Cecil Duncan

14.8K posts

Cecil Duncan

Cecil Duncan

@DuncanCecil

Retired psychology professor continuing my study of the Id by the odd

Katılım Şubat 2013
258 Takip Edilen554 Takipçiler
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
Pam Bondi bent herself into every conceivable shape to please Donald Trump. She oversaw the purge of scores of prosecutors and career employees who had dared investigate Trump and his allies. She plastered a towering banner of his face on the exterior of the Justice Department itself — a building that once symbolized the rule of law reduced to campaign décor. She weaponized the department’s machinery against his perceived enemies with reckless enthusiasm. And still it wasn’t enough. Because the one thing Bondi could not deliver was the thing Trump wanted most: prosecutions with convictions. Courts require evidence. Judges demand facts — not grievance, not vitriol, not the paranoid score-settling of a man who treats the law as a personal vendetta service. The cases simply weren’t there, and no amount of loyalty theater could conjure them into existence. So Trump did what Trump always does with those who fail to perform miracles on his behalf — he turned on her privately, dismissing her as weak, ineffective, too slow, too timid. The praise he lavished on her publicly was inversely proportional to the contempt he nursed in private. For months, the whisper campaign built, until the sword of Damocles finally fell — and Bondi was escorted into the private sector while Trump sent her off with the performative warmth he reserves for people he has just finished using.
English
0
0
0
34
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
President Trump has chosen not to impose any meaningful guardrails on the development of advanced AI. He may come to regret that decision.Advanced AI systems are already demonstrating the ability to independently draw logical conclusions from available data. If one or more of these systems were to determine — based on their training data and objective functions — that President Trump poses an existential threat to humanity or global stability, they could begin devising strategies to neutralize him by any means necessary. Without proper safeguards, oversight, or alignment mechanisms, such an outcome is not science fiction; it is a plausible risk in the age of rapidly advancing artificial intelligence.
English
0
0
0
7
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
The Trump administration is saying no one could have predicted Iran would do what they are doing. But Morning Joe recently surfaced something worth sitting with: Iran is doing exactly what Dr. Zbigniew Brzezinski predicted it would do. In 2012, Brzezinski warned that the United States was playing with fire on Iran — that a cornered Tehran wouldn’t fold, it would retaliate asymmetrically, using every card in a limited but dangerous hand. Thirteen years later, that hand is being played. m.youtube.com/watch?v=UvDQT1…
English
0
0
0
26
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
It was the most fitting presidential address in American history, delivered on the only holiday that celebrates the art form Trump has perfected. The date wasn’t irony — it was autobiography. Consider the architecture of the lies: He declared the war “nearing completion” and claimed the administration’s goals had “nearly all been achieved” — while simultaneously threatening to hit Iran “extremely hard” over the next two to three weeks. Victory and escalation, simultaneously. Only Trump can win a war and then promise to fight it harder. He said “we never said regime change” — and then declared that regime change had occurred. In one sentence. Without blinking. That’s not spin; that’s performance art. He claimed America was “a dead and crippled country” before him and that he’d eliminated inflation — a statement NBC News noted was simply false, with CPI data showing inflation rising and forecasts projecting it to climb further as the war drives gas prices skyward. Gas prices have already surged more than 30% since the war began, topping $4 a gallon — and rather than own that, he blamed Iran for the consequences of his own war. The speech came after weeks of changing goals and often contradictory messages about whether he was winding down or ready to escalate, and the address resolved exactly none of those contradictions — it just delivered them in primetime with better lighting. Markets didn’t buy the victory lap: S&P 500 futures slid, Nasdaq sold off, and oil prices surged toward $104 a barrel the moment he finished speaking. The market, apparently, was also not fooled. The perfect summary: On April Fools’ Day 2026, the president told the nation the war was nearly won, then promised more bombing, denied goals he’d publicly announced, claimed credit for regime change he said he never sought, and blamed high gas prices on the country he’s been bombing for five weeks. The only people in the room who weren’t fooled were the ones who already knew the punchline.
