get some rest when this pattern ends.

@DocRenfrow I would think by tomorrow night/Thursday we should have a good feel.

Agree. Very delicate setup all models could show a storm one cycle and not the next and then again the next at this stage. Even though last storm was difficult here, it was an easy call to be a major storm in general for many. This one much less clear.

@TimBuckleyWX Thanks for responding. I greatly appreciate it.

@DocRenfrow Yup Thursday. Which doesn’t give much prep time.

Will there be a weekend storm? Well, there will be a storm that forms over the ocean. It’s still unclear how far inland it would send snow. Is there a chance it misses us? Yes, we have about a 50% chance to stay dry and a 50% chance to see some snow. Could it be ice? No. In this setup it looks very cold in the whole atmosphere. How much? No reasonable meteorologist would guess at this point for any one location, however it could produce big totals close to the storm center. Better chances for big amounts are at the coast. This could be a fluffier snow than usual which can stack up higher. So what’s the forecast then? Right now it’s just, “watching the weekend for possible snow”. Nothing more certain that that can be said until we get more confidence. It will definitely be cold!