
Doug Pancoast
8.2K posts

Doug Pancoast
@DougPancoast
Author of 100 Controversial Truths About Politics and Culture in America; Writer; Entrepreneur; Wannabe Philosopher & Thought Leader




















I went to Hong Kong many times during the failed color revolution. One time I met this 70+yo street cleaner from the Chinese mainland. He was the sole person cleaning up the ruined HK Uni campus, including Molotov cocktails and concrete projectiles. Thank god for the NSL!



But Capitalism is good?













You need to remain abreast of Beijing's policy dialogue to read the tea leaves of the Communist Party's intentions. Sure - economists like Li Daokui want local governments to continue to engage in fiscal spending to support growth. This is especially imperative during a period when China is still struggling weak domestic consumption, likely the result of damage to household balance sheets caused by the 2021 property slump. However, Pettis is assuming that Beijing will continue to engage in the same type of fiscal spending in the past, and follow the lead of Japan in engaging in pointless infrastructure projects with rapidly descending levels of marginal utility. If you read what the key interlocutors to Beijing's policy discussions saying, this is not what they're planning at all. The Chinese central government wants to "structurally optimize" fiscal expenditures over the next five years to move away from fixed asset investment, to more spending on social services and transfer payments. The end goal is to restore the position of Chinese consumption as a driver of economic growth, by solving legacy shortfalls in social welfare and services created by Zhu Rongji's mass downscaling of the state-owned enterprise sector in the 1990s - a bold and necessary move, but not one without adverse long-term consequences.