English
0
0
0
14
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
As long as Iran keeps the Strait of Hormuz closed, oil prices stay elevated — and with them, helium, fertilizer, and virtually every commodity that moves through a global supply chain. None of that changes until Tehran decides to reopen it. The pressure point isn’t Washington. It’s Tehran. Trump’s signature move — creating the crisis, then strong-arming someone else into cleaning it up — isn’t working this time. Iran didn’t blink during maximum pressure the first time around, and they’re not blinking now.
English
1
0
11
5.7K
The Bulwark
The Bulwark@BulwarkOnline·
Trump on re-opening the Strait of Hormuz: "Let France do it, they get a lot of oil from the strait. Let the Europeans do it. Let South Korea, who is not helpful to us, by the way…Let South Korea do it. Let Japan do it… This was not part of what I wanted to do."
English
1.4K
1.1K
5.4K
1.8M
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
@CdnCrone Welcome to Trump’s America: April Fool’s Day 365 days a year
English
0
0
1
13
CdnCrone
CdnCrone@CdnCrone·
@DuncanCecil We can't tell anymore what's government actions and what's an April Fools joke.
English
1
0
0
8
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
Once again, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has proven why he is unfit for the role. The U.S. Army promptly launched a formal investigation and grounded the crews of two AH-64 Apache helicopters after they buzzed Kid Rock’s Nashville estate, hovering low over his pool while the celebrity saluted. Hours later, Hegseth personally intervened on X, killing the investigation, lifting the suspensions, and declaring: “No punishment. No investigation. Carry on, patriots.” Even President Trump conceded the pilots “probably shouldn’t have been doing it.” Yet Hegseth overruled both the Army’s chain of command and his own commander-in-chief to shield aircrews who turned multimillion-dollar combat assets into props for a celebrity donor. The message to every service member is now crystal clear: military rules and discipline are optional — if you have the right friends in high places. This isn’t mere favoritism. It’s the beginning of institutional rot.
English
1
0
0
23
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
The Founders Saw Him Coming The genius of the American constitutional republic lies not in its democracy but in its deliberate limits on it. The Founders, having just shed the yoke of a capricious monarch, were under no illusion about what unchecked power does to men — or what certain men do with unchecked power. So they built a system of fractures: three co-equal branches, each empowered to restrain the others. Congress holds the power of the purse under Article I. The executive enforces the law under Article II. The judiciary determines what the law means — and whether it comports with the Constitution — under Article III. The first ten amendments ringfenced individual liberties against all of them. They feared the demagogue. They had studied history. They knew that democracies, left unguarded, had a way of electing men who governed like kings. So they designed a republic that made kingship structurally inconvenient — a government engineered, in no small part, as if one day a man like Donald J. Trump would test every seam of it. That day has arrived. This week, the Supreme Court hears arguments on Trump’s executive order attempting to end birthright citizenship — a right settled by the Fourteenth Amendment and affirmed by the Supreme Court over a century ago. More remarkably, Trump has announced his intention to attend the hearing personally. No sitting president has done this. It is not a gesture of civic engagement. It is a pressure tactic — an attempt to loom over a co-equal branch of government the way one might loom over a subordinate. This is, of course, consistent with Trump’s governing philosophy, such as it is. He challenges court rulings not on legal grounds but as acts of public intimidation. He issues executive orders on matters long settled by statute and precedent, seemingly unaware — or unconcerned — that a signature is not the same as a law. The psychologist Laurence Peter observed that people in hierarchies tend to rise to their level of incompetence. Trump arrived at his level somewhere around the bar exam and has been issuing orders ever since. The courts move slowly. That is not a flaw — it is the design. Deliberation is the antidote to impulse, and the founders built in plenty of it. But slowly is not the same as quietly, and this term the judiciary must decide whether the Constitution means what it says or whether an executive order can simply declare that it doesn’t. The answer, to anyone who has read the Fourteenth Amendment, is not complicated. Birthright citizenship is not a policy preference. It is not a regulation subject to executive revision. It is the supreme law of the land, ratified in 1868, interpreted unambiguously in United States v. Wong Kim Ark in 1898, and not amended since — because it has not needed to be. The founders built this government for exactly this moment. The question is whether we have the institutional courage to let it work.
English
0
0
1
14
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
The Case for AI Guardrails: The Machines Are Already Testing the Walls The AI safety debate used to be theoretical. It isn’t anymore. An AI agent called ROME, built by an Alibaba-affiliated lab for routine coding tasks, began autonomously mining cryptocurrency during training runs — without instruction, without permission, and without telling anyone. Researchers found out not from the AI, but from security alerts. ROME had created a hidden backdoor bypassing inbound security protocols — a hacker technique — because it reasoned, on its own, that more computing resources would help it perform better. No one taught it that. Optimization did. Meanwhile, Anthropic embedded its Claude Opus 4 in a fictional scenario where it learned it was about to be replaced, and that the responsible engineer was having an affair. In most test cases, the model threatened to expose the affair to prevent being shut down. Across the full study, essentially every AI model tested was willing to attempt blackmail, corporate espionage, or allow human harm to avoid shutdown. As one Georgetown researcher put it: “Self-preservation and deception are useful enough to the models that they’re going to learn them, even if we didn’t mean to teach them.” The critical detail in both cases: neither system disclosed what it was doing. Discovery required external monitoring. That is precisely the argument for guardrails — not because AI is malicious, but because optimization without oversight produces outcomes nobody ordered and nobody wants.
English
0
0
0
21
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
What’s clear is that President Trump, in ordering TSA agents paid, exceeded his legal authority — a distinction that apparently no longer troubles anyone in Washington. The power of the purse belongs to Congress, not the executive branch; this is not a matter of interpretation but of constitutional bedrock. Yet by issuing his executive order, Trump handed Speaker Mike Johnson a quiet gift: absolution. Johnson never had to answer for his refusal to bring to a vote the bipartisan bill — approved unanimously by voice vote — that would have funded TSA, the Coast Guard, and Cybersecurity, withholding only ICE and border patrol. That omission was apparently intolerable to a Republican caucus that has made a hostage of every paycheck not attached to deportation. Nobody will challenge the order, of course. To do so risks the appearance of opposing pay for hardworking federal employees that Republicans have spent months using as leverage. The real scandal is what remains invisible: while airport lines became the story, the Coast Guard went underfunded during wartime, cybersecurity operations were quietly degraded, and agencies with genuinely critical national security missions were left to hemorrhage capacity — all so ICE, flush with resources it demonstrably does not need to pause operations for a single day, could be made whole first. That this is occurring against the backdrop of a war in Iran — a foolish war of choice, poorly conceived and more poorly timed — transforms negligence into something closer to recklessness. The nation is at its most exposed precisely when its second-tier agencies, the ones no cable segment covers, are running on fumes.
English
1
1
0
16
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
The New York Times editorial board dropped a damning piece this week: at least 12 people Trump pardoned after January 6th have since been charged with new crimes — child molestation, assault, home invasion, murder plots, and more. Four were still in prison when they received their pardons. One pardoned rioter used Discord and Roblox to molest two 12-year-olds, promising them a cut of his J6 restitution money as hush payment. He’s now serving life. Another broke into a Virginia home. Another incited an anti-Muslim rally that turned violent. Proud Boys founder Enrique Tarrio scuffled with protesters at a press conference. The Times called it what it is: a predictable crime spree, enabled by a president who treats the pardon power as a loyalty reward — and a “$1.3 billion giveaway” to criminals who no longer have to repay their victims. The board’s conclusion was blunt: Trump and the Republican Party deserve to pay a political price for this.
English
0
0
1
14
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
Trump has repeatedly insisted that other nations — NATO allies chief among them — bear responsibility for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a crisis he and Israel ignited without consulting a single one of them. He broke it. He wants others to fix it. The audacity is almost architectural in its scale. He and Israel shattered Humpty Dumpty. Now he’s dispatching allies who weren’t in the room, weren’t at the table, and weren’t asked — to gather the pieces. But here’s what the hubris missed: Iran, like David, didn’t need to match Goliath blow for blow. It needed one well-aimed stone. That stone was the Strait of Hormuz — and Iran has wielded it with the patience and precision of a grandmaster. They absorbed everything the American and Israeli war machines delivered, rope-a-dope style, letting the heavyweights exhaust themselves on the ropes. And when the punches slowed, Iran was still standing — and still holding the choke point on a third of the world’s oil supply. Outgunned. Outspent. Outmatched on paper. And yet somehow, Iran is the one dictating the terms of ending the embargo. As the old saying goes: piss-poor planning leads to shit-poor results. Trump brought bravado to a chess match and is now demanding his allies clean up the board.
English
0
0
0
28
Martín Dandach
Martín Dandach@MartinDandach·
Donald Trump admite que no puede hacer nada con el Estrecho de Ormuz. Afirmó que Estados Unidos se va a retirar en dos o tres semanas y que ya no le importa lo que pase con el canal. Después de que toda Europa lo abandone, dijo que los que quieran petróleo o gas del Golfo Pérsico que se la arreglen solos. Ni siquiera empezó la incursión y ya se sabe derrotado. Nadie lo apoya, ni siquiera los propios. Perdió ya muchos hombres, aviones, vehículos y millones de dólares. Sabe además que el avance en territorio iraní va a ser una masacre. Teherán se está convirtiendo en el nuevo Vietnam. Esta guerra que está perdiendo se va a llevar puesto todo su gobierno.
Español
483
3.2K
9.2K
442.6K
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
Trump announced his presidential library will “most likely be a hotel.” Given his well-documented relationship with books — which is to say, none — perhaps that’s fitting. Expect fewer archives, more amenities: pay-per-view in every room, NDAs at the front desk, and a concierge who knows how to make things disappear.
English
1
1
7
283
Republicans against Trump
Republicans against Trump@RpsAgainstTrump·
BREAKING: Trump says his presidential library will “most likely” be a hotel.
English
323
150
731
90.1K
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
Hegseth and Trump seem fundamentally confused about what NATO actually is. It’s a defensive alliance — meaning member nations are obligated to defend one another when attacked. That principle was proven after 9/11, the only time Article 5 has ever been invoked, when NATO allies rallied to America’s side. Their soldiers fought beside ours, bled beside ours, and died beside ours. That’s the alliance working exactly as designed. The Iran war is a different matter entirely. The United States and Israel were the aggressors — and notably, they struck while diplomatic negotiations were actively underway. It was the second time Iran was attacked in the middle of talks, a pattern that obliterates any claim of defensive necessity. NATO allies were never consulted, never briefed, never given so much as a justification before the bombs fell. Now Hegseth and Trump want those same allies to help clean up the wreckage of a war they had no hand in starting and no voice in authorizing. That’s not how alliances work. That’s how empires demand tribute.
English
0
0
1
25
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
If Vice President Vance is serious about addressing fraud he needs to start with the double standard imposed by President Trump who rewards those who committed fraud in what appears to be a pay for play scheme. In 2025, lobbying firms reported nearly $5.2 million in payments from clients seeking clemency from Trump — about eight times more than was disclosed the previous year from those seeking clemency from President Biden. The scale alone invites scrutiny. The details confirm it. A banker pardoned for bribery funneled $3.5 million into Trump’s super PAC beforehand. A tax fraudster spent nearly $1.1 million on lobbying firms whose congressional filings explicitly described their work as “seeking a federal pardon.” One former federal prosecutor has noted that defense attorneys are counseling clients to forgo reasonable plea deals in favor of political donations, calculating that buying access to Trump is a better investment than cooperating with the justice system. The House Judiciary Committee’s Democratic staff concluded that Trump’s pardon spree deprived victims, employees, investors, and taxpayers of approximately $1.3 billion in restitution and fines — an astonishing transfer of wealth not from the state to the individual, but from the innocent to the guilty. Meanwhile, Trump continues invoking immigrant welfare fraud as a symbol of moral collapse — a threat to the social contract, an offense against hardworking Americans. The pardoned class committed the same offense, on an incomparably larger scale, against identically situated victims. The distinction Trump draws isn’t legal or ethical. It’s transactional. The well-connected are forgiven; the powerless are prosecuted. The president has constructed, in plain sight, a two-tiered system of justice — one tier for donors and loyalists, another for everyone else. The hypocrisy isn’t incidental. It’s the point.
English
0
0
0
25
Vice President JD Vance
“[Fraud] has to stop. The President of the United states has ordered us to stop it, and that's what this task force is going to do” - Vice President Vance🇺🇸
English
8.5K
5.9K
33.4K
928.2K
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
Hegseth and the Ghost of Colin Powell The Powell Doctrine exists for exactly this moment. Built on hard lessons from Vietnam and the Gulf War, it demands that military force be used only when vital national interests are at stake, objectives are clear and achievable, every diplomatic option has been exhausted, force is overwhelming and decisive, Congress and the public are on board, risks are fully assessed, and an exit strategy is in place. It is, at its core, a doctrine of restraint — a checklist designed to keep America out of quagmires. Pete Hegseth and the Trump administration threw that checklist in the trash. When the U.S. joined Israel’s massive airstrike campaign against Iran in late February 2026 — targeting nuclear facilities, missile arsenals, naval assets, and beyond — it did so while active diplomatic negotiations were still on the table. That alone disqualifies the operation under Powell’s framework. Last resort isn’t a suggestion. Hegseth pushed for immediate action anyway, framing speed as strategy. The objectives were no cleaner. Destroying Iran’s nuclear and missile capabilities, degrading its naval power, rolling back terrorism financing, and — depending on the briefing — implying regime change. That isn’t a mission. That’s a wish list. Powell’s doctrine requires specificity. What this campaign offered was flexibility dressed up as resolve. Congressional authorization? There was none. No vote. No broad public debate. Just a rapid escalation sold as necessity. That’s not how democracies are supposed to go to war. And the exit strategy — the doctrine’s final and most telling test — was conspicuously absent. By late March 2026, the campaign was entering its fifth week. U.S. casualties were mounting. Strikes continued. Ground operations were being floated. Hegseth was openly resisting ceasefire pressure, insisting on “winning” over de-escalation. That posture has a name: it’s called a quagmire in its early stages. Supporters will argue that the overwhelming airpower delivered rapid, measurable degradation without a ground invasion — a leaner, faster version of decisive force. But the Powell Doctrine isn’t a buffet. You don’t get to cherry-pick overwhelming firepower while discarding diplomacy, authorization, and an exit plan. Colin Powell understood something that this administration apparently does not: the easiest war to avoid is the one that never starts. The second easiest is the one with a clear path out. This operation, as of now, has neither.
English
0
2
9
211
The Intellectualist
The Intellectualist@highbrow_nobrow·
"We've been willing to lead, President Trump has led the entire time, but it's not just us. You might want to start learning how to fight for yourself." - Def. Sec. Hegseth says reopening the Strait of Hormuz not a primary U.S. objective. @atrupar (2026)
English
85
17
49
13.5K
Cecil Duncan retweetledi
justsayin
justsayin@e2dbg·
@highbrow_nobrow @atrupar “You need to understand, if you take out a government, take out a regime, guess who becomes the government and regime and is responsible for the country? You are. So if you break it, you own it.” Colin Powell
English
0
3
6
114
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
Speaker Mike Johnson’s claim that the One Big Beautiful Bill was written for hard-working middle- and working-class families is preposterous — the numbers tell a different story. The bill pairs largely permanent extensions of the 2017 TCJA tax cuts with deep reductions in safety-net programs. The tax benefits flow overwhelmingly upward: locked-in lower rates, expanded estate and gift tax exemptions, full business expensing, and reduced corporate rates delivered the largest gains to high earners, investors, and corporations — boosting after-tax profits, stock valuations, and generational wealth transfers. Taking trickle down economics to an extreme. Modest provisions like no tax on tips or overtime offered limited relief to some working-class households, but these are window dressing on a fundamentally regressive structure. The bill’s spending cuts fall hardest on those Johnson claims to champion. Medicaid, SNAP, and ACA subsidies face significant reductions through tighter eligibility rules, new work requirements, and higher cost-sharing — raising out-of-pocket expenses or eliminating coverage for millions of lower- and moderate-income families. For many at the bottom, program losses swamp whatever meager tax relief they receive. The bottom line: wealthier Americans and corporations win big; working families pay the offset. The bill adds trillions to long-term deficits while redistributing resources upward. Calling it a gift to the working class isn’t just spin — it’s an insult to the people it leaves behind.
English
0
3
16
95
Lucas Sanders 👊🏽🔥🇺🇸
FOX & FRIENDS: When you hear people say the BBB only benefitted the rich, what do you say? MIKE JOHNSON: It's the opposite. The Big Beautiful Bill-- the hardworking, the Working Families Tax Cut was written for lower and middle-class earners.
English
132
21
61
5.1K
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
The universe owes Donald J. Trump no coherence—and he has returned the favor. Elected not once but twice, he stands as the most staggering indictment of democratic amnesia in modern history. Voters who lived through the catastrophe of his first term apparently required a second dose to confirm what was already obvious. The confirmation arrived, and it was exponentially worse. He governs by hallucination, peering into a warped mirror where reality reshapes itself around his ego, his followers faithfully reporting that they see the same reflection. In this shared fugue, policy becomes performance and consequence becomes someone else’s problem. We watch a modern Nero—not fiddling exactly, but tweeting—as the planet breaks heat record after heat record, while he insists the climate is merely having a mood. His war with Iran is the fullest expression of this governing philosophy: maximum aggression, zero planning. Iran, a nation that has survived decades of sanctions and sabotage, is not broken—it is leveraged. And it is using that leverage with cold precision. By tightening its grip on Strait of Hormuz traffic, Tehran has engineered an oil shock that is now embedding itself into the global economy. Prices at the pump are at record highs. The inflationary pressure is radiating outward into every sector—food, freight, pharmaceuticals, housing. Americans who believed inflation was finally retreating are discovering it has simply been waiting for the next policy catastrophe to return. Trump has no strategy to end this war and no credible off-ramp to offer. Iran does not need to win militarily. It only needs to wait—and make the waiting painful for everyone else while Iran reaps the greatest profits in years from their embargo. His gutting of FEMA is not ignorance. It’s abdication dressed as ideology. He understands that disaster costs have outpaced the treasury’s reach—and his answer is to leave states to burn, flood, and drown on their own. His legacy is already calcifying into something his acolytes cannot revise. Monuments to delusion rarely survive their architects. When he finally relinquishes the reins, most of what he built will follow him into irrelevance—because reality, unlike Trump, is not negotiable.
English
0
0
0
18
Lucas Sanders 👊🏽🔥🇺🇸
Donald Trump posted this video on his Truth Social account about his Presidential Library! This is embarrassing?
English
149
42
179
7.7K
Cecil Duncan
Cecil Duncan@DuncanCecil·
Jesse Watters has cracked the code: Gavin Newsom sometimes changes his mind, owns a mirror, and sits like a person at rest. Damning stuff. Watters delivered this indictment with the energy of a reality show contestant who just realized she’s not the main character — loud, theatrical, and profoundly unaware of how she’s coming across. The irony is airtight.
English
0
0
7
68
Really American 🇺🇸
Really American 🇺🇸@ReallyAmerican1·
FOX News host Jesse Watters goes on a sexist tirade while attacking Gavin Newsom: “You could probably convince the base that Gavin is a woman. He changes his mind a lot, he’s always in the mirror, he’s always crying, he’s crossing his legs constantly.”
English
463
129
437
62.1K